All markets
Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
21%chance
- Yes20.5%
Outcomes
- Yes21%
20.5¢ per share
- No80%
79.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 20.5¢Spread 3¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 19¢ | 348.41 | $66.20 |
| 18¢ | 196.99 | $35.46 |
| 17¢ | 126.67 | $21.53 |
| 12¢ | 20 | $2.40 |
| 11¢ | 63.63 | $7.00 |
| 10¢ | 27 | $2.70 |
| 4¢ | 15.53 | $0.62 |
| 3¢ | 320 | $9.60 |
| 2¢ | 523.48 | $10.47 |
| 1¢ | 1,409.85 | $14.10 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 22¢ | 423.85 | $93.25 |
| 23¢ | 120 | $27.60 |
| 24¢ | 20 | $4.80 |
| 89¢ | 12 | $10.68 |
| 90¢ | 21 | $18.90 |
| 92¢ | 7.16 | $6.59 |
| 93¢ | 50 | $46.50 |
| 96¢ | 25 | $24.00 |
| 98¢ | 57.14 | $56.00 |
| 99¢ | 137.41 | $136.04 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tristan Buckmaster files a lawsuit against OpenAI, or any of its subsidiaries, executives, or employees, by 11:59 PM ET of the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A lawsuit in which Tristan Buckmaster is a named plaintiff, alone or jointly with others, will qualify. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.