Midterms

2026 MidtermsPredictions
Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Democratic Party91%
- Republican Party10%
$17.6M Vol.

Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 50

Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep63%
R Senate, D House28%

$23.9M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

$628.9K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

$1.8M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

$352.9K Vol.

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)63%
Ken Paxton (R)38%

$3.7M Vol.

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola74%
Sen. Dan Sullivan26%

$1.4M Vol.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party64%
Republican Party37%

$6.6M Vol.

Nevada Governor Election Winner

Aaron Ford (D)53%
Joe Lombardo (R)48%

$422.7K Vol.

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

$171.6K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

$278.8K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)71%
Mike Rogers (R)29%

$1.7M Vol.

Maine Senate Election Winner

Troy Jackson (D)60%
Susan Collins (R)42%

$2.3M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$66.0K Vol.

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?

Clay90%
Pee-wee / Peewee81%

$17.0K Vol.

OH-14 House Election Winner

David Joyce (R)96%
Maria Jukic (D)2%

$96.1K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$112.2K Vol.

New York Governor Election Winner

Kathy Hochul (D)95%
Bruce Blakeman (R)5%

$241.9K Vol.

Minnesota Senate Election Winner

Peggy Flanagan (D)88%
Michele Tafoya (R)13%

$271.6K Vol.

CA-23 House Election Winner

$101.7K Vol.

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

$794.6K Vol.

Mississippi Senate Election Winner

Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)92%
Scott Colom (D)10%

$154.2K Vol.

GA-11 House Election Winner

John Cowan (R)96%
Chris Harden (D)3%

$88.1K Vol.

NE-02 House Election Winner

$60.5K Vol.

MD-01 House Election Winner

Andy Harris (R)88%
Dan Schwartz (D)13%

$88.2K Vol.

Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?

$63.8K Vol.

Alaska Governor Election Winner

$1.5M Vol.

AR-03 House Election Winner

Steve Womack (R)96%
Robb Ryerse (D)3%

$31.1K Vol.

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Sherrod Brown (D)62%
Jon Husted (R)39%

$1.2M Vol.

Iowa Governor Election Winner

Rob Sand (D)89%
Zach Lahn (R)12%

$248.5K Vol.

PA-17 House Election Winner

Chris Deluzio (D)96%
Tony Guy (R)3%

$30.5K Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4739%
4817%

$3.2M Vol.

Georgia Governor Election Winner

$200.3K Vol.

FL-11 House Election Winner

Joe Strada (R)90%
James Pericola (D)9%

$32.3K Vol.

MN-06 House Election Winner

Tom Emmer (R)95%
Doug Chapin (D)3%

$95.1K Vol.

Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

↑ 40%44%
↓ 30%44%

$81.4K Vol.

Minnesota Attorney General Election Winner

Keith Ellison (D)77%
Ronald J. Schutz (R)23%

$23.4K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election Winner

Roger Marshall (R)63%
Adam Hamilton (D)38%

$911.2K Vol.

TX-22 House Election Winner

$41.2K Vol.

TX-23 House Election Winner

$90.0K Vol.

NC-08 House Election Winner

Mark Harris (R)95%
Colby Watson (D)4%

$57.5K Vol.

NY-24 House Election Winner

$50.0K Vol.

Texas Governor Election Winner

Greg Abbott (R)78%
Gina Hinojosa (D) 23%

$563.7K Vol.

FL-28 House Election Winner

Carlos Giménez (R)95%
Phil Ehr (D)5%

$65.1K Vol.

CA-34 House Election Winner (Individual)

Angela Gonzales-Torres80%
Jimmy Gomez19%

$33.0K Vol.

AR-02 House Election Winner

French Hill (R)85%
Chris Jones (D)16%

$38.7K Vol.

NY-03 House Election Winner

Tom Suozzi (D)88%
Mike LiPetri (R)12%

$47.5K Vol.

CA-14 House Election Winner (Individual)

Aisha Wahab87%
Melissa Hernandez9%

$30.7K Vol.

WI-08 House Election Winner

Tony Wied (R)90%
Rick Crosson (D)12%

$30.9K Vol.

Iowa Senate Election Winner

Ashley Hinson (R)59%
Josh Turek (D)42%

$889.9K Vol.

