All markets
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by December 31?
13%chance
- Yes12.5%
Outcomes
- Yes13%
12.5¢ per share
- No88%
87.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 12.5¢Spread 3¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 11¢ | 20 | $2.20 |
| 10¢ | 2,022.96 | $202.30 |
| 8¢ | 455.55 | $36.44 |
| 7¢ | 20 | $1.40 |
| 6¢ | 5 | $0.30 |
| 4¢ | 275.29 | $11.01 |
| 3¢ | 1,300 | $39.00 |
| 2¢ | 2,265.81 | $45.32 |
| 1¢ | 5,361.42 | $53.61 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 14¢ | 10 | $1.40 |
| 15¢ | 122.03 | $18.30 |
| 16¢ | 75.28 | $12.04 |
| 18¢ | 20.1 | $3.62 |
| 19¢ | 50.3 | $9.56 |
| 24¢ | 237.56 | $57.01 |
| 32¢ | 600 | $192.00 |
| 33¢ | 800 | $264.00 |
| 35¢ | 888 | $310.80 |
| 42¢ | 131.57 | $55.26 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tesla publicly launches a self-driving taxi service in California by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Services which are limited to Tesla employees or a limited test group without general access will not qualify. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.