Midterms

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

$603.5K Vol.

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep63%
R Senate, D House28%

$24.6M Vol.

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party91%
Republican Party10%

$18.3M Vol.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party65%
Republican Party37%

$7.0M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$223.0K Vol.

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)63%
Ken Paxton (R)38%

$4.0M Vol.

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)69%
Mike Rogers (R)33%

$1.8M Vol.

Nevada Governor Election Winner

Aaron Ford (D)59%
Joe Lombardo (R)43%

$479.8K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$141.3K Vol.

Arizona Governor Election Winner

Katie Hobbs (D)93%
Andy Biggs (R)8%

$175.9K Vol.

NC-11 House Election Winner

Jamie Ager (D)85%
Jennifer Balkcom (R)14%

$56.0K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

$1.8M Vol.

Idaho Senate Election Winner

Jim Risch (R)96%
Todd Achilles (I)4%

$172.3K Vol.

CA-06 House Election Winner

Democratic Party97%
Republican Party1%

$90.6K Vol.

CA-04 House Election Winner

Democratic Party95%
Republican Party5%

$39.4K Vol.

New Hampshire Senate Election Winner

Chris Pappas (D)91%
John E. Sununu (R)11%

$362.0K Vol.

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?

Fentanyl / Deport / Deported>99%
Maduro28%

$34.5K Vol.

Michigan Governor Election Winner

Jocelyn Benson (D)93%
John James (R)6%

$337.7K Vol.

Maine Senate Election Winner

Troy Jackson (D)60%
Susan Collins (R)41%

$2.3M Vol.

WA-05 House Election Winner

$84.4K Vol.

KS-04 House Election Winner

Ron Estes (R)95%
Katy Tyndell (D)5%

$131.5K Vol.

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Sherrod Brown (D)66%
Jon Husted (R)35%

$1.3M Vol.

OH-07 House Election Winner

Brian Poindexter (D)83%
Max Miller (R)17%

$109.2K Vol.

New York Governor Election Winner

Kathy Hochul (D)95%
Bruce Blakeman (R)5%

$257.7K Vol.

Republicans win the Senate pending oil above or below $80?

$27.5K Vol.

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola74%
Sen. Dan Sullivan26%

$1.4M Vol.

FL-03 House Election Winner

Kat Cammack (R)95%
Seth Harp (D)4%

$57.7K Vol.

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Pete Ricketts (R)73%
Independent28%

$646.5K Vol.

Alaska Governor Election Winner

$1.6M Vol.

TN-07 House Election Winner

$54.5K Vol.

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

$214.7K Vol.

NH-02 House Election Winner

$51.7K Vol.

IA-04 House Election Winner

Chris McGowan (R)97%
David Dawson (D)2%

$64.6K Vol.

North Carolina Senate Election Winner

Roy Cooper (D)96%
Michael Whatley (R)4%

$231.8K Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4739%
4817%

$3.2M Vol.

Iowa Governor Election Winner

Rob Sand (D)89%
Zach Lahn (R)13%

$257.5K Vol.

South Carolina Governor Election Winner

$26.7K Vol.

Alabama Governor Election Winner

Tommy Tuberville (R)95%
Doug Jones (D)5%

$48.7K Vol.

Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory

Talarico 0-3%32%
Paxton 0-3%31%

$40.3K Vol.

NV-04 House Election Winner

$26.6K Vol.

ME-02 House Election Winner

Paul LePage (R)63%
Matthew Dunlap (D)39%

$37.2K Vol.

TN-04 House Election Winner

$133.5K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election: Sedgwick County Winner

Roger Marshall (R)76%
Adam Hamilton (D)21%

$5.7K Vol.

New Mexico Governor Election Winner

Deb Haaland (D)94%
Gregg Hull (R)6%

$75.0K Vol.

Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2?

6%chance

$11.2K Vol.16 days left

OH-14 House Election Winner

David Joyce (R)96%
Maria Jukic (D)3%

$101.5K Vol.

Minnesota Governor Election Winner

Amy Klobuchar (D)96%
Lisa Demuth (R)4%

$96.4K Vol.

VA-02 House Election Winner

Elaine Luria (D)88%
Jen Kiggans (R)13%

$54.8K Vol.

Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by...?

17%chance

$17.3K Vol.14 days left

NC-01 House Election Winner

Don Davis (D)71%
Laurie Buckhout (R)29%

$38.7K Vol.

Georgia Senate Election Winner

Jon Ossoff (D) 96%
Mike Collins (R)4%

$242.7K Vol.

Iowa Senate Election Winner

Ashley Hinson (R)59%
Josh Turek (D)42%

$905.7K Vol.

Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

↑ 40%31%
↓ 30%24%

$89.9K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

$441.5K Vol.

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

$805.1K Vol.

Talarico Texas Senate odds hit __ by November 2?

↑ 70%33%
↑ 80%17%

$5.6K Vol.

Minnesota Senate Election Winner

Peggy Flanagan (D)87%
Michele Tafoya (R)14%

$276.2K Vol.

North Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory

Cooper 9-12%23%
Cooper 12-15%22%

$21.6K Vol.

AZ-01 House Election Winner

Amish Shah (D)83%
Jay Feely (R)18%

$70.1K Vol.

Husted flips Brown for Ohio Senate by November 2?

6%chance

$8.3K Vol.16 days left

Florida Senate Election Winner

Ashley Moody (R)91%
Angie Nixon (D)10%

$232.4K Vol.

NH-01 House Election Winner

$52.4K Vol.

Texas Governor Election Winner

Greg Abbott (R)75%
Gina Hinojosa (D) 26%

$578.0K Vol.

Texas Senate Election: Tarrant County Winner

James Talarico (D)95%
Ken Paxton (R)5%

$28.3K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election Winner

Roger Marshall (R)64%
Adam Hamilton (D)38%

$917.2K Vol.

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

Iowa72%
Texas71%

$112.5K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election Margin of Victory

Hamilton Wins38%
Marshall 0-5%37%

$14.3K Vol.

NV-03 House Election Winner

Susie Lee (D)94%
Martin O'Donnell (R)6%

$11.9K Vol.

CT-05 House Election Winner

Jahana Hayes (D)96%
Chris Shea (R)3%

$11.7K Vol.

Georgia Governor Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Jackson 0-3%25%
Jackson 3-6%22%

$11.8K Vol.

NV-01 House Election Winner

Dina Titus (D)96%
Carrie Buck (R)4%

$35.1K Vol.

VA-01 House Election Winner

Shannon Taylor (D)54%
Rob Wittman (R)47%

$72.4K Vol.

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Amy Acton (D)72%
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)28%

$440.6K Vol.

AZ-02 House Election Winner

Eli Crane (R)75%
Jonathan Nez (D)25%

$17.9K Vol.

Texas Senate favorite on November 2?

89%chance

$4.7K Vol.16 days left

Florida Governor Election Winner

Byron Donalds (R) 80%
David Jolly (D)21%

$299.1K Vol.

Georgia Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)

4.2M-4.4M29%
4M-4.2M28%

$12.1K Vol.

Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)

290K-305K37%
305K-320K21%

$16.9K Vol.

AR-02 House Election Winner

French Hill (R)83%
Chris Jones (D)18%

$41.8K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election: Oakland County Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)86%
Mike Rogers (R)9%

$4.2K Vol.

Ohio Senate favorite on November 2?

98%chance

$3.3K Vol.16 days left

MT-01 House Election Winner

Aaron Flint (R)68%
Sam Forstag (D)34%

$92.6K Vol.

Rhode Island Governor Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 15-20%19%
Democrat 20-25%19%

$23.6K Vol.

TN-05 House Election Winner

Charlie Hatcher (R)94%
Chaz Molder (D)7%

$73.5K Vol.

Maine Governor Election Winner

$46.0K Vol.

Which Senate races will be within 1%?

Kansas25%
Iowa21%

$23.6K Vol.

Florida Senate Election: Turnout

7.75M-8M23%
9M+19%

$17.4K Vol.

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Florida99%
California98%

$434.8K Vol.

Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory

Turek 0-3%32%
Hinson 0-3%21%

$25.9K Vol.

Democratic Senate odds on October 23?

62-64%40%
64-66%28%

$3.4K Vol.weekly

FL-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 5-10%34%
Republican 10-15%30%

$25.1K Vol.

Texas Senate Election: Denton County Winner

Ken Paxton (R)53%
James Talarico (D)48%

$9.2K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Tennessee?

085%
114%

$3.0K Vol.

ID-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25-30%28%
Republican 35-40%26%

$16.1K Vol.

OR-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 20-25%31%
Democrat 15-20%18%

$33.0K Vol.

FL-26 House Election Winner

$85.6K Vol.

NJ-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25-30%31%
Republican 20-25%28%

$18.1K Vol.

TN-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%31%
Republican 15-20%25%

$13.2K Vol.

OH-13 House Election Winner

Emilia Sykes (D)95%
Carey Coleman (R)1%

$43.4K Vol.

NY-15 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 65-70%33%
Democrat 60-65%28%

$13.1K Vol.

