Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Jon Ossoff14%
$1.3B Vol.

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Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

$1.0M Vol.

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen42%
Édouard Philippe21%

$150.0M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

$757.8K Vol.

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep62%
R Senate, D House28%

$22.6M Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance22%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%

$715.8M Vol.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot48%
Benjamin Netanyahu32%

$45.8M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

$160.9K Vol.

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party91%
Republican Party10%

$16.6M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

$131.5K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Aleksandar Vučić73%
Ilija Srdanović17%

$1.1M Vol.

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)65%
Ken Paxton (R)36%

$3.5M Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance49%
Marco Rubio15%

$711.2M Vol.

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

$1.2M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$70.1K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo81%
Pedro Sánchez15%

$1.8M Vol.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party64%
Republican Party37%

$6.4M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$43.7K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson82%
Ulf Kristersson15%

$10.0M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

$124.1K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)71%
Mike Rogers (R)31%

$1.6M Vol.

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

20-2442%
25-2927%

$496.6K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Luca Niculescu63%
Sorin Grindeanu14%

$5.0M Vol.

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Chiang Wan-an66%
Puma Shen34%

$881.2K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Yashar55%
Likud46%

$648.6K Vol.

NY-23 House Election Winner

Nick Langworthy (R)95%
Aaron Gies (D)2%

$52.9K Vol.

MO-02 House Election Winner

Ann Wagner (R)77%
Fred Wellman (D)23%

$65.3K Vol.

GA-11 House Election Winner

John Cowan (R)96%
Chris Harden (D)2%

$76.5K Vol.

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Olivia Chow69%
Brad Bradford31%

$330.4K Vol.

Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?

$50.5K Vol.

Iowa Governor Election Winner

Rob Sand (D)89%
Zach Lahn (R)12%

$172.5K Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4739%
4817%

$3.2M Vol.

Next Premier of British Columbia

Lorne Doerkson81%
David Eby18%

$146.7K Vol.

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

25%chance

$3.9M Vol.21 days left

Alabama Governor Election Winner

Tommy Tuberville (R)94%
Doug Jones (D)6%

$39.5K Vol.

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Sherrod Brown (D)62%
Jon Husted (R)40%

$1.2M Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova86%
Аndrey Gyurov14%

$1.2M Vol.

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola74%
Sen. Dan Sullivan27%

$1.3M Vol.

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Pete Ricketts (R)73%
Independent28%

$595.6K Vol.

Lima Mayoral Election Winner

$539.3K Vol.

TN-04 House Election Winner

$103.2K Vol.

Arizona Governor Election Winner

Katie Hobbs (D)89%
Andy Biggs (R)12%

$132.0K Vol.

House favorite on November 2 wins the election?

92%chance

$24.2K Vol.21 days left

MT-01 House Election Winner

Aaron Flint (R)70%
Sam Forstag (D)32%

$77.0K Vol.

NC-08 House Election Winner

Mark Harris (R)97%
Colby Watson (D)3%

$45.1K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

$54.7K Vol.

How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?

47–49 and 193–20724%
≤46 and ≤19222%

$65.4K Vol.

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Ruas 5-10%17%
Ruas 10-15%13%

$23.6K Vol.

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%chance

$12.5M Vol.2 months left

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Marine Le Pen89%
Édouard Philippe49%

$351.0K Vol.

TX-35 House Election Winner

Johnny Garcia (D)59%
Carlos De La Cruz (R)41%

$52.6K Vol.

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

98%chance

$642.2K Vol.2 months left

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra96%
Steve Hilton4%

$41.8M Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

$43.6K Vol.

MN-05 House Election Winner

Ilhan Omar (D)95%
John Nagel (R)5%

$66.1K Vol.

Maine Senate Election Winner

Troy Jackson (D)60%
Susan Collins (R)42%

$2.2M Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round Winner

Marine Le Pen87%
Édouard Philippe7%

$7.1K Vol.

NY-24 House Election Winner

$43.9K Vol.

NM-02 House Election Winner

$73.7K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pará

Lula81%
Flavio Bolsonaro20%

$41.0K Vol.

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

$81.9K Vol.

GA-09 House Election Winner

Andrew Clyde (R)96%
Caitlyn Gegen (D)2%

$42.4K Vol.

TX-26 House Election Winner

Brandon Gill (R)97%
Steven Shook (D)2%

$62.4K Vol.

OH-14 House Election Winner

David Joyce (R)96%
Maria Jukic (D)4%

$79.7K Vol.

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Nithya Raman54%
Karen Bass47%

$15.3M Vol.

TX-28 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 6-9%21%
Democrat 9-12%20%

$17.7K Vol.

Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ulrich Siegmund77%
Sven Schulze3%

$454.8K Vol.

