Elections

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom15%
$1.3B Vol.

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Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen42%
Édouard Philippe22%

$149.9M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

$1.0M Vol.

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep62%
R Senate, D House28%

$22.5M Vol.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot47%
Benjamin Netanyahu31%

$45.8M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

$705.6K Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance22%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%

$715.7M Vol.

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party91%
Republican Party10%

$16.6M Vol.

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

$1.1M Vol.

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)64%
Ken Paxton (R)36%

$3.4M Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance48%
Marco Rubio15%

$711.1M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

$106.0K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Aleksandar Vučić70%
Ilija Srdanović17%

$1.1M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo81%
Pedro Sánchez15%

$1.8M Vol.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party64%
Republican Party37%

$6.4M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

$45.2K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$43.1K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)71%
Mike Rogers (R)30%

$1.6M Vol.

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

20-2443%
25-2926%

$495.3K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson82%
Ulf Kristersson16%

$10.0M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$23.4K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Luca Niculescu59%
Sorin Grindeanu14%

$4.9M Vol.

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Chiang Wan-an68%
Puma Shen34%

$874.2K Vol.

NY-23 House Election Winner

Nick Langworthy (R)96%
Aaron Gies (D)2%

$52.9K Vol.

MO-02 House Election Winner

Ann Wagner (R)77%
Fred Wellman (D)23%

$65.3K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

$111.9K Vol.

GA-11 House Election Winner

John Cowan (R)96%
Chris Harden (D)1%

$75.8K Vol.

Iowa Governor Election Winner

Rob Sand (D)88%
Zach Lahn (R)12%

$172.5K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pará

Lula81%
Flavio Bolsonaro20%

$40.9K Vol.

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Olivia Chow71%
Brad Bradford30%

$327.7K Vol.

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

25%chance

$3.9M Vol.22 days left

Lima Mayoral Election Winner

$538.3K Vol.

Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?

$45.9K Vol.

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Sherrod Brown (D)62%
Jon Husted (R)40%

$1.2M Vol.

Alabama Governor Election Winner

Tommy Tuberville (R)93%
Doug Jones (D)7%

$37.7K Vol.

Arizona Governor Election Winner

Katie Hobbs (D)89%
Andy Biggs (R)12%

$131.9K Vol.

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola73%
Sen. Dan Sullivan27%

$1.3M Vol.

House favorite on November 2 wins the election?

92%chance

$23.7K Vol.22 days left

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

$54.6K Vol.

NC-08 House Election Winner

Mark Harris (R)96%
Colby Watson (D)3%

$44.9K Vol.

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Ruas 5-10%17%
Ruas 10-15%13%

$23.6K Vol.

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%chance

$12.5M Vol.2 months left

How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?

47–49 and 193–20725%
≤46 and ≤19222%

$64.7K Vol.

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Pete Ricketts (R)73%
Independent28%

$592.4K Vol.

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Marine Le Pen89%
Édouard Philippe50%

$348.7K Vol.

Maine Senate Election Winner

Troy Jackson (D)60%
Susan Collins (R)42%

$2.2M Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

$43.6K Vol.

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra96%
Steve Hilton4%

$41.8M Vol.

NY-24 House Election Winner

$43.9K Vol.

NM-02 House Election Winner

$73.6K Vol.

Next Chancellor of Germany before 2028?

$81.9K Vol.

TX-26 House Election Winner

Brandon Gill (R)97%
Steven Shook (D)2%

$62.4K Vol.

OH-14 House Election Winner

David Joyce (R)96%
Maria Jukic (D)4%

$79.7K Vol.

GA-09 House Election Winner

Andrew Clyde (R)96%
Caitlyn Gegen (D)2%

$42.1K Vol.

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Nithya Raman54%
Karen Bass47%

$15.3M Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4739%
4817%

$3.1M Vol.

Kansas Senate Election Winner

Roger Marshall (R)63%
Adam Hamilton (D)38%

$884.7K Vol.

Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ulrich Siegmund77%
Sven Schulze3%

$454.8K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Likud50%
Yashar49%

$631.2K Vol.

Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory

Remain 40–60%67%
Remain 20–40%20%

$17.0K Vol.

Texas Senate Election: Fort Bend County Winner

James Talarico (D)97%
Ken Paxton (R)3%

$11.6K Vol.

MN-05 House Election Winner

Ilhan Omar (D)93%
John Nagel (R)5%

$64.0K Vol.

TX-25 House Election Winner

Roger Williams (R)97%
Dione Sims (D)2%

$39.8K Vol.

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

$70.7K Vol.

Spain General Election Winner

PP87%
PSOE14%

$99.9K Vol.

FL-08 House Election Winner

$59.9K Vol.

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Below 19024%
205-20923%

$324.9K Vol.

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Jean-Luc Mélenchon94%
Marine Le Pen92%

$540.0K Vol.

WI-05 House Election Winner

$93.2K Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Jean-Luc Mélenchon55%
Édouard Philippe35%

$4.7K Vol.

FL-14 House Election Winner

Kathy Castor (D)67%
Mike Beltran (R)28%

$66.1K Vol.

TX-28 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 9-12%19%
Democrat 6-9%19%

$15.5K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas

Flavio Bolsonaro52%
Lula48%

$57.7K Vol.

Which coalition will form the next Swedish government?

S + MP + C + V25%
S + MP22%

$85.9K Vol.

Democratic nomination odds leader on October 31?

Jon Ossoff67%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez20%

$46.7K Vol.

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Rahm Emanuel18%
Gavin Newsom14%

$1.2M Vol.

Texas Governor Election Winner

Greg Abbott (R)79%
Gina Hinojosa (D) 21%

$526.0K Vol.

HI-02 House Election Winner

Jill Tokuda (D)95%
Brenton Awa (R)4%

$81.0K Vol.

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

58%chance

$49.8K Vol.2 months left

TN-08 House Election Winner

David Kustoff (R)97%
Heidi Kuhn (D)3%

$48.3K Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova89%
Аndrey Gyurov12%

$1.2M Vol.

OH-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 0-3%21%
Democrat 3-6%19%

$15.0K Vol.

TN-05 House Election Winner

Charlie Hatcher (R)95%
Chaz Molder (D)5%

$70.7K Vol.

TX-36 House Election Winner

Brian Babin (R)95%
Rhonda Hart (D)4%

$47.8K Vol.

Oregon Governor Election Winner

Tina Kotek (D)77%
Christine Drazan (R)24%

$87.6K Vol.

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

↓ 7%50%
↑ 12%21%

$180.4K Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Jean-Luc Mélenchon41%
Gabriel Attal28%

$3.9K Vol.

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Florida99%
California97%

$430.9K Vol.

TX-21 House Election Winner

Mark Teixeira (R)96%
Kristin Hook (D)4%

$69.2K Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round Winner

Marine Le Pen82%
Édouard Philippe6%

$3.7K Vol.

SC-01 House Election Winner

$81.9K Vol.

Florida Governor Election Winner

Byron Donalds (R) 79%
David Jolly (D)21%

$295.3K Vol.

Next Premier of British Columbia

Lorne Doerkson76%
David Eby25%

$135.1K Vol.

MO-06 House Election Winner

Chris Stigall (R)96%
Josh Smead (D)5%

$57.5K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

No Next Minister by Feb 2833%
Tally Gotliv14%

$45.8K Vol.

OR-02 House Election Winner

Cliff Bentz (R)96%
Chris Beck (D)5%

$20.5K Vol.

WI-07 House Election Winner

Michael Alfonso (R)95%
Fred Clark (D)4%

$61.3K Vol.

TX-27 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%32%
Republican 15-20%22%

$10.9K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 4th Place

Yisrael Beiteinu38%
The Democrats33%

$3.3K Vol.

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

Pete Fry67%
Ken Sim32%

$270.7K Vol.