Midterms

2026 MidtermsPredictions
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Democrats Sweep63%
- R Senate, D House28%
$24.3M Vol.

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Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party91%
Republican Party10%

$17.9M Vol.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party65%
Republican Party37%

$6.8M Vol.

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)63%
Ken Paxton (R)38%

$3.9M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

$713.9K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

$435.4K Vol.

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Sherrod Brown (D)65%
Jon Husted (R)36%

$1.3M Vol.

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)69%
Mike Rogers (R)33%

$1.7M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

$1.8M Vol.

FL-18 House Election Winner

$69.2K Vol.

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?

Clay92%
Pee-wee / Peewee85%

$34.3K Vol.

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Amy Acton (D)73%
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)28%

$438.0K Vol.

FL-12 House Election Winner

$81.2K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$78.9K Vol.

Mississippi Senate Election Winner

Cindy Hyde-Smith (R)91%
Scott Colom (D)11%

$170.5K Vol.

WI-07 House Election Winner

Michael Alfonso (R)95%
Fred Clark (D)4%

$77.7K Vol.

GA-09 House Election Winner

Andrew Clyde (R)97%
Caitlyn Gegen (D)3%

$60.1K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$126.3K Vol.

WA-03 House Election Winner

$55.1K Vol.

NC-01 House Election Winner

Don Davis (D)69%
Laurie Buckhout (R)32%

$32.9K Vol.

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola74%
Sen. Dan Sullivan26%

$1.4M Vol.

Montana Senate Election Winner

Kurt Alme (R) 92%
Independent9%

$179.5K Vol.

Texas Governor Election Winner

Greg Abbott (R)77%
Gina Hinojosa (D) 23%

$575.0K Vol.

FL-21 House Election Winner

Brian Mast (R)93%
James Martin (D)8%

$27.7K Vol.

AR-03 House Election Winner

Steve Womack (R)94%
Robb Ryerse (D)4%

$32.2K Vol.

WI-05 House Election Winner

$108.2K Vol.

PA-14 House Election Winner

$41.9K Vol.

Senate control favorite on November 2?

99%chance

$17.2K Vol.17 days left

Nevada Governor Election Winner

Aaron Ford (D)53%
Joe Lombardo (R)48%

$430.6K Vol.

Republican Senate odds hit __ by October 31?

↓ 30%39%
↑ 40%24%

$84.7K Vol.

TN-07 House Election Winner

$43.3K Vol.

NC-06 House Election Winner

Addison McDowell (R)91%
Cyril Jefferson (D)10%

$60.0K Vol.

CA-01 House Election Winner

$45.9K Vol.

Sullivan flips Peltola for Alaska Senate by November 2?

9%chance

$6.9K Vol.17 days left

OH-01 House Election Winner

Greg Landsman (D)93%
Eric Conroy (R)7%

$52.2K Vol.

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

$177.3K Vol.

WI-06 House Election Winner

Glenn Grothman (R)93%
Brad Smith (D)7%

$46.3K Vol.

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

205-20924%
Below 19024%

$332.2K Vol.

TX-24 House Election Winner

Beth Van Duyne (R)92%
Kevin Burge (D)9%

$70.2K Vol.

Iowa Senate Election Winner

Ashley Hinson (R)59%
Josh Turek (D)42%

$895.9K Vol.

Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2?

14%chance

$5.9K Vol.17 days left

CA-05 House Election Winner

$24.0K Vol.

VA-05 House Election Winner

John McGuire (R)71%
Tom Perriello (D)30%

$127.6K Vol.

TN-04 House Election Winner

$108.9K Vol.

Oregon Governor Election Winner

Tina Kotek (D)76%
Christine Drazan (R)24%

$93.9K Vol.

Paxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2?

16%chance

$5.4K Vol.17 days left

AR-02 House Election Winner

French Hill (R)83%
Chris Jones (D)17%

$39.9K Vol.

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

$799.8K Vol.

Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?

24%chance

$5.2K Vol.17 days left

Maine Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)

700K-750K24%
650K-700K18%

$18.5K Vol.

IN-02 House Election Winner

Rudy Yakym (R)96%
Jamee Decio (D)4%

$38.9K Vol.

Husted flips Brown for Ohio Senate by November 2?

