Elections

200 events

Presidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance22%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
$716.6M Vol.

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Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot47%
Benjamin Netanyahu28%

$46.5M Vol.

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party91%
Republican Party10%

$17.4M Vol.

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep63%
R Senate, D House28%

$23.4M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

$1.7M Vol.

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen44%
Édouard Philippe20%

$150.9M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

$1.2M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Luca Niculescu92%
Ilie Bolojan1%

$5.3M Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17%
Gavin Newsom15%

$1.3B Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance48%
Marco Rubio14%

$711.5M Vol.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party64%
Republican Party38%

$6.6M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

$269.8K Vol.

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)64%
Ken Paxton (R)38%

$3.7M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Aleksandar Vučić69%
Ilija Srdanović20%

$1.3M Vol.

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Chiang Wan-an64%
Puma Shen36%

$1.1M Vol.

Nevada Governor Election Winner

Aaron Ford (D)52%
Joe Lombardo (R)48%

$420.0K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson79%
Ulf Kristersson17%

$10.1M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

$200.1K Vol.

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

$1.2M Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Yashar60%
Likud40%

$701.7K Vol.

New York Governor Election Winner

Kathy Hochul (D)95%
Bruce Blakeman (R)6%

$241.5K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo82%
Pedro Sánchez17%

$1.9M Vol.

NY-23 House Election Winner

Nick Langworthy (R)97%
Aaron Gies (D)2%

$88.0K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place

Together82%
The Democrats8%

$49.8K Vol.

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Olivia Chow72%
Brad Bradford28%

$379.8K Vol.

MN-06 House Election Winner

Tom Emmer (R)96%
Doug Chapin (D)3%

$94.2K Vol.

Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

PSD80%
Other7%

$88.6K Vol.

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

20-2443%
25-2926%

$522.2K Vol.

Maine Senate Election Winner

Troy Jackson (D)60%
Susan Collins (R)42%

$2.3M Vol.

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola74%
Sen. Dan Sullivan27%

$1.3M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

$234.5K Vol.

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%chance

$12.5M Vol.2 months left

Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?

91%chance

$29.6K Vol.9 days left

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

$785.2K Vol.

PA-16 House Election Winner

Mike Kelly (R)96%
Justin Wagner (D)4%

$73.7K Vol.

OH-14 House Election Winner

David Joyce (R)96%
Maria Jukic (D)2%

$95.8K Vol.

Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

PSD92%
UDMR17%

$69.3K Vol.

Minnesota Senate Election Winner

Peggy Flanagan (D)88%
Michele Tafoya (R)13%

$268.3K Vol.

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Amy Acton (D)72%
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)28%

$419.6K Vol.

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Marine Le Pen91%
Édouard Philippe43%

$368.3K Vol.

MD-01 House Election Winner

Andy Harris (R)87%
Dan Schwartz (D)14%

$88.0K Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round Winner

Marine Le Pen87%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon7%

$26.0K Vol.

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

$288.2K Vol.

Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory

Remain 40–60%56%
Remain 60–80%30%

$32.7K Vol.

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Nithya Raman54%
Karen Bass46%

$15.3M Vol.

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

$130.9K Vol.

NE-02 House Election Winner

$60.0K Vol.

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Javier Milei54%
Axel Kicillof33%

$851.2K Vol.

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Pete Ricketts (R)73%
Independent28%

$619.3K Vol.

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Sherrod Brown (D)62%
Jon Husted (R)39%

$1.2M Vol.

Texas Governor Election Winner

Greg Abbott (R)78%
Gina Hinojosa (D) 23%

$559.7K Vol.

Mississippi Senate Election Winner

$152.6K Vol.

Next Romania PM appointed by…?

December 3196%
October 3188%

$61.6K Vol.

Alaska Governor Election Winner

$1.5M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá

Flavio Bolsonaro74%
Lula28%

$63.4K Vol.

Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by...?

<1%chance

$58.9K Vol.18 hours left

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra96%
Steve Hilton4%

$41.9M Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Jean-Luc Mélenchon39%
Édouard Philippe30%

$15.3K Vol.

Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ulrich Siegmund78%
Sven Schulze3%

$468.3K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)71%
Mike Rogers (R)31%

$1.6M Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova87%
Аndrey Gyurov14%

$1.2M Vol.

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Jean-Luc Mélenchon94%
Marine Le Pen92%

$553.0K Vol.

Next Premier of British Columbia

Lorne Doerkson80%
David Eby20%

$161.6K Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4739%
4817%

$3.2M Vol.

Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

Jon Ossoff49%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez39%

$71.0K Vol.

UT-02 House Election Winner

Blake Moore (R)95%
Peter Crosby (D)5%

$31.0K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pará

Lula83%
Flavio Bolsonaro16%

$50.3K Vol.

Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?

$60.7K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election Winner

Roger Marshall (R)63%
Adam Hamilton (D)38%

$906.8K Vol.

NC-08 House Election Winner

Mark Harris (R)95%
Colby Watson (D)4%

$57.5K Vol.

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

25%chance

$3.9M Vol.19 days left

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad

Lula67%
Flavio Bolsonaro27%

$69.7K Vol.

TX-23 House Election Winner

$89.9K Vol.

Michigan Governor Election Winner

Jocelyn Benson (D)95%
John James (R)5%

$309.2K Vol.

MI-05 House Election Winner

$37.8K Vol.

HI-01 House Election Winner

Ed Case (D)96%
Adriel Lam (R)3%

$53.0K Vol.

WI-05 House Election Winner

$98.9K Vol.

Saanich, BC Mayoral Election Winner

Zac de Vries84%
Rishi Sharma16%

$49.7K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas

Lula59%
Flavio Bolsonaro42%

$74.7K Vol.

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

Elif Eralp84%
Stefan Evers13%

$238.7K Vol.

Iowa Governor Election Winner

Rob Sand (D)91%
Zach Lahn (R)10%

$244.6K Vol.

Spain General Election Winner

PP85%
PSOE14%

$107.6K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$97.9K Vol.

Iowa Senate Election Winner

Ashley Hinson (R)57%
Josh Turek (D)42%

$889.0K Vol.

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Democratic64%
Republican35%

$2.5M Vol.

Texas Senate Election: Tarrant County Winner

James Talarico (D)95%
Ken Paxton (R)5%

$25.2K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

Yashar55%
Yisrael Beiteinu54%

$59.4K Vol.

FL-28 House Election Winner

Carlos Giménez (R)95%
Phil Ehr (D)5%

$65.1K Vol.

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Ruas 20%+13%
Ruas 5-10%13%

$31.4K Vol.

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

↓ 7%29%
↑ 12%16%

$185.4K Vol.

CA-14 House Election Winner (Individual)

Aisha Wahab87%
Melissa Hernandez7%

$30.4K Vol.

Wisconsin Governor Election Margin of Victory

Crowley 3-6%21%
Crowley 6-9%19%

$22.0K Vol.

Georgia Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Ossoff 6-9%22%
Ossoff 9-12%21%

$21.6K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$49.8K Vol.

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Independent/Technocrat95%
PSD3%

$347.9K Vol.

TX-06 House Election Winner

Jake Ellzey (R)96%
Danny Minton (D)2%

$87.1K Vol.

MN-02 House Election Winner

Matt Little (D)94%
Eric Pratt (R)6%

$63.3K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

No Next Minister by Feb 2833%
Gadi Eizenkot18%

$63.5K Vol.

MI-12 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 45-50%28%
Democrat 50-55%27%

$17.6K Vol.

New Mexico Governor Election Winner

Deb Haaland (D)93%
Gregg Hull (R)7%

$69.1K Vol.

Georgia Governor Election Winner

$192.9K Vol.

Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?

62%chance

$4.0K Vol.12 days left

French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Édouard Philippe39%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon37%

$13.0K Vol.

CO-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%19%
Democrat 0-3%17%

$26.3K Vol.

NY-13 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 65-70%35%
Democrat 70-75%26%

$28.9K Vol.

Florida Senate Election Winner

Ashley Moody (R)91%
Angie Nixon (D)9%

$227.1K Vol.

Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

↑ 40%59%
↓ 30%45%

$76.4K Vol.

Texas Railroad Commissioner Election Winner

Jon Rosenthal (D)56%
Bo French (R)44%

$17.3K Vol.