VA-06 House Election Winner

Ben Cline (R)94%
Beth Macy (D)7%

$121.7K Vol.

MN-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 20-25%27%
Democrat 15-20%26%

$10.7K Vol.

NM-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 15-20%22%
Democrat 10-15%22%

$19.6K Vol.

NY-01 House Election Winner

Nick LaLota (R)86%
Chris Gallant (D)13%

$52.5K Vol.

Which party will win the Arizona State Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party71%
Republican Party20%

$10.6K Vol.

CA-40 House Election Winner (Individual)

Ken Calvert56%
Young Kim44%

$17.2K Vol.

Oklahoma Senate Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25-30%27%
Republican 20-25%23%

$9.8K Vol.

Mississippi Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)

900K-1M40%
700K-800K38%

$8.9K Vol.

MO-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 3%+95%
Republican 0-3%3%

$64.2K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election: Leavenworth County Winner

Roger Marshall (R)76%
Adam Hamilton (D)23%

$986.0 Vol.

NE-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 50-55%20%
Republican 45-50%19%

$24.5K Vol.

Hamilton flips Marshall for Kansas Senate by November 2?

25%chance

$5.4K Vol.16 days left

TX-11 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 30-35%29%
Republican 25-30%25%

$21.4K Vol.

NY-17 House Election Winner

Cait Conley (D)61%
Mike Lawler (R)41%

$69.2K Vol.

Virginia Senate Election: Turnout

3.25M-3.5M22%
3.5M-3.75M20%

$10.9K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election: Macomb County Winner

Mike Rogers (R)62%
Abdul El-Sayed (D)31%

$7.4K Vol.

Texas Governor Election Margin of Victory

Abbott 6-9%21%
Abbott 3-6%20%

$11.2K Vol.

California Governor Election: Turnout

13M-13.5M32%
14M-14.5M31%

$10.5K Vol.

South Dakota Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%23%
Republican 20-25%22%

$20.7K Vol.

Which party will win white women in the midterms?

Democrats75%
Republicans25%

$36.3K Vol.

TX-15 House Election Winner

Bobby Pulido (D)83%
Monica De La Cruz (R)18%

$66.4K Vol.

OH-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 0-3%19%
Democrat 3-6%18%

$19.2K Vol.

TX-18 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 60-65%31%
Democrat 70-75%22%

$10.5K Vol.

TX-17 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%35%
Republican 15-20%24%

$12.0K Vol.

Collins flips Jackson for Maine Senate by November 2?

41%chance

$4.0K Vol.16 days left

TX-25 House Election Winner

Roger Williams (R)95%
Dione Sims (D)2%

$43.3K Vol.

South Dakota Senate Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-10%30%
Republican 15-20%17%

$22.0K Vol.

North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout

4.1M-4.3M30%
3.9M-4.1M28%

$18.1K Vol.

TX-27 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%27%
Republican 10-15%24%

$16.7K Vol.

Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by...?

6%chance

$3.3K Vol.14 days left

OK-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 35-40%23%
Republican 40-45%22%

$19.8K Vol.

Colorado Senate Election: Turnout

2.55M-2.7M29%
2.7M-2.85M24%

$12.8K Vol.

Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?

6%chance

$10.3K Vol.16 days left

New York Governor Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 15-20%24%
Democrat 10-15%21%

$10.0K Vol.

TX-23 House Election Winner

$95.5K Vol.

MA-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 30-35%28%
Democrat 35-40%23%

$21.2K Vol.

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Chuck Schumer56%
John Thune25%

$173.5K Vol.

HI-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 50-55%32%
Democrat 45-50%26%

$25.4K Vol.

NY-03 House Election Winner

Tom Suozzi (D)90%
Mike LiPetri (R)11%

$48.4K Vol.

Oregon Governor Election Margin of Victory

Kotek 6-9%19%
Kotek 9-12%18%

$15.8K Vol.

MO-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 30%+61%
Republican 25-30%16%

$16.9K Vol.

New York Governor Election: Turnout

6M-6.5M28%
5.5M-6M21%

$10.8K Vol.

IN-05 House Election Winner

Victoria Spartz (R)79%
J. D. Ford (D)21%

$33.1K Vol.

Nevada Governor Election Margin of Victory

Ford 0-3%20%
Lombardo 0-3%18%

$16.0K Vol.

NY-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 55-60%31%
Democrat 60-65%31%

$16.3K Vol.

Texas Lieutenant Governor Election Winner

Dan Patrick (R)74%
Vikki Goodwin (D)26%

$11.5K Vol.

MD-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 9-12%23%
Republican 15-18%22%

$10.4K Vol.

