AI

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
- December 31, 202827%
- December 31, 202713%
$6.0M Vol.

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Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$1.5T84%
↑$1.75T72%

$5.5M Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Google68%
Anthropic30%

$2.5M Vol.monthly

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$1.75–$2.0T28%
$2.0–$2.25T19%

$1.7M Vol.

Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?

Saudi Arabia14%
China10%

$86.5K Vol.

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

CXMT31%
CATL23%

$536.8K Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

December 3198%
October 3182%

$465.0K Vol.

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Anthropic45%
Google40%

$2.5M Vol.monthly

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202752%
December 31, 202614%

$861.9K Vol.

North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202824%
December 31, 202717%

$250.8K Vol.

Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202820%
December 31, 202713%

$682.8K Vol.

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

December 3192%
October 3135%

$282.4K Vol.

Gemini Argon: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

55%+>99%
60%+<1%

$94.3K Vol.

Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

60%+22%
65%+8%

$136.8K Vol.

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

1.5T+52%
No IPO by December 31, 202723%

$478.8K Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

No release by October 3120%
October 1514%

$80.3K Vol.

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

60%+38%
65%+18%

$169.5K Vol.

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

Denver, CO91%
Las Vegas, NV80%

$73.2K Vol.

Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1400+93%
1420+89%

$64.0K Vol.

How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?

12-1584%
16-198%

$193.3K Vol.

Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?

Microsoft29%
Anthropic28%

$42.8K Vol.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

1480+31%
1495+26%

$284.4K Vol.

Kimi K4 released by…?

March 31, 202726%
December 31, 20269%

$30.0K Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?

1500+90%
1510+85%

$13.8K Vol.

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

1.8T+72%
1.5–1.8T21%

$520.7K Vol.

Next DeepSeek Flash released by...?

November 3073%
October 3154%

$13.9K Vol.

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

November 202659%
December 202621%

$380.6K Vol.

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Google51%
Moonshot24%

$69.3K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (H200) end of 2026?

$5.50-$6.0019%
$7.50+16%

$32.7K Vol.monthly

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Xiaomi58%
Alibaba24%

$209.1K Vol.monthly

Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202826%
December 31, 202713%

$720.9K Vol.

Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

60%+45%
65%+28%

$107.7K Vol.

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

Google53%
OpenAI33%

$15.6K Vol.weekly

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$1.5T89%
$1.75T73%

$15.1K Vol.

Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202830%
December 31, 202716%

$713.7K Vol.

GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?

$7.00+69%
$6.00-$6.509%

$102.1K Vol.monthly

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

No release by October 3194%
October 223%

$53.4K Vol.

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

17%chance

$76.7K Vol.2 months left

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Alibaba34%
Moonshot27%

$34.7K Vol.monthly

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Z.ai40%
Meta34%

$63.2K Vol.monthly

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

077%
113%

$341.8K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

Google52%
Anthropic40%

$292.5K Vol.monthly

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

December 3137%
November 3028%

$1.6M Vol.

Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by...?

December 3186%
November 3068%

$9.2K Vol.

GPT-7 released by...?

December 31, 202786%
June 30, 202743%

$16.9K Vol.

Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

Anthropic93%
OpenAI4%

$77.3K Vol.monthly

Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202825%
December 31, 202721%

$769.4K Vol.

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202767%
December 31, 202623%

$438.3K Vol.

Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$200B81%
↑$225B19%

$145.0K Vol.

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$1.25T68%
↑$1.5T25%

$1.3M Vol.

#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

Meta36%
Anthropic28%

$33.5K Vol.monthly

What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?

$1.75–$2.00T39%
$2.00–$2.25T30%

$142.2K Vol.

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

95%chance

$424.1K Vol.1 year left

SB Energy IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO before January 202761%
$40B-$50B12%

$37.7K Vol.

OpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?

$1.30T+40%
$1.20-$1.30T20%

$11.9K Vol.

Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?

9%chance

$20.5K Vol.2 months left

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

$254.1K Vol.

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

13%chance

$317.5K Vol.2 months left

#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

Google45%
OpenAI37%

$8.3K Vol.weekly

Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+28%
60%+9%

$86.6K Vol.