New York Attorney General Election Winner

$12.7K Vol.

Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?

<2.75%53%
2.75-3.25%24%

$5.8K Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Iotova 20-30%54%
Iotova 10-20%31%

$16.4K Vol.

MN-05 House Election Winner

Ilhan Omar (D)95%
John Nagel (R)4%

$72.0K Vol.

Democratic Senate odds on October 16?

62-64%61%
64-66%17%

$7.9K Vol.weekly

Wyoming Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 40-45%29%
Republican 30-35%20%

$40.0K Vol.

FL-28 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%30%
Republican 5-10%18%

$14.8K Vol.

Vermont Governor Election Winner

Phil Scott (R)75%
Amanda Janoo (D)25%

$237.6K Vol.

Serbia Election: Student List Vote Share?

35-40%29%
40-45%28%

$21.6K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

$41.0K Vol.

Minnesota Senate Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 5-10%33%
Democrat 0-5%23%

$5.9K Vol.

TN-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 9-12%26%
Republican 6-9%19%

$16.2K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?

Grüne72%
SPD60%

$22.4K Vol.

NE-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 40-45%28%
Republican 50-55%26%

$22.9K Vol.

Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory

Paxton 0-3%31%
Talarico 0-3%30%

$31.5K Vol.

Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?

48%chance

$2.3K Vol.45 days left

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

Pete Fry60%
Ken Sim41%

$280.9K Vol.

Next Premier of Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon>99%
Christine Fréchette<1%

$418.0K Vol.

OH-07 House Election Winner

Brian Poindexter (D)81%
Max Miller (R)20%

$92.6K Vol.

Israel Election: Together vote share?

9-11%37%
7-9%27%

$5.2K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Matan Kahana17%

$44.7K Vol.

Richmond Mayoral Election

Rob Howard44%
Kash Heed31%

$36.4K Vol.

Spain General Election: Turnout

70%+42%
66-68%35%

$6.1K Vol.

Chiapas Congress Election Winner

Morena62%
PT7%

$5.9K Vol.

GA-09 House Election Winner

Andrew Clyde (R)96%
Caitlyn Gegen (D)2%

$44.6K Vol.

Delta, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

$21.7K Vol.

NY-11 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%32%
Republican 15-20%29%

$15.1K Vol.

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

1%chance

$228.3K Vol.19 days left

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Democrats 8-10%28%
Democrats 6-8%21%

$157.3K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?

SPD98%
Grüne93%

$23.4K Vol.

NY-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 15-20%27%
Democrat 10-15%24%

$19.3K Vol.

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner

Douglas Ruas99%
Eduardo Paes<1%

$786.5K Vol.

Massachusetts Governor Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 20-25%22%
Democrat 25-30%19%

$17.7K Vol.

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael vote share?

<2.5%46%
3.25-4%28%

$5.4K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place

Likud55%
Yashar38%

$21.4K Vol.

Colima Congress Election Winner

Morena54%
PVEM16%

$6.9K Vol.

FL-25 House Election Winner

Jared Moskowitz (D)78%
Scott Singer (R)23%

$36.2K Vol.

MO-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%18%
Republican 6-9%17%

$20.8K Vol.

New Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Lee Shu-chuan51%
Su Chiao-hui51%

$109.3K Vol.

Next US Senate Minority Leader?

John Thune46%
Chuck Schumer36%

$11.4K Vol.

TN-08 House Election Winner

David Kustoff (R)97%
Heidi Kuhn (D)2%

$50.0K Vol.

IA-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 6-9%20%
Democrat 9-12%20%

$14.7K Vol.

NC-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 12-15%20%
Republican 6-9%14%

$10.6K Vol.

IL-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 45-50%27%
Democrat 40-45%26%

$11.0K Vol.

NC-14 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 5-10%26%
Republican 10-15%21%

$9.2K Vol.

Estonia Parliamentary Election Winner

Isamaa49%
Centre Party36%

$2.6K Vol.

Michoacán Congress Election Winner

Morena45%
PAN32%

$5.1K Vol.

Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?

