Elections

Presidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance22%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
$716.6M Vol.

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Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot47%
Benjamin Netanyahu28%

$46.5M Vol.

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party91%
Republican Party10%

$17.4M Vol.

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep63%
R Senate, D House28%

$23.4M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

$1.7M Vol.

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen44%
Édouard Philippe20%

$150.9M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Luca Niculescu92%
Ilie Bolojan1%

$5.3M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

$1.2M Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance48%
Marco Rubio14%

$711.5M Vol.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17%
Gavin Newsom15%

$1.3B Vol.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party64%
Republican Party38%

$6.6M Vol.

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)64%
Ken Paxton (R)38%

$3.7M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

$258.8K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Serbia?

Aleksandar Vučić69%
Ilija Srdanović20%

$1.3M Vol.

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Chiang Wan-an64%
Puma Shen36%

$1.1M Vol.

Nevada Governor Election Winner

Aaron Ford (D)52%
Joe Lombardo (R)48%

$420.0K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson79%
Ulf Kristersson17%

$10.1M Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Yashar60%
Likud40%

$701.7K Vol.

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

$1.2M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

$195.7K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place

Together84%
The Democrats8%

$49.6K Vol.

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Olivia Chow72%
Brad Bradford28%

$379.8K Vol.

MN-06 House Election Winner

Tom Emmer (R)95%
Doug Chapin (D)3%

$94.0K Vol.

Which coalition will form the next Romanian government?

PSD76%
PSD + UDMR7%

$87.9K Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

Alberto Núñez Feijóo82%
Pedro Sánchez17%

$1.8M Vol.

Maine Senate Election Winner

Troy Jackson (D)60%
Susan Collins (R)42%

$2.3M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

$234.5K Vol.

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

$785.1K Vol.

Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?

92%chance

$29.6K Vol.9 days left

PA-16 House Election Winner

Mike Kelly (R)96%
Justin Wagner (D)4%

$73.6K Vol.

OH-14 House Election Winner

David Joyce (R)96%
Maria Jukic (D)2%

$95.8K Vol.

Minnesota Senate Election Winner

Peggy Flanagan (D)88%
Michele Tafoya (R)13%

$268.3K Vol.

Which parties will be part of the next government of Romania?

PSD91%
UDMR20%

$69.3K Vol.

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

20-2442%
25-2926%

$516.3K Vol.

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Amy Acton (D)72%
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)28%

$419.3K Vol.

Next French Presidential Election: who will advance to the 2nd round?

Marine Le Pen91%
Édouard Philippe44%

$368.3K Vol.

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

$277.2K Vol.

MD-01 House Election Winner

Andy Harris (R)87%
Dan Schwartz (D)14%

$88.0K Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round Winner

Marine Le Pen87%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon7%

$26.0K Vol.

Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory

Remain 40–60%56%
Remain 60–80%26%

$32.7K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$97.9K Vol.

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

$130.9K Vol.

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Nithya Raman54%
Karen Bass46%

$15.3M Vol.

NE-02 House Election Winner

$59.9K Vol.

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Javier Milei54%
Axel Kicillof33%

$851.2K Vol.

Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?

$60.7K Vol.

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Pete Ricketts (R)73%
Independent28%

$618.8K Vol.

Texas Governor Election Winner

Greg Abbott (R)78%
Gina Hinojosa (D) 23%

$559.6K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)71%
Mike Rogers (R)31%

$1.6M Vol.

Mississippi Senate Election Winner

Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)91%
Scott Colom (D)10%

$152.5K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá

Flavio Bolsonaro74%
Lula28%

$63.4K Vol.

Alaska Governor Election Winner

$1.5M Vol.

Next Romania PM appointed by…?

December 3196%
October 3194%

$61.1K Vol.

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Sherrod Brown (D)62%
Jon Husted (R)39%

$1.2M Vol.

Iowa Senate Election Winner

Ashley Hinson (R)57%
Josh Turek (D)42%

$886.7K Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova87%
Аndrey Gyurov14%

$1.2M Vol.