What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4548%
↓ $4041%

$10.5K Vol.annual

Will Claude go down on __ days in October?

5-742%
8-1030%

$11.1K Vol.monthly

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Viking Therapeutics13%
PayPal11%

$18.4M Vol.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin?

68% to 69%55%
67% to 68%40%

$14.6K Vol.

GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?

$5.50+45%
$5.00-$5.5023%

$52.7K Vol.monthly

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?

5+46%
427%

$24.2K Vol.monthly

Next Gemini Argon released by...?

January 3150%
December 3131%

$899.5 Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

50%+99%
55%+73%

$9.7K Vol.

Best AI model on October 19?

gemini-4-argon-high94%
Other4%

$8.8K Vol.weekly

Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+81%
50%+40%

$102.5K Vol.

OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25?

675-725T53%
625-675T18%

$16.9K Vol.monthly

OpenAI resumes training by...?

October 3153%
October 153%

$26.4K Vol.

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202741%
December 31, 202611%

$78.4K Vol.

#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

Anthropic50%
Meta44%

$69.6K Vol.monthly

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+81%
60%+39%

$141.9K Vol.

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

$292.8K Vol.

Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+60%
50%+45%

$157.9K Vol.

Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

20%chance

$62.1K Vol.2 months left

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?

Anthropic88%
OpenAI12%

$106.5K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?

$0.60+71%
$0.50-$0.5515%

$52.8K Vol.monthly

Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?

$40+85%
$50+69%

$7.8K Vol.

#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

Anthropic42%
Meta29%

$35.1K Vol.monthly

OpenAI resumes training on...?

$54.5K Vol.

Third-best AI Lab end of October?

Meta81%
Alibaba7%

$63.0K Vol.monthly

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

600B+95%
No IPO by December 31, 20273%

$525.5K Vol.

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$800B86%
$1T69%

$1.6M Vol.

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

Google32%
OpenAI21%

$16.5K Vol.monthly

#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

Meta46%
Anthropic30%

$57.9K Vol.monthly

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Anthropic65%
OpenAI12%

$214.2K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026?

↓ $4.0058%
↑ $7.0057%

$22.0K Vol.monthly

#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

DeepSeek94%
Google3%

$7.8K Vol.weekly

Second-best AI Lab end of October?

Anthropic58%
Google25%

$61.1K Vol.monthly

How many Codex resets week of October 12?

322%
220%

$1.7K Vol.

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

No release by October 3192%
October 204%

$112.1K Vol.

Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by...?

November 3083%
October 3133%

$10.5K Vol.

Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1510+75%
1520+46%

$7.8K Vol.

Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of October?

MiniMax80%
Google18%

$22.2K Vol.

OpenAI IPO by...?

June 30, 202735%
March 31, 202721%

$3.1M Vol.

#2 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)

Meta39%
Anthropic28%

$18.4K Vol.monthly

Third-best AI Lab end of November?

Meta60%
Alibaba13%

$16.4K Vol.monthly

Which company has #1 AI model end of November? (Style Control On)

Google53%
Anthropic36%

$32.2K Vol.monthly

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

$60.4K Vol.

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Z.ai18%
Microsoft16%

$101.6K Vol.

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

December 31, 202621%
October 31, 20263%

$484.8K Vol.

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

OpenAI82%
Anthropic12%

$38.5K Vol.monthly

SSI public model released by…?

December 3139%
November 3035%

$133.8K Vol.

GPU rental prices (H200) end of November?

$6.50+27%
$5.00-$5.5022%

$21.5K Vol.monthly

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

Google59%
OpenAI23%

$38.1K Vol.monthly

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

Google47%
Anthropic34%

$15.9K Vol.monthly

Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)

Google42%
Anthropic35%

$4.9K Vol.monthly

OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

$1.00-$1.10T38%
$1.10-$1.20T26%

$15.1K Vol.

GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of November?