Spain General Election Winner

PP86%
PSOE14%

$101.1K Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Édouard Philippe35%
David Lisnard26%

$5.9K Vol.

TX-25 House Election Winner

Roger Williams (R)97%
Dione Sims (D)2%

$39.8K Vol.

FL-14 House Election Winner

Kathy Castor (D)68%
Mike Beltran (R)28%

$66.7K Vol.

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

$70.7K Vol.

Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory

Remain 40–60%62%
Remain 20–40%20%

$17.2K Vol.

FL-08 House Election Winner

$59.9K Vol.

TX-27 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%31%
Republican 15-20%30%

$12.8K Vol.

TN-05 House Election Winner

Charlie Hatcher (R)95%
Chaz Molder (D)5%

$71.7K Vol.

Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?

S + MP + C + V25%
S + MP21%

$86.7K Vol.

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Below 19024%
205-20923%

$324.9K Vol.

NY-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%22%
Republican 3-6%17%

$23.3K Vol.

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Rahm Emanuel24%
Gavin Newsom14%

$1.2M Vol.

WI-05 House Election Winner

$93.2K Vol.

Texas Governor Election Winner

Greg Abbott (R)79%
Gina Hinojosa (D) 21%

$527.2K Vol.

TX-15 House Election Winner

Bobby Pulido (D)83%
Monica De La Cruz (R)19%

$57.8K Vol.

Next Serbia Presidential Election Winner

Miloš Vučević30%
Ana Brnabić22%

$79.9K Vol.

New Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Su Chiao-hui52%
Lee Shu-chuan49%

$102.2K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas

Flavio Bolsonaro52%
Lula47%

$57.8K Vol.

Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

Jon Ossoff67%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez19%

$46.7K Vol.

Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory

Moody 9-12%25%
Moody 6-9%23%

$18.7K Vol.

Switzerland’s November Referendum: What will pass?

$19.4K Vol.monthly

TN-08 House Election Winner

David Kustoff (R)97%
Heidi Kuhn (D)3%

$48.3K Vol.

Oregon Governor Election Winner

Tina Kotek (D)76%
Christine Drazan (R)25%

$87.9K Vol.

Florida Governor Election Winner

Byron Donalds (R) 79%
David Jolly (D)21%

$295.8K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais

Flavio Bolsonaro91%
Lula7%

$11.4K Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Jean-Luc Mélenchon41%
Édouard Philippe36%

$4.0K Vol.

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Amy Acton (D)70%
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)31%

$326.9K Vol.

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

57%chance

$49.9K Vol.2 months left

SC-01 House Election Winner

$82.2K Vol.

Iowa Senate Election Winner

Ashley Hinson (R)57%
Josh Turek (D)43%

$872.8K Vol.

TX-36 House Election Winner

Brian Babin (R)95%
Rhonda Hart (D)4%

$47.8K Vol.

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Florida99%
California98%

$431.0K Vol.

OH-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 0-3%21%
Democrat 3-6%19%

$15.0K Vol.

TX-21 House Election Winner

Mark Teixeira (R)96%
Kristin Hook (D)4%

$69.2K Vol.

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

↓ 7%50%
↑ 12%22%

$180.4K Vol.

MO-06 House Election Winner

Chris Stigall (R)95%
Josh Smead (D)6%

$57.7K Vol.

WI-07 House Election Winner

Michael Alfonso (R)95%
Fred Clark (D)4%

$61.5K Vol.

NC-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 6-9%26%
Republican 3-6%21%

$11.2K Vol.

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

Pete Fry67%
Ken Sim32%

$271.2K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 4th Place

Yisrael Beiteinu36%
The Democrats31%

$3.4K Vol.

OR-02 House Election Winner

Cliff Bentz (R)95%
Chris Beck (D)5%

$20.5K Vol.

HI-02 House Election Winner

Jill Tokuda (D)96%
Brenton Awa (R)4%

$81.0K Vol.

NY-11 House Election Winner

$38.5K Vol.

NJ-07 House Election Winner

$47.6K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad

Lula66%
Flavio Bolsonaro32%

$57.2K Vol.

PA-01 House Election Winner

Brian Fitzpatrick (R)63%
Bob Harvie (D)39%

$36.0K Vol.

NY-14 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 45-50%30%
Democrat 40-45%30%

$15.4K Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Andrey Gyurov88%
Natalia Kiselova9%

$3.1K Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Kostadin Kostadinov87%
Boyko Borissov6%

$3.2K Vol.

Wyoming Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 30-35%27%
Republican 40-45%20%

$33.3K Vol.

WV-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 30-35%26%
Republican 45%+19%

$13.5K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

No Next Minister by Feb 2832%
Tally Gotliv14%

$45.8K Vol.