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Democrats 8-10%28%
Democrats 6-8%20%

$158.6K Vol.

TX-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 12-15%19%
Republican 6-9%19%

$14.5K Vol.

AK-AL House Election Winner

Republican Party86%
Bill Hill14%

$61.9K Vol.

CA-01 House Election Winner

$46.7K Vol.

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

↓ 7%30%
↑ 12%14%

$187.0K Vol.

MO-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 60-65%23%
Democrat 50-55%17%

$23.6K Vol.

PA-01 House Election Winner

Brian Fitzpatrick (R)63%
Bob Harvie (D)39%

$39.2K Vol.

IL-14 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%32%
Democrat 20-25%23%

$15.2K Vol.

Georgia Governor Election Winner

$204.3K Vol.

Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory

Moody 6-9%23%
Moody 3-6%18%

$24.2K Vol.

PA-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 3-6%29%
Democrat 6-9%19%

$16.8K Vol.

West Virginia Senate Election Winner

$17.5K Vol.

Tennessee Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%26%
Republican 10-15%24%

$12.9K Vol.

Closest Governor's Race?

Georgia18%
Nevada12%

$25.7K Vol.

How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?

≤46 and ≤19231%
47–49 and 193–20725%

$79.1K Vol.

Tennessee Governor Election Winner

$21.1K Vol.

Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout

900K-975K35%
1.05M+25%

$40.4K Vol.

Vermont Governor Election: Turnout

275K-300K25%
325K-350K22%

$13.3K Vol.

VA-10 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 15-20%27%
Democrat 25-30%26%

$14.9K Vol.

Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?

53%chance

$28.3K Vol.17 days left

KY-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25-30%23%
Republican 20-25%20%

$31.0K Vol.

UT-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%22%
Republican 5-15%18%

$15.2K Vol.

TX-30 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 60-65%24%
Democrat 50-55%23%

$16.2K Vol.

MS-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Democrat 30-35%35%
Democrat 25-30%28%

$22.7K Vol.

NY-11 House Election Winner

$40.6K Vol.

Tennessee Senate Election: Turnout

1.8M-2M39%
2M-2.2M30%

$17.1K Vol.

NJ-12 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 30-35%29%
Democrat 35-40%28%

$12.4K Vol.

TX-33 House Election Winner

$17.6K Vol.

RI-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 40-45%32%
Democrat 30-35%28%

$13.7K Vol.

SC-07 House Election Winner

Russell Fry (R)96%
John Vincent (D)5%

$56.4K Vol.

Sullivan flips Peltola for Alaska Senate by November 2?

8%chance

$7.4K Vol.16 days left

Florida Attorney General Election Winner

$6.3K Vol.

VA-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 0-3%23%
Democrat 6-9%21%

$18.9K Vol.

OH-01 House Election Winner

Greg Landsman (D)94%
Eric Conroy (R)5%

$52.7K Vol.

NV-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 3-6%25%
Democrat 0-3%17%

$12.5K Vol.

IN-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%29%
Republican 15-20%28%

$16.0K Vol.

Michigan Senate favorite on November 2?

93%chance

$3.2K Vol.16 days left

TX-34 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 3-6%19%
Democrat 12%+17%

$12.8K Vol.

Mississippi Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Republican 10-15%35%
Republican 5-10%28%

$12.2K Vol.

CA-45 House Election Winner

Derek Tran (D)94%
Chuong Vo (R)6%

$46.1K Vol.

NV-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 15-20%28%
Democrat 5-10%16%

$14.8K Vol.

IL-15 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25-30%31%
Republican 30-35%26%

$18.7K Vol.

WI-07 House Election Winner

Michael Alfonso (R)95%
Fred Clark (D)4%

$78.1K Vol.

Florida Governor Election Margin of Victory

Donalds 3-6%24%
Donalds 6-9%20%

$19.4K Vol.

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

<1%chance

$229.1K Vol.17 days left

MA-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%30%
Democrat 20-25%23%

$14.7K Vol.

PA-07 House Election Winner

Bob Brooks (D)87%
Ryan Mackenzie (R)14%

$35.4K Vol.

Iowa Governor Election Margin of Victory

Sand 12%+22%
Sand 6-9%22%

$14.7K Vol.

OH-13 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 15-20%26%
Democrat 10-15%24%

$18.0K Vol.

Minnesota Governor Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 15-20%32%
Democrat 10-15%27%

$9.3K Vol.

AL-02 House Election Winner

Rhett Marques (R)71%
Shomari Figures (D)31%

$103.1K Vol.

FL-12 House Election Winner

$81.9K Vol.

Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?