10%chance

$4.8K Vol.17 days left

IL-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 20-25%31%
Democrat 15-20%30%

$13.2K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election Winner

Roger Marshall (R)64%
Adam Hamilton (D)38%

$914.2K Vol.

Maine Senate Election Winner

Troy Jackson (D)60%
Susan Collins (R)42%

$2.3M Vol.

Hamilton flips Marshall for Kansas Senate by November 2?

31%chance

$4.5K Vol.17 days left

FL-03 House Election Winner

Kat Cammack (R)95%
Seth Harp (D)4%

$44.9K Vol.

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Kentucky?

$4.7K Vol.

Georgia Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Ossoff 9-12%25%
Ossoff 6-9%21%

$25.8K Vol.

OK-05 House Election Winner

Stephanie Bice (R)88%
Jena Nelson (D)12%

$24.7K Vol.

TX-23 House Election Winner

$94.0K Vol.

Which party will win older women in the midterms?

Democrats93%
Republicans8%

$4.9K Vol.

New Hampshire Senate Election Winner

Chris Pappas (D)89%
John E. Sununu (R)13%

$334.4K Vol.

NY-18 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 15-20%24%
Democrat 20-25%23%

$21.5K Vol.

CA-40 House Election Winner (Individual)

Young Kim45%
Ken Calvert44%

$16.1K Vol.

Rhode Island Governor Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 15-20%19%
Democrat 20-25%19%

$20.3K Vol.

KS-04 House Election Winner

Ron Estes (R)95%
Katy Tyndell (D)5%

$110.0K Vol.

TX-23 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%20%
Democrat 0-3%19%

$18.9K Vol.

Maine Governor Election Winner

$44.2K Vol.

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Pete Ricketts (R)73%
Independent28%

$624.1K Vol.

Arkansas Senate Election: Turnout

900K-975K60%
825K-900K20%

$39.6K Vol.

Collins flips Jackson for Maine Senate by November 2?

44%chance

$3.2K Vol.17 days left

KS-02 House Election Winner

Derek Schmidt (R)87%
Don Coover (D)13%

$20.3K Vol.

MN-06 House Election Winner

Tom Emmer (R)95%
Doug Chapin (D)2%

$98.2K Vol.

AL-02 House Election Winner

Rhett Marques (R)70%
Shomari Figures (D)31%

$84.4K Vol.

Georgia Governor Election Winner

$202.9K Vol.

Louisiana Senate Election: Turnout

1.4M-1.5M33%
1.5M-1.6M19%

$18.8K Vol.

$88.1K Vol.

OR-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 20-25%35%
Democrat 15-20%29%

$31.8K Vol.

Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?

$65.1K Vol.

CA-07 House Election Winner (by individual)

Doris Matsui61%
Mai Vang36%

$28.1K Vol.

MI-03 House Election Winner

$57.9K Vol.

PA-01 House Election Winner

Brian Fitzpatrick (R)63%
Bob Harvie (D)39%

$38.6K Vol.

How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?

≤46 and ≤19227%
47–49 and 193–20725%

$78.2K Vol.

Georgia Senate Election Winner

Jon Ossoff (D) 96%
Mike Collins (R)4%

$236.0K Vol.

TX-15 House Election Winner

Bobby Pulido (D)83%
Monica De La Cruz (R)18%

$65.5K Vol.

WY-AL House Election Winner

Chuck Gray (R)97%
Lisa Kinney (D)3%

$51.1K Vol.

KY-06 House Election Winner

Ralph Alvarado (R)66%
Zach Dembo (D)34%

$59.1K Vol.

Blue tsunami in 2026?

50%chance

$54.6K Vol.2 months left

NY-22 House Election Winner

John Mannion (D)95%
Kailee Buller (R)5%

$30.3K Vol.

West Virginia Senate Election: Turnout

450K-500K39%
500K-550K24%

$13.1K Vol.

TX-28 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 6-9%19%
Democrat 3-6%18%

$23.6K Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4739%
4817%

$3.2M Vol.

MS-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Democrat 30-35%32%
Democrat 25-30%28%

$21.8K Vol.

AK-AL House Election Winner

Republican Party84%
Bill Hill16%

$61.2K Vol.