CO-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%21%
Republican 3-6%21%

$27.2K Vol.

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Amy Acton (D)72%
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)28%

$420.4K Vol.

TN-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 9-12%19%
Republican 12-15%16%

$17.7K Vol.

OH-01 House Election Winner

Greg Landsman (D)93%
Eric Conroy (R)7%

$45.7K Vol.

TX-06 House Election Winner

Jake Ellzey (R)96%
Danny Minton (D)2%

$87.1K Vol.

WI-06 House Election Winner

Glenn Grothman (R)94%
Brad Smith (D)7%

$43.0K Vol.

MI-04 House Election Winner

Bill Huizenga (R)50%
Sean McCann (D)49%

$14.9K Vol.

Wisconsin Governor Election Margin of Victory

Crowley 3-6%21%
Crowley 6-9%19%

$22.0K Vol.

MN-02 House Election Winner

Matt Little (D)94%
Eric Pratt (R)6%

$63.4K Vol.

MT-01 House Election Winner

Aaron Flint (R)68%
Sam Forstag (D)33%

$89.1K Vol.

NY-21 House Election Winner

$97.3K Vol.

FL-21 House Election Winner

Brian Mast (R)94%
James Martin (D)7%

$19.4K Vol.

New Mexico Governor Election Winner

Deb Haaland (D)93%
Gregg Hull (R)8%

$69.1K Vol.

Florida Senate Election Winner

Ashley Moody (R)91%
Angie Nixon (D)9%

$227.9K Vol.

Georgia Senate Election Winner

Jon Ossoff (D) 96%
Mike Collins (R)4%

$234.0K Vol.

OH-08 House Election Winner

$17.7K Vol.

New York Attorney General Election Winner

$12.9K Vol.

Tennessee Governor Election Winner

$20.1K Vol.

GA-09 House Election Winner

Andrew Clyde (R)96%
Caitlyn Gegen (D)3%

$45.2K Vol.

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

Texas78%
Michigan74%

$108.2K Vol.

Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory

Turek 0-3%33%
Hinson 0-3%22%

$23.2K Vol.

Which party will win white women in the midterms?

Democrats75%
Republicans20%

$35.3K Vol.

TX-28 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 6-9%20%
Democrat 3-6%18%

$23.0K Vol.

Democratic Senate odds on October 16?

62-64%82%
64-66%10%

$9.6K Vol.weekly

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Pete Ricketts (R)73%
Independent28%

$620.8K Vol.

NE-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 40-45%32%
Republican 50-55%22%

$23.3K Vol.

Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by...?

October 3120%
October 15<1%

$14.3K Vol.

OH-07 House Election Winner

Brian Poindexter (D)81%
Max Miller (R)20%

$92.6K Vol.

MS-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Republican 30-35%32%
Republican 35-40%28%

$12.4K Vol.

Arizona Governor Election Winner

Katie Hobbs (D)89%
Andy Biggs (R)11%

$137.6K Vol.

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

↓ 7%37%
↑ 12%14%

$185.8K Vol.

PA-16 House Election Winner

Mike Kelly (R)94%
Justin Wagner (D)4%

$75.5K Vol.

Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout

900K-975K69%
825K-900K14%

$36.4K Vol.

KY-06 House Election Winner

Ralph Alvarado (R)67%
Zach Dembo (D)33%

$58.2K Vol.

Massachusetts Governor Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%19%
Democrat 20-25%14%

$18.1K Vol.

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Democrats 8-10%28%
Democrats 6-8%21%

$157.5K Vol.

FL-25 House Election Winner

Jared Moskowitz (D)78%
Scott Singer (R)23%

$36.2K Vol.

How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?

47–49 and 193–20725%
≤46 and ≤19223%

$76.0K Vol.

OK-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25-30%33%
Republican 20-25%23%

$19.1K Vol.

NE-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 6-9%20%
Republican 3-6%19%

$16.2K Vol.

Wisconsin Governor Election: Turnout

2.6M-2.8M38%
2.4M-2.6M27%

$14.6K Vol.

IL-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 45-50%27%
Democrat 40-45%25%

$11.1K Vol.

TX-15 House Election Winner

Bobby Pulido (D)82%
Monica De La Cruz (R)18%

$64.8K Vol.