$0.65-$0.7032%
$0.55-$0.6023%

$6.2K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

Anthropic78%
OpenAI15%

$51.4K Vol.monthly

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

OpenAI64%
Anthropic21%

$29.1K Vol.monthly

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Alibaba26%
Xiaomi24%

$11.0K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?

Anthropic56%
Google39%

$71.6K Vol.monthly

Next DeepSeek Pro released by...?

November 3030%
October 3120%

$24.9K Vol.

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?

Google66%
ByteDance20%

$12.1K Vol.monthly

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

OpenAI64%
Google21%

$61.3K Vol.monthly

Best AI model on October 26?

gemini-4-argon-high78%
Other19%

$4.8K Vol.weekly

What will GPT Astra's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4044%
↓ $2534%

$13.0K Vol.

OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

16%chance

$9.1K Vol.2 months left

Claude 6 released by...?

December 31, 202793%
June 30, 202773%

$38.5K Vol.

What will Anthropic's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

↑ $2572%
↑ $3061%

$14.3K Vol.

Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by...?

January 3145%
December 3137%

$1.7K Vol.

Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?

June 30, 202771%
March 31, 202723%

$12.4K Vol.

What will Claude Sonnet's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $831%
↑ $1510%

$5.7K Vol.

Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?

28%chance

$4.8K Vol.2 months left

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

November 3044%
October 3135%

$3.0K Vol.monthly

What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $1533%
↑ $2530%

$10.6K Vol.

Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?

Google8%
OpenAI7%

$5.3K Vol.

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of December?

Google50%
ByteDance28%

$9.1K Vol.monthly

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

157541%
160012%

$141.8K Vol.monthly

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of December?

OpenAI31%
Google23%

$11.7K Vol.monthly

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

45%+35%
40%+35%

$104.3K Vol.

GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?

$2.50-$3.0021%
$3.00-$3.5019%

$70.0K Vol.monthly

What will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4552%
↓ $4048%

$20.9K Vol.

Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)

Google70%
Anthropic25%

$76.5K Vol.monthly

Grok Bot on the free plan by...?

December 319%
October 315%

$6.0K Vol.

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

October 3168%
October 159%

$944.3 Vol.monthly

Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?

66%chance

$204.4K Vol.2 months left

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of November?

Anthropic66%
OpenAI16%

$17.0K Vol.monthly

Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by...?

December 3174%
November 3067%

$4.6K Vol.

#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)

Anthropic29%
Meta23%

$21.9K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

Anthropic53%
Google34%

$28.0K Vol.monthly

JIO Platforms IPO by...?

94%chance

$5.9K Vol.2 months left

GPT Astra 6.1+: Output Token Price Debut?

$40+71%
$50+48%

$6.1K Vol.

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Alibaba39%
Xiaomi28%

$52.4K Vol.monthly

Third-best AI Lab end of December?

Meta42%
Anthropic19%

$20.6K Vol.monthly

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

27%chance

$10.2K Vol.2 months left

Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by...?

November 3056%
October 3117%

$10.5K Vol.

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

Meta23%
Z.ai18%

$16.2K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?

Anthropic94%
OpenAI2%

$42.3K Vol.monthly

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

5%chance

$200.1K Vol.2 months left

Second-best AI Lab end of November?

Anthropic45%
Google34%

$24.3K Vol.monthly

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

October 3122%
October 158%

$2.5K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ in 2026?

↓ $5.5055%
↓ $5.0049%

$55.6K Vol.monthly

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

OpenAI50%
Anthropic18%

$18.7K Vol.monthly

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Anthropic40%
Google39%

$73.8K Vol.monthly

Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by...?

70%chance

$7.5K Vol.16 days left

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?

Alibaba28%
Xiaomi22%

$3.2K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best AI Agent end of December?

Anthropic72%
OpenAI10%

$7.6K Vol.monthly

Claude Opus 5.6+: Output Token Price Debut?

$15+84%
$20+58%

$4.1K Vol.

Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of October?

OpenAI84%
Google4%

$29.9K Vol.

$719.0 Vol.monthly

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of November?

Anthropic69%
OpenAI18%

$12.1K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?

Google77%
ByteDance13%

$47.7K Vol.monthly

Next Mistral Small (4.1+) released by...?