$65.6K Vol.

TX-02 House Election Winner

Steve Toth (R)94%
Shaun Finnie (D)7%

$31.4K Vol.

IN-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%34%
Republican 25-30%30%

$7.3K Vol.

Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Peltola 3-6%36%
Peltola 0-3%35%

$17.3K Vol.

NY-21 House Election Winner

$97.8K Vol.

Montana Senate Election Winner

Kurt Alme (R) 92%
Independent9%

$181.0K Vol.

ID-02 House Election Winner

$39.6K Vol.

IN-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 40-45%25%
Democrat 45-50%23%

$15.1K Vol.

TN-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 5-10%37%
Republican 10-15%24%

$14.4K Vol.

KY-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 50-55%28%
Republican 55-60%25%

$13.8K Vol.

Will Republicans lose any "Safe Republican" Senate race?

28%chance

$7.8K Vol.17 days left

TX-31 House Election Winner

John Carter (R)95%
Justin Early (D)5%

$60.8K Vol.

MA-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 30-35%28%
Democrat 35-40%21%

$17.7K Vol.

IL-16 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%34%
Republican 10-15%26%

$15.5K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Alabama?

171%
230%

$9.0K Vol.

PA-16 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%25%
Republican 10-15%22%

$20.0K Vol.

MI-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%25%
Democrat 0-3%19%

$11.2K Vol.

KY-06 House Election Winner

Ralph Alvarado (R)66%
Zach Dembo (D)35%

$59.4K Vol.

Texas Senate Election: Turnout

11.2M+31%
9.6M-10M15%

$15.3K Vol.

Closest Senate Race?

Iowa17%
Texas16%

$31.4K Vol.

UT-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 30-35%28%
Democrat 35-40%22%

$9.1K Vol.

NY-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%21%
Republican 3-6%18%

$27.0K Vol.

IA-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 9-12%18%
Democrat 3-6%17%

$18.1K Vol.

New Mexico Senate Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 21%+51%
Democrat 18-21%21%

$12.6K Vol.

VA-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 10-15%27%
Democrat 20-25%23%

$9.3K Vol.

Wyoming Senate Election Margin of Victory

Republican 40-45%22%
Republican 35-40%15%

$19.6K Vol.

Maine Governor Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 10-15%32%
Democrat 15-20%28%

$5.1K Vol.

TX-12 House Election Winner

$58.2K Vol.

Indiana Secretary of State Election Winner

Beau Bayh (D)53%
Max Engling (R)45%

$4.8K Vol.

Oregon Governor Election Winner

Tina Kotek (D)76%
Christine Drazan (R)22%

$94.2K Vol.

TX-25 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%34%
Republican 10-15%28%

$14.8K Vol.

Ohio Senate Election: Turnout

4.65M-4.8M25%
5.1M+23%

$33.2K Vol.

Ohio Governor Election Margin of Victory

Acton 3-6%21%
Acton 0-3%21%

$20.7K Vol.

New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner

Bruce Blakeman (R)66%
Kathy Hochul (D)31%

$28.9K Vol.

Oklahoma Senate Election Winner

$27.0K Vol.

FL-07 House Election Winner

Ryan Elijah (R)68%
Bale Dalton (D)31%

$34.4K Vol.

FL-28 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%24%
Republican 10-15%22%

$15.6K Vol.

GA-13 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Democrat 45-50%27%
Democrat 50-55%19%

$17.4K Vol.

Idaho Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25-30%28%
Republican 20-25%24%

$25.8K Vol.

MT-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%28%
Republican 3-6%18%

$14.6K Vol.

MN-02 House Election Winner

Matt Little (D)95%
Eric Pratt (R)4%

$64.0K Vol.

TX-36 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%30%
Republican 10-15%29%

$12.3K Vol.

FL-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%34%
Republican 25-30%24%

$19.2K Vol.

WA-06 House Election Winner

Emily Randall (D)99%
Teresa Fox (R)1%

$45.4K Vol.

CA-16 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 45-50%40%
Democrat 50-55%39%

$580.9 Vol.

Louisiana Senate Election Winner

Julia Letlow (R)93%
Jamie Davis (D)8%

$49.9K Vol.

TX-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%34%
Republican 10-15%26%

$14.2K Vol.

New York Attorney General Election Winner

$13.2K Vol.

OH-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 35-40%36%
Republican 30-35%23%

$8.4K Vol.

TN-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 9-12%23%
Republican 3-6%23%

$18.1K Vol.

MS-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Republican 25-30%33%
Republican 20-25%22%

$26.2K Vol.