PA-16 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 5-10%25%
Republican 15-20%24%

$19.5K Vol.

Virginia Senate Election: Turnout

3.5M-3.75M28%
3.25M-3.5M23%

$10.0K Vol.

Talarico Texas Senate odds hit __ by November 2?

↑ 70%33%
↑ 75%13%

$1.9K Vol.

Republicans win the Senate pending oil above or below $80?

$12.5K Vol.

NY-23 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%29%
Republican 15-20%27%

$14.9K Vol.

TX-30 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 50-55%23%
Democrat 60-65%21%

$15.6K Vol.

Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by...?

21%chance

$10.6K Vol.15 days left

MT-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%27%
Republican 3-6%18%

$14.2K Vol.

GA-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Republican 6-9%25%
Republican 3-6%22%

$21.0K Vol.

IN-08 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 30-35%28%
Republican 25-30%22%

$10.3K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election: Turnout

1.1M-1.2M43%
1.2M+28%

$10.5K Vol.

Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?

10%chance

$1.9K Vol.2 months left

NY-17 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 3-6%27%
Republican 0-3%22%

$16.3K Vol.

MO-06 House Election Winner

Chris Stigall (R)96%
Josh Smead (D)5%

$59.6K Vol.

South Dakota Senate Election: Turnout

375K-400K28%
350K-375K19%

$15.0K Vol.

FL-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 5-10%31%
Republican 10-15%28%

$22.9K Vol.

Closest Governor's Race?

Georgia19%
Texas12%

$25.0K Vol.

Which party will win the Minnesota State Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party88%
Republican Party14%

$8.0K Vol.

IN-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%27%
Republican 15-20%19%

$15.5K Vol.

Democratic Senate odds on October 16?

62-64%>99%
<58%<1%

$11.1K Vol.weekly

Closest Senate Race?

Iowa17%
Texas16%

$30.8K Vol.

MI-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%25%
Democrat 3-6%21%

$10.8K Vol.

NJ-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%26%
Republican 15-20%20%

$16.8K Vol.

South Dakota Senate Election Winner

Mike Rounds (R)92%
Brian Bengs (I)7%

$62.0K Vol.

PA-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 40-45%24%
Democrat 35-40%22%

$17.5K Vol.

Democratic Senate odds on October 23?

60-62%30%
62-64%28%

$1.9K Vol.weekly

Oregon Senate Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 20-25%24%
Democrat 25-30%23%

$9.2K Vol.

Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory

Paxton 0-3%31%
Talarico 0-3%31%

$33.1K Vol.

NC-08 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 18%+27%
Republican 15-18%16%

$22.7K Vol.

CT-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 30-35%28%
Democrat 25-30%23%

$17.9K Vol.

HI-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 50-55%30%
Democrat 45-50%24%

$24.7K Vol.

Michigan Governor Election Winner

Jocelyn Benson (D)95%
John James (R)5%

$310.8K Vol.

MI-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%33%
Republican 15-20%26%

$24.3K Vol.

KY-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%32%
Republican 5-15%24%

$29.2K Vol.

WY-AL House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 35-40%22%
Republican 40-45%20%

$13.2K Vol.

PA-14 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%26%
Republican 25-30%20%

$18.3K Vol.

TN-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%27%
Republican 10-15%24%

$11.6K Vol.

North Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory

Cooper 6-9%23%
Cooper 9-12%23%

$17.8K Vol.

TN-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 5-10%39%
Republican 10-15%27%

$14.0K Vol.

Wyoming Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 40-45%27%
Republican 35-40%22%

$41.3K Vol.

Arizona Governor Election Winner

Katie Hobbs (D)89%
Andy Biggs (R)11%

$137.8K Vol.

New Jersey Senate Election Winner

Cory Booker (D)97%
Justin Murphy (R)3%

$23.0K Vol.

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

Texas78%
Michigan74%

$109.4K Vol.

OH-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%29%
Republican 15-20%28%

$14.0K Vol.

Which party will win the Arizona State Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party69%
Republican Party22%

$9.6K Vol.

NC-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 6-9%19%
Republican 0-3%19%

$15.1K Vol.

WI-01 House Election Winner

Bryan Steil (R)63%
Mitchell Berman (D)38%

$18.4K Vol.