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra96%
Steve Hilton4%

$41.9M Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Jean-Luc Mélenchon39%
Édouard Philippe31%

$15.3K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

No Next Minister by Feb 2833%
Gadi Eizenkot18%

$63.5K Vol.

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%chance

$12.5M Vol.2 months left

Kansas Senate Election Winner

Roger Marshall (R)63%
Adam Hamilton (D)38%

$906.3K Vol.

UT-02 House Election Winner

Blake Moore (R)95%
Peter Crosby (D)5%

$31.0K Vol.

Next Ministerpräsident of Sachsen-Anhalt?

Ulrich Siegmund78%
Sven Schulze3%

$467.6K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pará

Lula83%
Flavio Bolsonaro16%

$50.1K Vol.

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

26%chance

$3.9M Vol.19 days left

MT-01 House Election Winner

Aaron Flint (R)69%
Sam Forstag (D)32%

$86.7K Vol.

IL-05 House Election Winner

Mike Quigley (D)97%
Tommy Hanson (R)2%

$35.3K Vol.

HI-01 House Election Winner

Ed Case (D)96%
Adriel Lam (R)3%

$53.0K Vol.

Saanich, BC Mayoral Election Winner

Zac de Vries83%
Rishi Sharma16%

$49.7K Vol.

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Jean-Luc Mélenchon94%
Marine Le Pen92%

$550.7K Vol.

WI-05 House Election Winner

$98.9K Vol.

MI-05 House Election Winner

$37.3K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas

Lula59%
Flavio Bolsonaro42%

$74.6K Vol.

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

Pete Fry59%
Ken Sim41%

$280.7K Vol.

Party of Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Independent/Technocrat95%
PSD3%

$347.8K Vol.

Spain General Election Winner

PP85%
PSOE14%

$107.6K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad

Lula67%
Flavio Bolsonaro31%

$68.0K Vol.

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

Elif Eralp82%
Stefan Evers17%

$237.4K Vol.

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Ruas 20%+16%
Ruas 5-10%13%

$30.8K Vol.

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner

Douglas Ruas99%
Eduardo Paes<1%

$786.4K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place

Likud60%
Yashar34%

$21.0K Vol.

TX-22 House Election Winner

$35.7K Vol.

TX-15 House Election Winner

Bobby Pulido (D)82%
Monica De La Cruz (R)19%

$63.1K Vol.

FL-28 House Election Winner

Carlos Giménez (R)95%
Phil Ehr (D)5%

$65.1K Vol.

Texas Senate Election: Tarrant County Winner

James Talarico (D)95%
Ken Paxton (R)5%

$25.1K Vol.

Minnesota Senate Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 5-10%33%
Democrat 0-5%23%

$5.7K Vol.

Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?

<2.75%53%
3.75-4.25%22%

$5.1K Vol.

Next Premier of British Columbia

Lorne Doerkson80%
David Eby22%

$157.6K Vol.

Georgia Governor Election Winner

$192.8K Vol.

Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory

Paxton 0-3%31%
Talarico 0-3%30%

$31.1K Vol.

Georgia Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Ossoff 6-9%22%
Ossoff 9-12%21%

$21.6K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

Yashar55%
The Democrats54%

$58.6K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$49.7K Vol.

CA-14 House Election Winner (Individual)

Aisha Wahab86%
Melissa Hernandez8%

$30.1K Vol.

AZ-06 House Election Winner

JoAnna Mendoza (D)83%
Juan Ciscomani (R)15%

$17.3K Vol.

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

$360.8K Vol.

Iowa Governor Election Winner

Rob Sand (D)91%
Zach Lahn (R)10%

$242.9K Vol.

MN-05 House Election Winner

Ilhan Omar (D)95%
John Nagel (R)5%

$71.9K Vol.

FL-28 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%31%
Republican 10-15%25%

$14.6K Vol.

NY-13 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 65-70%37%
Democrat 70-75%26%

$28.6K Vol.