February 2855%
December 3140%

$1.2K Vol.monthly

AI data center in space by...?

December 31, 202726%
December 31, 20262%

$63.0K Vol.

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

None in 202665%
Google16%

$134.5K Vol.

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?

Anthropic37%
Google36%

$12.7K Vol.monthly

Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Alibaba38%
Xiaomi32%

$12.1K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (H100) end of November?

$3.25+23%
$2.50-$2.7522%

$8.5K Vol.monthly

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

November 3036%
October 3114%

$44.3K Vol.

Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

October 3163%
October 159%

$24.9K Vol.

Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by...?

December 3161%
October 3115%

$10.1K Vol.

GPU rental prices (B200) end of November?

$7.00-$7.5030%
<$7.0023%

$9.3K Vol.monthly

Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?

28%chance

$59.2K Vol.2 months left

Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?

October 317%
October 162%

$35.3K Vol.

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

60%chance

$3.7K Vol.1 year left

Second-best AI Lab end of December?

Google38%
Anthropic37%

$13.1K Vol.monthly

Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by...?

December 3192%
October 3117%

$1.3K Vol.

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Moonshot28%
Alibaba18%

$11.2K Vol.monthly

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

156045%
158017%

$237.7K Vol.monthly

Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Xiaomi21%
DeepSeek19%

$126.2K Vol.

Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by...?

December 3171%
November 3051%

$3.2K Vol.

What will GPT Sol's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $836%
↑ $1530%

$6.0K Vol.

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Anthropic45%
Meta9%

$18.0K Vol.

Deepseek IPO by...?

December 31, 202776%
September 30, 202762%

$51.6K Vol.

GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?

$2.75-$3.0028%
$2.50-$2.7523%

$35.0K Vol.monthly

Will Neuralink’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$60B55%
↑$75B25%

$99.8K Vol.

Gemini Spark on the free plan by...?

December 3133%
October 31<1%

$3.3K Vol.

Best Chinese AI Company end of December?

Alibaba35%
Xiaomi23%

$6.9K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?

Anthropic74%
OpenAI14%

$19.4K Vol.monthly

Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?

December 31, 202831%
December 31, 202712%

$27.1K Vol.

Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?

1480+86%
1490+70%

$21.3K Vol.

Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?

November 3069%
October 3146%

$948.8 Vol.

Muse Charm released by...?

December 3153%
December 1547%

$2.4K Vol.

GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?

$6.50+77%
$6.00-$6.5018%

$43.6K Vol.monthly

Next Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by...?

January 3162%
December 3155%

$275.0 Vol.

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

Google30%
Alibaba17%

$13.3K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ in 2026?

↓ $2.2554%
↑ $3.5049%

$16.6K Vol.daily

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

Anthropic91%
OpenAI5%

$32.1K Vol.monthly

14%chance

$599.2 Vol.2 months left

Which exchange will Anthropic list on?

NASDAQ94%
Other5%

$1.0K Vol.

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

6%chance

$63.5K Vol.2 months left

Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

35%chance

$1.6K Vol.2 months left

Muse on Meta glasses by...?

December 3150%
October 3123%

$5.1K Vol.

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of December?

OpenAI56%
Anthropic27%

$9.5K Vol.monthly

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?

Meta29%
Google18%

$11.4K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?

$0.75-$1.0067%
$1.00-$1.2527%

$49.3K Vol.monthly

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

$ANTH35%
$ANT17%

$124.2K Vol.

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

↑ 154046%
↑ 155027%

$223.3K Vol.daily

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?

OpenAI80%
SpaceXAI4%

$24.9K Vol.monthly

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

88%chance

$29.1K Vol.2 months left

OpenAI acquired before 2027?

3%chance

$4.9K Vol.2 months left

Anthropic lab leak by...?

$156.1K Vol.

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

Earbuds/Headphones16%
Glasses13%

$454.3K Vol.

Will Canva’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$42.5B3%
↑$50B2%

$82.0K Vol.

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of December?

OpenAI46%
Google22%

$11.3K Vol.monthly

Bloomberg IPO by...?

