All markets
Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?
70%chance
- Yes69.7%
Outcomes
- Yes70%
69.7¢ per share
- No30%
30.3¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 69.7¢Spread 0.3¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5¢ | 575 | $399.63 |
| 69.4¢ | 150 | $104.10 |
| 69.2¢ | 109.46 | $75.75 |
| 69.1¢ | 280.3 | $193.69 |
| 69¢ | 166 | $114.54 |
| 68.6¢ | 51 | $34.99 |
| 68¢ | 50 | $34.00 |
| 67.9¢ | 50 | $33.95 |
| 67.7¢ | 250 | $169.25 |
| 67.6¢ | 305 | $206.18 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 69.8¢ | 480 | $335.04 |
| 69.9¢ | 350 | $244.65 |
| 70¢ | 259.99 | $181.99 |
| 70.2¢ | 364.9 | $256.16 |
| 70.5¢ | 203.37 | $143.38 |
| 70.7¢ | 51 | $36.06 |
| 71¢ | 50 | $35.50 |
| 71.1¢ | 10 | $7.11 |
| 71.2¢ | 113.75 | $80.99 |
| 71.3¢ | 100 | $71.30 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.