MI-12 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 45-50%32%
Democrat 55-60%26%

$17.4K Vol.

NY-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 15-20%26%
Democrat 10-15%24%

$19.1K Vol.

New Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Su Chiao-hui51%
Lee Shu-chuan50%

$109.3K Vol.

French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Édouard Philippe39%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon37%

$13.0K Vol.

Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

↑ 40%54%
↓ 30%46%

$76.3K Vol.

Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?

69%chance

$3.8K Vol.12 days left

Campeche Congress Election Winner

Morena38%
MC30%

$4.2K Vol.

CO-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 3-6%19%
Republican 0-3%18%

$26.1K Vol.

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

↓ 7%27%
↑ 12%22%

$183.8K Vol.

CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)

Doris Matsui65%
Mai Vang36%

$25.6K Vol.

Spain General Election: Turnout

70%+36%
66-68%26%

$6.1K Vol.

Serbia Election: Student List Vote Share?

35-40%28%
40-45%28%

$21.6K Vol.

Texas Railroad Commissioner Election Winner

Jon Rosenthal (D)56%
Bo French (R)44%

$17.3K Vol.

Will Israel election happen as scheduled?

92%chance

$53.9K Vol.12 days left

Israeli Legislative Election: 4th Place

The Democrats35%
Yisrael Beiteinu24%

$8.7K Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Iotova 20-30%54%
Iotova 10-20%31%

$16.4K Vol.

Wyoming Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 40-45%28%
Republican 30-35%20%

$39.9K Vol.

Democratic Senate odds on October 16?

62-64%44%
64-66%22%

$7.7K Vol.weekly

Michoacán Congress Election Winner

Morena48%
PVEM33%

$5.1K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

$40.9K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Berlin state government?

Grüne64%
SPD53%

$22.3K Vol.

IA-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%32%
Republican 20-25%28%

$19.0K Vol.

Israel Election: Together vote share?

9-11%35%
7-9%26%

$5.2K Vol.

Richmond Mayoral Election

Rob Howard41%
Kash Heed31%

$36.1K Vol.

OH-07 House Election Winner

Brian Poindexter (D)81%
Max Miller (R)20%

$92.6K Vol.

Next Premier of Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon>99%
Christine Fréchette<1%

$416.8K Vol.

Florida Senate Election Winner

Ashley Moody (R)91%
Angie Nixon (D)9%

$226.5K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Matan Kahana17%

$44.7K Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Andrey Gyurov92%
Kostadin Kostadinov4%

$6.0K Vol.

Spain General Election: PP + Vox get 50%+ of Vote?

47%chance

$2.2K Vol.45 days left

Chiapas Congress Election Winner

Morena62%
PT7%

$5.9K Vol.

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

>99%chance

$664.9K Vol.2 months left

Delta, Nigeria Governor Election Winner

$21.7K Vol.

Vermont Governor Election Winner

Phil Scott (R)75%
Amanda Janoo (D)25%

$236.5K Vol.

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

1%chance

$228.3K Vol.19 days left

Which parties will be in the next Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state government?

SPD98%
Grüne86%

$23.4K Vol.

GA-09 House Election Winner

Andrew Clyde (R)95%
Caitlyn Gegen (D)2%

$44.5K Vol.

Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?

47%chance

$53.5K Vol.2 months left

Colima Congress Election Winner

Morena53%
PVEM18%

$6.9K Vol.

FL-25 House Election Winner

Jared Moskowitz (D)78%
Scott Singer (R)23%

$36.2K Vol.

Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-5%27%
Democrat Wins27%

$22.3K Vol.

IA-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 9-12%20%
Democrat 6-9%19%

$14.5K Vol.

Amazonas Governor Election Winner

Omar Aziz91%
Professora Maria do Carmo10%

$53.2K Vol.

AZ-02 House Election Winner

Eli Crane (R)73%
Jonathan Nez (D)26%

$15.7K Vol.

Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory

Moody 6-9%23%
Moody 3-6%18%

$23.2K Vol.

