Israel

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
- October 1598%
- October 3181%
$12.3M Vol.monthly

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 1598%
October 3187%

$34.4M Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

18%chance

$74.0M Vol.2 months left

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot48%
Benjamin Netanyahu31%

$45.9M Vol.

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

78%chance

$235.8K Vol.20 days left

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

$119.9K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Yashar59%
Likud42%

$657.9K Vol.

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

December 3120%
October 314%

$7.4M Vol.

Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)

December 3125%
October 319%

$348.5K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place

Together70%
The Democrats18%

$18.8K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

6%chance

$27.1M Vol.2 months left

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

No Next Minister by Feb 2834%
Ofer Winter17%

$38.5K Vol.

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Venezuela18%
Kuwait8%

$905.0K Vol.

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

20-2444%
25-2926%

$501.7K Vol.

Netanyahu out by...?

40%chance

$2.7M Vol.2 months left

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

$59.0K Vol.

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

Yisrael Beiteinu53%
The Democrats49%

$55.1K Vol.

Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?

7%chance

$826.8K Vol.17 days left

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

No Next Minister by Feb 2836%
Tally Gotliv16%

$48.9K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 4th Place

The Democrats44%
Together26%

$6.4K Vol.

Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

No Endorsement80%
Likud18%

$62.6K Vol.

Will Iran damage undersea internet cables by...?

December 3114%
October 315%

$22.8K Vol.

Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

October 316%
October 154%

$22.0K Vol.

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

December 31, 202734%
June 30, 202730%

$8.5M Vol.

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

October 1492%
October 1688%

$140.1K Vol.

Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?

<2.75%41%
2.75-3.25%28%

$3.1K Vol.

Will Israel election happen as scheduled?

93%chance

$51.3K Vol.13 days left

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?

<477%
4-619%

$10.9K Vol.

Israel Election: Blue and White vote share?

<0.75%48%
0.75-1.25%47%

$5.1K Vol.

Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?

20-2125%
22-2324%

$18.7K Vol.

Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

41%chance

$59.5K Vol.2 months left

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Yaron Zelekha17%

$45.0K Vol.

Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?

5.5-6.5%37%
6.5-7.5%34%

$2.8K Vol.

Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share?

6-7%44%
5-6%28%

$4.2K Vol.

$329.3K Vol.

Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?

20%chance

$6.6K Vol.13 days left

FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?

3%chance

$11.1K Vol.17 days left

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

17%chance

$15.7K Vol.8 months left

Israel Election: United Torah Judaism vote share?

5-6%36%
6-7%35%

$6.7K Vol.

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

64%chance

$2.1K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Together vote share?

9-11%36%
7-9%23%

$3.0K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Yoram Cohen13%

$42.5K Vol.

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

October 3185%
October 152%

$10.8K Vol.

Bank of Israel Decision in October?

No Change93%
Decrease7%

$60.6K Vol.annual

Next Israeli Minister of Interior?

$14.1K Vol.

Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Ra'am96%
RZP-Zehut85%

$14.6K Vol.

Israel military action against Iraq by...?

27%chance

$2.3K Vol.17 days left

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Somaliland14%
Kuwait7%

$1.8M Vol.

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

13%chance

$1.7M Vol.2 months left

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

8%chance

$20.6K Vol.17 days left

Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

35%chance

$16.8K Vol.13 days left

Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place

Likud47%
Yashar44%

$16.3K Vol.

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

473%
513%

$7.6M Vol.

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

3%chance

$862.2K Vol.2 months left

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

11%chance

$125.1K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Religious Zionist Party–Zehut vote share?

5-6%43%
4-5%30%

$4.4K Vol.

Israel Election: Shas vote share?

6-7%42%
<6%31%

$3.4K Vol.

Iran coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202719%
December 31, 202611%

$2.1M Vol.

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Italy10%
New Zealand9%

$762.4K Vol.

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael vote share?

4-5%33%
2.5-3.25%29%

$3.5K Vol.

Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit vote share?

7.5%+31%
5.5-6.5%27%

$3.7K Vol.

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

3%chance

$2.6M Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu # of seats?

8-950%
6-722%

$5.7K Vol.

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

15%chance

$65.9K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: United Arab List (Ra'am) vote share?

4-4.75%46%
3.25-4%23%

$5.0K Vol.

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?

4%chance

$26.6K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Together # of seats?

14-1631%
11-1325%

$6.8K Vol.

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

8%chance

$53.4K Vol.2 months left

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

6%chance

$688.9K Vol.2 months left

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

4%chance

$186.4K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?

53%chance

$789.5 Vol.13 days left

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

4%chance

$248.9K Vol.2 months left

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

4%chance

$92.3K Vol.2 months left

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

13%chance

$325.7K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: UTJ # of seats?

7-865%
<722%

$10.5K Vol.

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

4%chance

$535.2K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?

531%
626%

$9.1K Vol.

Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?

47%chance

$5.0K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: The Democrats vote share?

7-8%34%
6-7%27%

$2.1K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

23%chance

$15.4K Vol.1 year left

Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?

8-936%
6-727%

$3.9K Vol.

Israel military action against Syria by...?

November 3038%
October 3118%

$84.4K Vol.

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

9%chance

$473.2K Vol.2 months left

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

4%chance

$215.2K Vol.2 months left

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

6%chance

$448.3K Vol.2 months left

Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?

48%chance

$2.7K Vol.2 months left

How many Israeli elections before government formed?

162%
231%

$63.6K Vol.

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?

5%chance

$71.0K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Unity vote share?

<0.5%98%
0.5-0.75%1%

$5.4K Vol.

Netanyahu drops out before election?

2%chance

$2.2K Vol.12 days left

Israel Election: Shas # of seats?

8-937%
6-730%

$7.0K Vol.

Israel Election: Dems # of seats?

8-931%
10-1125%

$6.4K Vol.

Israel election: will Likud lose seats?

94%chance

$28.2K Vol.13 days left

Israel Election: Likud or Yashar in Government?

53%chance

$20.0 Vol.4 months left

Trump meets with Netanyahu by...?

December 3157%
October 3118%

$6.4K Vol.

Netanyahu convicted in corruption trial?

33%chance

$349.7 Vol.1 year left

Israel

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Netanyahu out by...?

Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?

Will Israel election happen as scheduled?

Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by March 31, 2027?

Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?

Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?

FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

Israel military action against Iraq by...?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?

Netanyahu drops out before election?

Israel election: will Likud lose seats?

Israel Election: Likud or Yashar in Government?

Netanyahu convicted in corruption trial?