Vermont Governor Election Winner

Phil Scott (R)76%
Amanda Janoo (D)24%

$238.8K Vol.

Ohio Senate favorite on November 2?

85%chance

$1.2K Vol.17 days left

Iowa Governor Election Winner

Rob Sand (D)89%
Zach Lahn (R)12%

$249.7K Vol.

New York Governor Election Winner

Kathy Hochul (D)95%
Bruce Blakeman (R)5%

$243.0K Vol.

UT-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%24%
Republican 5-15%20%

$23.5K Vol.

New York Governor Election: Nassau County Winner

Bruce Blakeman (R)62%
Kathy Hochul (D)33%

$28.6K Vol.

MO-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%25%
Republican 20-25%19%

$18.2K Vol.

MN-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 60-65%28%
Democrat 65-70%20%

$22.8K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

$279.6K Vol.

FL-19 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%35%
Republican 15-20%22%

$15.9K Vol.

Iowa Senate Election: Turnout

<1.2M31%
1.4M-1.45M21%

$15.8K Vol.

TX-32 House Election Winner

Jace Yarbrough (R)86%
Dan Barrios (D)13%

$47.4K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election: Macomb County Winner

Mike Rogers (R)62%
Abdul El-Sayed (D)25%

$6.5K Vol.

TX-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%36%
Republican 0-5%34%

$13.6K Vol.

PA-11 House Election Winner

Lloyd Smucker (R)95%
Nancy Mannion (D)5%

$57.4K Vol.

VA-01 House Election Winner

Shannon Taylor (D)58%
Rob Wittman (R)42%

$66.5K Vol.

SC-01 House Election Winner

$84.3K Vol.

TX-06 House Election Winner

Jake Ellzey (R)95%
Danny Minton (D)3%

$88.1K Vol.

AR-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 40-45%27%
Republican 35-40%24%

$25.5K Vol.

GA-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Democrat 20-25%39%
Democrat 25-30%14%

$13.9K Vol.

Oklahoma Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%23%
Republican 5-10%20%

$19.8K Vol.

IA-02 House Election Winner

Lindsay James (D)61%
Joe Mitchell (R)41%

$31.7K Vol.

Ohio Senate Election: Mahoning County Winner

Sherrod Brown (D)66%
Jon Husted (R)34%

$8.3K Vol.

NJ-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%28%
Democrat 20-25%23%

$16.1K Vol.

NY-20 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%26%
Democrat 30-35%25%

$19.4K Vol.

UT-02 House Election Winner

Blake Moore (R)95%
Peter Crosby (D)4%

$31.9K Vol.

Texas Senate Election: Denton County Winner

James Talarico (D)53%
Ken Paxton (R)39%

$7.8K Vol.

Arkansas Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%24%
Republican 15-20%24%

$18.3K Vol.

UT-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%27%
Republican 15-20%22%

$14.6K Vol.

MO-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 30-35%24%
Republican 25-30%19%

$17.2K Vol.

MN-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 15-20%27%
Democrat 20-25%25%

$9.7K Vol.

Kentucky Senate Election: Turnout

1.5M-1.6M26%
1.6M-1.7M26%

$11.7K Vol.

NC-07 House Election Winner

David Rouzer (R)86%
Kimberly Hardy (D)14%

$30.8K Vol.

TX-20 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 45-50%29%
Democrat 40-45%25%

$13.8K Vol.

VA-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 6-9%21%
Democrat 3-6%18%

$18.3K Vol.

MN-01 House Election Winner

Brad Finstad (R)75%
Jake Johnson (D)26%

$56.1K Vol.

AR-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%28%
Republican 20-25%26%

$17.0K Vol.

TX-27 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%24%
Republican 10-15%24%

$15.6K Vol.

AL-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 55-60%33%
Republican 60-65%30%

$24.0K Vol.

NJ-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%36%
Democrat 30-35%17%

$17.4K Vol.

Iowa Senate Election Margin of Victory

Turek 0-3%33%
Hinson 0-3%22%

$24.0K Vol.

GA-10 House Election Winner

Houston Gaines (R)94%
Pam Delancy (D)2%

$56.2K Vol.

Nevada Governor Election: Clark County Winner

Aaron Ford (D)84%
Joe Lombardo (R)14%

$6.6K Vol.