December 31, 202732%
September 30, 202725%

$12.2K Vol.

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

92%chance

$97.3K Vol.2 months left

AI artwork hits $10M at major auction in 2026?

5%chance

$804.4 Vol.2 months left

Situational Awareness raises new capital by...?

9%chance

$27.2K Vol.16 days left

Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by...?

January 3140%
December 3125%

$961.6 Vol.

Next Mistral Medium (3.6+) released by...?

January 3143%
November 3037%

$564.6 Vol.monthly

Next Mistral Large (4.1+) released by...?

March 3154%
January 3130%

$619.0 Vol.monthly

Another Codex outage in 2026?

73%chance

$516.2 Vol.2 months left

Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by...?

December 3140%
October 3111%

$4.7K Vol.

ChatGPT Dots on the free plan by...?

December 3148%
October 313%

$1.3K Vol.

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?

Anthropic51%
Google36%

$9.8K Vol.monthly

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?

Alibaba19%
Moonshot19%

$1.9K Vol.monthly

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of December?

OpenAI25%
Google23%

$5.5K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?

Anthropic82%
Google8%

$9.6K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (A100) end of November?

$0.75-$1.0054%
$1.00-$1.2522%

$15.8K Vol.monthly

America.gov removed by October 31?

3%chance

$5.4K Vol.2 months left

Next Grok Model (4.8+): Text Arena Debut?

1440+65%
1450+53%

$6.4K Vol.

OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

December 31, 202618%
October 31, 20264%

$7.8K Vol.

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

50%chance

$1.6K Vol.1 year left

DOJ fines Nvidia over Groq deal in 2026?

11%chance

$558.8 Vol.2 months left

FTC opens investigation into AI book destruction in 2026?

17%chance

$1.7K Vol.2 months left

Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?

13%chance

$7.4K Vol.2 months left

Astra removed from public access by...?

3%chance

$1.7K Vol.16 days left

OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

6%chance

$79.9 Vol.2 months left

OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

7%chance

$1.1K Vol.2 months left

Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by...?

January 3142%
December 3137%

$36.2 Vol.

Tristan Buckmaster sues OpenAI by...?

20%chance

$4.1K Vol.2 months left

SB Energy IPO by...?

December 3135%
October 317%

$10.7K Vol.

Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO?

5%chance

$10.8 Vol.1 year left

Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

69%chance

$255.2 Vol.2 years left

Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?

$20.7K Vol.

SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?

13%chance

$5.9K Vol.2 months left

Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?

4%chance

$107.1K Vol.2 months left

OpenAI criminally charged in the US in 2026?

12%chance

$2.6K Vol.2 months left

US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

6%chance

$5.3K Vol.2 months left

Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

6%chance

$577.2 Vol.2 months left

Grok 5 released by...?

December 3140%
November 3014%

$19.5K Vol.

US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

11%chance

$42.1K Vol.2 months left

US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

14%chance

$44.9K Vol.2 months left

Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?

3%chance

$3.4K Vol.2 months left

Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?

12%chance

$8.9K Vol.2 months left

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

$OAI48%
$CGPT29%

$21.2K Vol.

OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?

7%chance

$11.9K Vol.2 months left

Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?

33%chance

$10.1K Vol.2 months left

Will Lambda's valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$15B54%
↓$7B13%

$68.9K Vol.

Will Perplexity's valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$22.5B58%
↑$25B33%

$76.4K Vol.

Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by...?

30%chance

$4.9K Vol.2 months left

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

#324%
#16%

$276.0K Vol.

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?

90%Up

Up Down

$26.0K Vol.

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

77%chance

$13.2K Vol.1 year left

Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?

10%chance

$83.0K Vol.2 months left

Will OpenAI acquire Pinterest in 2026?

1%chance

$32.0K Vol.2 months left

Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?

6%chance

$42.8K Vol.2 months left

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

11%chance

$3.5K Vol.2 months left

Will OpenAI launch a token before 2027?

2%chance

$8.9K Vol.2 months left

AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?

6%chance

$40.9K Vol.2 months left

Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?

9%chance

$13.1K Vol.2 months left