PA-17 House Election Winner

Chris Deluzio (D)96%
Tony Guy (R)3%

$31.1K Vol.

NY-17 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 3-6%26%
Democrat 0-3%22%

$16.7K Vol.

NY-12 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 60-65%31%
Democrat 65-70%28%

$17.4K Vol.

GA-07 House Election Winner

Rich McCormick (R)93%
Tony Kozycki (D)8%

$43.9K Vol.

TX-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 30-35%31%
Democrat 35-40%21%

$14.7K Vol.

WI-01 House Election Winner

Bryan Steil (R)62%
Mitchell Berman (D)38%

$18.7K Vol.

NY-18 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 20-25%27%
Democrat 15-20%22%

$21.8K Vol.

TX-26 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%34%
Republican 15-20%27%

$10.9K Vol.

CA-34 House Election Winner (Individual)

Angela Gonzales-Torres80%
Jimmy Gomez19%

$33.3K Vol.

IL-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 75-80%26%
Democrat 70-75%24%

$15.8K Vol.

WI-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%32%
Republican 20-25%27%

$13.9K Vol.

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

205-20926%
Below 19024%

$334.3K Vol.

KS-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 20-25%31%
Democrat 10-15%28%

$17.0K Vol.

Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?

24%chance

$5.4K Vol.16 days left

CO-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 35-40%35%
Democrat 30-35%24%

$20.7K Vol.

NC-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 3-6%17%
Republican 9-12%17%

$11.1K Vol.

Massachusetts Senate Election: Turnout

2.65M-2.8M30%
2.8M-2.95M26%

$7.6K Vol.

Maryland Governor Election: Turnout

1.85M-2M34%
2M-2.15M34%

$10.4K Vol.

Iowa Attorney General Election Winner

Brenna Bird (R)55%
Nate Willems (D)46%

$7.5K Vol.

Wyoming Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 40-45%27%
Republican 30-35%21%

$41.8K Vol.

Oregon Senate Election: Turnout

2M-2.1M36%
1.9M-2M31%

$18.6K Vol.

MD-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%29%
Democrat 30-35%28%

$9.6K Vol.

SC-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 30-35%30%
Democrat 35-40%27%

$8.9K Vol.

WV-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25-30%32%
Republican 20-25%19%

$15.7K Vol.

FL-08 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 5-10%28%
Republican 10-15%23%

$19.5K Vol.

AL-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%35%
Republican 20-25%21%

$10.5K Vol.

GA-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Democrat 20-25%39%
Democrat 25-30%21%

$14.2K Vol.

MN-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%22%
Republican 3-6%17%

$20.4K Vol.

FL-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%25%
Republican 10-15%22%

$11.8K Vol.

TX-33 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 50-55%35%
Democrat 45-50%24%

$10.5K Vol.

MI-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%28%
Republican 5-10%28%

$17.7K Vol.

NY-20 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 30-35%26%
Democrat 25-30%26%

$19.7K Vol.

CA-17 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 50-55%39%
Democrat 40-45%39%

$549.7 Vol.

PA-11 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%29%
Republican 10-15%27%

$12.2K Vol.

NY-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 15-20%24%
Democrat 10-15%22%

$19.9K Vol.

NV-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 15-20%30%
Democrat 10-15%28%

$10.8K Vol.

FL-15 House Election Winner

Laurel Lee (R)95%
Robert People (D)3%

$35.3K Vol.

FL-02 House Election Winner

Austin Rogers (R)94%
Amanda Green (D)7%

$17.1K Vol.

GA-14 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Republican 15-20%33%
Republican 20-25%32%

$7.6K Vol.

KY-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 35-40%30%
Republican 30-35%22%

$22.7K Vol.

SC-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%17%
Republican 6-9%16%

$17.0K Vol.

NC-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 6-9%20%
Republican 0-3%19%

$15.3K Vol.

OK-02 House Election Winner

Josh Brecheen (R)97%
Brandon Wade (D)3%

$33.8K Vol.

IL-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 40-45%28%
Democrat 45-50%25%

$14.0K Vol.

Arkansas Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%27%
Republican 5-10%24%

$18.5K Vol.

NC-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 9-12%20%
Democrat 0-3%19%

$14.9K Vol.

Closer Senate Race: Kansas or Nebraska?

60%chance

$494.2 Vol.17 days left

SC-01 House Election Winner

$84.7K Vol.

AZ-07 House Election Winner

Adelita Grijalva (D)97%
Daniel Butierez (R)<1%

$39.8K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Texas?

1223%
1323%

$18.5K Vol.

New Hampshire Senate Election: Turnout

650K-700K35%
700K-750K25%

$14.2K Vol.