TX-16 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 35-40%28%
Democrat 25-30%26%

$24.8K Vol.

TN-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%29%
Republican 20-25%28%

$10.3K Vol.

KY-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25-30%28%
Republican 5-15%23%

$27.8K Vol.

VA-05 House Election Winner

John McGuire (R)76%
Tom Perriello (D)25%

$122.0K Vol.

AZ-06 House Election Winner

JoAnna Mendoza (D)84%
Juan Ciscomani (R)14%

$17.3K Vol.

VA-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 12%+32%
Republican 3-6%28%

$20.9K Vol.

Connecticut Governor Election: Turnout

1.2M-1.3M42%
1.3M-1.4M41%

$10.6K Vol.

New Jersey Senate Election: Turnout

3M-3.2M28%
3.2M-3.4M16%

$10.3K Vol.

PA-10 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 6-9%22%
Democrat 3-6%21%

$16.2K Vol.

WI-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 0-3%21%
Democrat 6-9%17%

$16.0K Vol.

NY-11 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%31%
Republican 15-20%28%

$15.3K Vol.

NJ-12 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 35-40%34%
Democrat 30-35%26%

$11.7K Vol.

NC-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 3-6%34%
Republican 3-6%26%

$12.9K Vol.

Blue wave in 2026?

86%chance

$83.1K Vol.2 months left

TX-27 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%30%
Republican 10-15%24%

$14.8K Vol.

AZ-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 20-25%32%
Democrat 15-20%17%

$9.1K Vol.

TN-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%32%
Republican 25-30%19%

$10.9K Vol.

PA-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 45-50%27%
Democrat 55-60%22%

$14.8K Vol.

MN-07 House Election Winner

$36.1K Vol.

WA-05 House Election Winner

$62.0K Vol.

Vermont Governor Election Winner

Phil Scott (R)76%
Amanda Janoo (D)25%

$237.6K Vol.

Michigan Governor Election Winner

Jocelyn Benson (D)95%
John James (R)5%

$309.4K Vol.

NY-13 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 65-70%34%
Democrat 70-75%33%

$28.9K Vol.

Closest Senate Race?

Iowa17%
Texas17%

$29.3K Vol.

Texas Railroad Commissioner Election Winner

Jon Rosenthal (D)56%
Bo French (R)44%

$17.3K Vol.

FL-15 House Election Winner

Laurel Lee (R)96%
Robert People (D)4%

$34.9K Vol.

IN-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%29%
Republican 15-20%26%

$15.3K Vol.

UT-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25-30%23%
Republican 15-20%21%

$22.4K Vol.

KY-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 55-60%26%
Republican 60-65%24%

$13.4K Vol.

Vermont Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-5%27%
Democrat Wins27%

$22.5K Vol.

NJ-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%34%
Democrat 30-35%26%

$13.7K Vol.

PA-11 House Election Winner

Lloyd Smucker (R)95%
Nancy Mannion (D)5%

$56.4K Vol.

IA-01 House Election Winner

$45.0K Vol.

IL-12 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 35-40%41%
Republican 25-30%26%

$24.2K Vol.

NY-15 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 60-65%32%
Democrat 65-70%31%

$11.6K Vol.

FL-27 House Election Winner

$38.1K Vol.

OH-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25-30%28%
Republican 20-25%25%

$11.0K Vol.

TX-37 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 60-65%32%
Democrat 50-55%27%

$13.6K Vol.

NY-23 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%34%
Republican 15-20%28%

$12.9K Vol.

MI-07 House Election Winner

William Lawrence (D)62%
Tom Barrett (R)38%

$38.0K Vol.

Which party will win the Minnesota State Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party87%
Republican Party10%

$6.4K Vol.

Nebraska Governor Election Winner

Jim Pillen (R)91%
Lynne Walz (D)10%

$24.1K Vol.

Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?

20%chance

$13.9K Vol.19 days left

TX-13 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 35-40%39%
Republican 40-45%26%

$15.6K Vol.

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Florida99%
California98%

$432.7K Vol.

NY-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 55-60%44%
Democrat 60-65%21%

$15.0K Vol.

OK-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 35-40%28%
Republican 25-30%18%

$18.7K Vol.

Midterms

2026 MidtermsPredictions

Blue wave in 2026?

Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?