Wisconsin Governor Election Winner

David Crowley (D)81%
Tom Tiffany (R)20%

$719.0K Vol.

KY-03 House Election Winner

$48.4K Vol.

Rogers flips El-Sayed for Michigan Senate by November 2?

8%chance

$733.4 Vol.17 days left

FL-13 House Election Winner

Anna Paulina Luna (R)73%
Leela Gray (D)27%

$13.6K Vol.

OH-10 House Election Winner

$51.3K Vol.

Wyoming Senate Election: Turnout

190K-210K38%
170K-190K22%

$9.9K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Iowa?

350%
226%

$25.2K Vol.

VA-02 House Election Winner

Elaine Luria (D)88%
Jen Kiggans (R)13%

$49.7K Vol.

Florida Senate Election Winner

Ashley Moody (R)91%
Angie Nixon (D)10%

$228.6K Vol.

TX-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 30-35%30%
Democrat 35-40%22%

$14.4K Vol.

NJ-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%28%
Democrat 30-35%27%

$14.4K Vol.

Blue wave in 2026?

85%chance

$83.7K Vol.2 months left

CA-06 House Election Winner

Democratic Party95%
Republican Party1%

$63.4K Vol.

FL-14 House Election Winner

Kathy Castor (D)70%
Mike Beltran (R)31%

$68.9K Vol.

OK-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%28%
Republican 30-35%21%

$19.8K Vol.

CA-23 House Election Winner

$102.2K Vol.

TX-35 House Election Winner

Johnny Garcia (D)59%
Carlos De La Cruz (R)41%

$53.3K Vol.

Guam Governor Election Winner

Therese Terlaje (D)72%
Vicente Ada (R)25%

$4.2K Vol.

WI-08 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 9-12%21%
Republican 6-9%20%

$21.0K Vol.

Wyoming Senate Election Margin of Victory

Republican 40-45%22%
Republican 35-40%20%

$19.2K Vol.

FL-17 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%45%
Republican 15-20%31%

$16.9K Vol.

GA-14 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Republican 20-25%35%
Republican 15-20%34%

$7.3K Vol.

OH-09 House Election Winner

Marcy Kaptur (D)72%
Derek Merrin (R)28%

$44.6K Vol.

FL-28 House Election Winner

Carlos Giménez (R)95%
Phil Ehr (D)6%

$65.7K Vol.

TX-22 House Election Winner

$41.8K Vol.

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

↓ 7%34%
↑ 12%14%

$186.4K Vol.

OH-08 House Election Winner

$18.3K Vol.

SC-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%32%
Republican 5-10%28%

$23.4K Vol.

Arizona Attorney General Election Winner

Kris Mayes (D)82%
Warren Petersen (R)17%

$5.6K Vol.

Ohio Senate Election: Turnout

4.65M-4.8M28%
4.8M-4.95M25%

$32.8K Vol.

Minnesota Attorney General Election Winner

Keith Ellison (D)77%
Ronald J. Schutz (R)24%

$23.9K Vol.

TX-11 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%30%
Republican 25-30%21%

$19.1K Vol.

Minnesota Senate Election Winner

Peggy Flanagan (D)88%
Michele Tafoya (R)13%

$272.0K Vol.

CO-04 House Election Winner

Lauren Boebert (R)72%
Eileen Laubacher (D)28%

$48.5K Vol.

MA-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 30-35%28%
Democrat 35-40%20%

$17.3K Vol.

Connecticut Governor Election: Turnout

1.2M-1.3M44%
1.3M-1.4M41%

$10.9K Vol.

NY-13 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 65-70%34%
Democrat 70-75%33%

$29.5K Vol.

North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout

4.1M-4.3M29%
3.9M-4.1M25%

$17.3K Vol.

TX-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%30%
Republican 15-20%24%

$19.2K Vol.

Oklahoma Senate Election: Turnout

1.1M-1.2M33%
1.2M-1.3M31%

$12.2K Vol.

FL-19 House Election Winner

Jim Schwartzel (R)95%
Victor Arias (D)6%

$33.6K Vol.

SC-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 6-9%20%
Republican 3-6%18%

$16.8K Vol.