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Democrats 8-10%28%
Democrats 10-12%22%

$157.1K Vol.

OH-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 30-35%36%
Republican 35-40%22%

$21.8K Vol.

IA-01 House Election Winner

$45.0K Vol.

Next US Senate Minority Leader?

John Thune46%
Chuck Schumer36%

$11.4K Vol.

TN-08 House Election Winner

David Kustoff (R)97%
Heidi Kuhn (D)3%

$50.0K Vol.

NC-14 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 5-10%26%
Republican 15-20%22%

$9.2K Vol.

Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?

3%chance

$24.9K Vol.2 months left

OH-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 0-3%20%
Democrat 3-6%17%

$17.3K Vol.

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

Andy Beshear89%
Ted Cruz83%

$111.7K Vol.

TN-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 9-12%28%
Republican 6-9%25%

$15.4K Vol.

Who will Trump endorse for President of Brazil?

Flávio Bolsonaro20%
Romeu Zema1%

$55.0K Vol.

Serbia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

$22.9K Vol.

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael vote share?

<2.5%37%
2.5-3.25%29%

$5.1K Vol.

NC-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 12-15%20%
Democrat 3-6%20%

$10.5K Vol.

TX-28 House Election Winner

Henry Cuellar (D)91%
Tano Tijerina (R)9%

$13.1K Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round Winner

Iliana Iotova97%
Andrey Gyurov2%

$15.2K Vol.

Hidalgo Congress Election Winner

Morena70%
PVEM7%

$5.4K Vol.

FL-03 House Election Winner

Kat Cammack (R)95%
Seth Harp (D)5%

$40.3K Vol.

Lima Mayoral Election Winner

$542.5K Vol.

Baja California Congress Election Winner

Morena50%
MC23%

$5.0K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Alagoas

Lula98%
Flavio Bolsonaro2%

$13.5K Vol.

IL-16 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%26%
Republican 5-10%23%

$14.7K Vol.

PA-08 House Election Winner

Paige Cognetti (D)72%
Rob Bresnahan (R)28%

$20.6K Vol.

KY-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%32%
Republican 25-30%28%

$26.8K Vol.

MO-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%18%
Republican 9-12%17%

$20.5K Vol.

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Rahm Emanuel26%
Gavin Newsom14%

$1.2M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Minas Gerais

Flavio Bolsonaro90%
Lula6%

$13.0K Vol.

TX-22 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%30%
Republican 10-15%28%

$15.7K Vol.

Estonia Parliamentary Election Winner

Isamaa48%
Centre Party30%

$2.4K Vol.

Next President of Germany?

Ilse Aigner38%
Karin Prien20%

$3.3K Vol.

Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout

900K-975K69%
825K-900K13%

$35.5K Vol.

WI-06 House Election Winner

Glenn Grothman (R)91%
Brad Smith (D)9%

$39.8K Vol.

PA-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 40-45%32%
Democrat 35-40%22%

$15.8K Vol.

GA-09 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Republican 30-35%26%
Republican 20-25%23%

$22.3K Vol.

NY-23 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%37%
Republican 15-20%28%

$12.9K Vol.

Tocantins Governor Election Winner

Vicentinho Júnior79%
Professora Dorinha19%

$29.9K Vol.

South Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory

Graham 0-5%32%
Graham 5-10%27%

$18.9K Vol.

Zacatecas Congress Election Winner

Morena57%
PAN21%

$5.6K Vol.

Rio Grande do Norte Governor Election Winner

Allyson74%
Cadu de Lula21%

$68.6K Vol.

NJ-07 House Election Winner

Rebecca Bennett (D)92%
Thomas Kean Jr. (R)10%

$48.9K Vol.

NY-11 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%29%
Republican 10-15%23%

$14.2K Vol.

Taichung Mayor Election Winner

Johnny Chiang73%
Ho Hsin-chun28%

$15.5K Vol.

NY-17 House Election Winner

Cait Conley (D)60%
Mike Lawler (R)41%

$67.8K Vol.