TX-23 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%20%
Democrat 0-3%19%

$19.4K Vol.

Closer Senate Race: Minnesota or Mississippi?

51%chance

$2.2K Vol.17 days left

IN-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 15-20%32%
Democrat 20-25%30%

$13.0K Vol.

NY-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%29%
Democrat 20-25%26%

$12.8K Vol.

GOP Black vote share?

8–9%34%
10–11%30%

$3.8K Vol.

CT-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 30-35%28%
Democrat 25-30%23%

$18.1K Vol.

TX-14 House Election Winner

Randy Weber (R)96%
Thurman Bartie (D)3%

$31.9K Vol.

PA-08 House Election Winner

Paige Cognetti (D)72%
Rob Bresnahan (R)28%

$20.9K Vol.

Massachusetts Governor Election Winner

$112.7K Vol.

TN-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%33%
Republican 25-30%31%

$11.6K Vol.

TX-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 35-40%25%
Republican 30-35%18%

$10.9K Vol.

OH-08 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 5-10%30%
Republican 10-15%25%

$13.2K Vol.

Oakland Mayoral Election

Barbara Lee92%
Brenda Grisham5%

$2.2K Vol.

PA-13 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 35-40%30%
Republican 30-35%27%

$21.3K Vol.

KS-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%34%
Republican 30-35%24%

$16.1K Vol.

CO-04 House Election Winner

Lauren Boebert (R)72%
Eileen Laubacher (D)28%

$48.7K Vol.

NV-02 House Election Winner

$41.9K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Florida?

717%
12+14%

$13.8K Vol.

NY-13 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 70-75%35%
Democrat 65-70%30%

$29.7K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election: Turnout

1.1M-1.2M26%
1.2M+26%

$10.9K Vol.

Closer Senate Race: Alaska or Texas?

38%chance

$1.6K Vol.17 days left

OH-10 House Election Winner

$51.5K Vol.

FL-11 House Election Winner

Joe Strada (R)91%
James Pericola (D)8%

$32.5K Vol.

IL-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 40-45%31%
Democrat 35-40%28%

$20.3K Vol.

IN-04 House Election Winner

Jim Baird (R)95%
Drew Cox (D)6%

$42.2K Vol.

PA-16 House Election Winner

Mike Kelly (R)94%
Justin Wagner (D)4%

$75.8K Vol.

Mississippi Senate Election Winner

Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)91%
Scott Colom (D)10%

$170.7K Vol.

CA-22 House Election Winner

Randy Villegas (D)92%
David Valadao (R)10%

$27.9K Vol.

CA-24 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 5-15%40%
Republican Wins39%

$251.7 Vol.

GA-11 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Republican 5-10%34%
Republican 10-15%28%

$10.9K Vol.

Oklahoma Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 5-10%26%
Republican 10-15%23%

$20.0K Vol.

CT-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%35%
Democrat 20-25%27%

$20.5K Vol.

IL-16 House Election Winner

Darin LaHood (R)96%
Paul Nolley (D)4%

$69.2K Vol.

SC-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 5-10%30%
Republican 15-20%27%

$26.4K Vol.

CA-23 House Election Winner

$102.4K Vol.

Oregon Senate Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 15-20%28%
Democrat 25-30%23%

$9.4K Vol.

NY-14 House Election Winner

$60.8K Vol.

AZ-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 20-25%32%
Democrat 15-20%21%

$9.5K Vol.

Maine Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)

650K-700K23%
900K+19%

$18.8K Vol.

South Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory

Graham 0-5%32%
Graham 5-10%28%

$19.5K Vol.

TX-16 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%25%
Democrat 35-40%25%

$24.9K Vol.

Kansas Governor Election Winner

Ty Masterson (R)76%
Cindy Holscher (D)24%

$65.2K Vol.

CT-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 35-40%26%
Democrat 30-35%21%

$22.0K Vol.

IL-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 20-25%36%
Democrat 15-20%25%

$14.9K Vol.

Illinois Governor Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 20-25%30%
Democrat 15-20%26%

$10.8K Vol.

TX-13 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 35-40%34%
Republican 40-45%27%

$16.1K Vol.

FL-27 House Election Winner

$39.3K Vol.

CO-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 65-70%31%
Democrat 70-75%17%

$17.1K Vol.

GA-10 House Election Winner

Houston Gaines (R)96%
Pam Delancy (D)2%

$67.4K Vol.

FL-17 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%42%
Republican 15-20%36%

$17.2K Vol.

IA-01 House Election Winner

$45.2K Vol.

New Mexico Senate Election: Turnout

700K-750K35%
650K-700K22%

$12.4K Vol.