3%chance

$24.9K Vol.2 months left

TX-28 House Election Winner

Henry Cuellar (D)91%
Tano Tijerina (R)8%

$13.2K Vol.

Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory

Moody 6-9%23%
Moody 3-6%18%

$23.2K Vol.

Hidalgo Congress Election Winner

Morena67%
PRI11%

$5.5K Vol.

Next President of Germany?

Ilse Aigner45%
Karin Prien20%

$3.5K Vol.

KY-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%35%
Republican 25-30%28%

$26.9K Vol.

IL-16 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%27%
Republican 15-20%24%

$14.9K Vol.

IN-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%29%
Republican 15-20%29%

$15.2K Vol.

AZ-06 House Election Winner

JoAnna Mendoza (D)83%
Juan Ciscomani (R)15%

$17.3K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 4th Place

The Democrats37%
Yisrael Beiteinu24%

$8.7K Vol.

FL-03 House Election Winner

Kat Cammack (R)95%
Seth Harp (D)5%

$40.3K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Alagoas

Lula98%
Flavio Bolsonaro2%

$13.5K Vol.

Amazonas Governor Election Winner

Omar Aziz91%
Professora Maria do Carmo9%

$53.2K Vol.

FL-17 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%48%
Republican 15-20%23%

$16.0K Vol.

Campeche Congress Election Winner

Morena38%
MC22%

$4.2K Vol.

IA-01 House Election Winner

$45.0K Vol.

PA-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 40-45%33%
Democrat 35-40%22%

$15.9K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais

Flavio Bolsonaro90%
Lula5%

$13.0K Vol.

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

Andy Beshear89%
Ted Cruz83%

$112.0K Vol.

Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?

Flávio Bolsonaro20%
Romeu Zema1%

$55.0K Vol.

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Rahm Emanuel35%
Gavin Newsom14%

$1.2M Vol.

SC-07 House Election Winner

Russell Fry (R)96%
John Vincent (D)5%

$55.7K Vol.

Taoyuan Mayor Election Winner

Chang San-cheng90%
Huang Shih-chieh9%

$18.3K Vol.

Will Israel election happen as scheduled?

93%chance

$54.0K Vol.12 days left

NJ-12 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 35-40%35%
Democrat 30-35%26%

$11.7K Vol.

WI-06 House Election Winner

Glenn Grothman (R)91%
Brad Smith (D)9%

$39.8K Vol.

OH-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 30-35%38%
Republican 35-40%20%

$21.9K Vol.

Serbia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

$23.0K Vol.

Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner

Allyson72%
Cadu de Lula25%

$68.7K Vol.

NY-23 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%33%
Republican 15-20%28%

$12.9K Vol.

Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

$22.6K Vol.monthly

KS-04 House Election Winner

Ron Estes (R)96%
Katy Tyndell (D)5%

$106.3K Vol.

London, ON Mayoral Election Winner

Josh Morgan83%
Susan Stevenson10%

$16.2K Vol.

Hsinchu City Mayor Election Winner

Ann Kao89%
Chuang Ching-cheng11%

$30.8K Vol.

Kitchener, ON Mayoral Election Winner

Berry Vrbanovic97%
Manikantan Nair2%

$3.8K Vol.

Aguascalientes Congress Election Winner

PAN57%
Morena26%

$4.8K Vol.

New South Wales Legislative Council: Most Seats After Election

Labor53%
Liberal–National20%

$4.6K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Ceará

Lula98%
Flavio Bolsonaro<1%

$2.0K Vol.

Markham, ON Mayoral Election Winner

Frank Scarpitti97%
Martin Ross3%

$23.9K Vol.

South Dakota Senate Election Winner

Mike Rounds (R)94%
Brian Bengs (I)6%

$60.5K Vol.

NJ-07 House Election Winner

$48.9K Vol.

Delta, BC Mayoral Election Winner

Dylan Kruger52%
George Harvie33%

$26.0K Vol.

MN-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 60-65%31%
Democrat 55-60%26%

$21.4K Vol.

Next Regional Board Chair of Jämtland Härjedalen?

Bengt Bergqvist51%
Robert Hamberg29%

$17.6K Vol.

PA-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 45-50%27%
Democrat 55-60%22%

$14.6K Vol.