UT-02 House Election Winner

Blake Moore (R)93%
Peter Crosby (D)7%

$32.1K Vol.

Nevada Governor Election: Turnout

1.125M-1.2M44%
1.05M-1.125M20%

$18.6K Vol.

SD-AL House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%35%
Republican 15-20%22%

$11.2K Vol.

FL-24 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 50-55%27%
Democrat 45-50%20%

$15.8K Vol.

GA-06 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Democrat 55-60%32%
Democrat 60-65%32%

$16.8K Vol.

IL-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 35-40%25%
Democrat 40-45%20%

$16.7K Vol.

NJ-10 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 60-65%32%
Democrat 65-70%27%

$12.7K Vol.

FL-19 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%34%
Republican 15-20%26%

$16.1K Vol.

IL-08 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 20-25%35%
Democrat 25-30%34%

$17.4K Vol.

RI-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%36%
Democrat 20-25%28%

$15.3K Vol.

OH-10 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 3-6%21%
Republican 6-9%18%

$14.7K Vol.

WI-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 55-60%24%
Democrat 60-65%22%

$14.3K Vol.

NM-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 15-20%21%
Democrat 20-25%17%

$9.6K Vol.

South Carolina Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%27%
Republican 5-10%24%

$15.6K Vol.

FL-21 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%26%
Republican 5-10%25%

$11.6K Vol.

NC-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 3-6%23%
Republican 6-9%19%

$13.4K Vol.

Wyoming Senate Election: Turnout

190K-210K42%
170K-190K29%

$10.1K Vol.

CT-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 35-40%41%
Democrat 30-35%33%

$16.5K Vol.

NY-24 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%30%
Republican 20-25%20%

$13.7K Vol.

Alabama Senate Election: Turnout

1.5M-1.6M30%
1.4M-1.5M25%

$20.5K Vol.

IL-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 50-55%30%
Democrat 45-50%21%

$20.3K Vol.

OH-11 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 60-65%37%
Democrat 55-60%32%

$14.8K Vol.

First Round Outright Winner in the LA-05 House Election?

12%chance

$2.6K Vol.17 days left

IL-11 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%32%
Democrat 20-25%25%

$18.0K Vol.

Wisconsin Governor Election Margin of Victory

Crowley 3-6%21%
Crowley 6-9%19%

$22.2K Vol.

MO-08 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 40-45%28%
Republican 45-50%25%

$14.6K Vol.

FL-05 House Election Winner

$17.7K Vol.

Colorado passes ballot measure banning underage transgender surgeries?

70%chance

$599.6 Vol.17 days left

AL-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 30-35%25%
Republican 25-30%24%

$16.7K Vol.

OH-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25-30%25%
Republican 20-25%25%

$11.2K Vol.

MN-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 60-65%28%
Democrat 65-70%19%

$22.9K Vol.

AR-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 40-45%27%
Republican 35-40%24%

$25.7K Vol.

OR-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 20-25%32%
Democrat 15-20%28%

$22.9K Vol.

NC-11 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 0-3%18%
Democrat 6-9%17%

$15.5K Vol.

FL-11 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 6-9%26%
Republican 3-6%19%

$14.0K Vol.

NY-22 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%30%
Democrat 15-20%27%

$18.0K Vol.

CA-14 House Election Winner (Individual)

Aisha Wahab89%
Melissa Hernandez7%

$30.8K Vol.

West Virginia Senate Election: Turnout

450K-500K39%
500K-550K26%

$13.2K Vol.

TX-20 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 40-45%25%
Democrat 35-40%17%

$14.1K Vol.

UT-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%24%
Republican 15-20%24%

$23.8K Vol.

MI-13 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 50-55%25%
Democrat 45-50%25%

$10.3K Vol.

NJ-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%28%
Democrat 20-25%22%

$16.3K Vol.

Wisconsin Governor Election Winner

David Crowley (D)81%
Tom Tiffany (R)20%

$724.4K Vol.

TX-22 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%28%
Republican 5-10%26%

$16.3K Vol.

IN-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%26%
Republican 25-30%21%

$15.6K Vol.

Will Reps lose Senate Seat in any Trump+10 State and win in a Kamala State?

40%chance

$2.6K Vol.17 days left

Midterms

2026 MidtermsPredictions

Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2?

Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by...?

Husted flips Brown for Ohio Senate by November 2?

Texas Senate favorite on November 2?

Ohio Senate favorite on November 2?

Hamilton flips Marshall for Kansas Senate by November 2?

Collins flips Jackson for Maine Senate by November 2?

Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by...?

Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?