AZ-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 35-40%33%
Democrat 30-35%26%

$11.7K Vol.

New Mexico Governor Election Winner

Deb Haaland (D)94%
Gregg Hull (R)5%

$69.6K Vol.

OH-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 0-3%18%
Democrat 3-6%17%

$18.3K Vol.

WA-10 House Election Winner

$37.5K Vol.

IL-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 40-45%33%
Democrat 35-40%25%

$19.0K Vol.

SD-AL House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%32%
Republican 15-20%22%

$10.5K Vol.

Alabama Governor Election Winner

Tommy Tuberville (R)94%
Doug Jones (D)6%

$41.4K Vol.

OH-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 9-12%18%
Democrat 6-9%18%

$19.8K Vol.

Tennessee Senate Election: Turnout

1.8M-2M38%
2M-2.2M27%

$16.6K Vol.

FL-15 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%33%
Republican 15-20%27%

$12.3K Vol.

Closer Senate Race: Michigan or New Hampshire?

79%chance

$1.4K Vol.18 days left

CA-22 House Election Winner

$27.8K Vol.

NE-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 10-15%25%
Democrat 15-20%18%

$13.3K Vol.

MN-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 45-50%27%
Democrat 40-45%21%

$13.3K Vol.

NY-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 55-60%30%
Democrat 60-65%29%

$15.6K Vol.

MD-08 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 65-70%33%
Democrat 60-65%33%

$16.5K Vol.

Republicans flip Democrats for Senate by November 2?

7%chance

$9.5K Vol.17 days left

Which states will Trump visit before the midterms?

Georgia>99%
North Carolina>99%

$26.0K Vol.

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Democrats 8-10%28%
Democrats 6-8%21%

$158.0K Vol.

MS-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Republican 35-40%25%
Republican 30-35%23%

$12.8K Vol.

Alaska Governor Election Winner

$1.5M Vol.

MO-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 35-40%27%
Republican 30-35%26%

$14.4K Vol.

NV-03 House Election Winner

Susie Lee (D)93%
Martin O'Donnell (R)6%

$9.4K Vol.

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

115-120m31%
110-115m22%

$36.8K Vol.

Closer Senate Race: Minnesota or Mississippi?

50%chance

$2.0K Vol.18 days left

FL-27 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 0-3%21%
Republican 0-3%21%

$18.2K Vol.

Florida Senate Election: Turnout

7.75M-8M28%
9M+24%

$15.9K Vol.

MN-05 House Election Winner

Ilhan Omar (D)95%
John Nagel (R)4%

$73.3K Vol.

Which party will win white voters in the midterms?

Republicans81%
Democrats15%

$25.3K Vol.

MI-11 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 20-25%24%
Democrat 25-30%24%

$24.4K Vol.

GA-12 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Republican 5-10%33%
Republican 10-15%29%

$11.9K Vol.

West Virginia Senate Election Winner

$16.9K Vol.

VA-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 30-35%28%
Republican 35-40%23%

$17.2K Vol.

Will Reps lose Senate Seat in any Trump+10 State and win in a Kamala State?

50%chance

$2.4K Vol.18 days left

NY-15 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 65-70%28%
Democrat 60-65%28%

$12.0K Vol.

TX-36 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%30%
Republican 10-15%30%

$12.0K Vol.

CO-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 50-55%34%
Democrat 45-50%22%

$18.6K Vol.

IA-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 6-9%23%
Democrat 3-6%21%

$17.8K Vol.

FL-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%32%
Republican 15-20%27%

$12.3K Vol.

Indiana Secretary of State Election Winner

Beau Bayh (D)56%
Max Engling (R)42%

$4.1K Vol.

Rhode Island Governor Election Winner

Helena Foulkes (D)96%
Independent2%

$71.6K Vol.

MI-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 20-25%28%
Democrat 10-15%26%

$17.6K Vol.

FL-28 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%32%
Republican 10-15%22%

$15.2K Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in New Jersey?

1072%
11+18%

$14.1K Vol.

Idaho passes ballot measure legalizing abortion?

19%chance

$14.3K Vol.18 days left

FL-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%35%
Republican 25-30%24%

$18.9K Vol.

NY-17 House Election Winner

Cait Conley (D)59%
Mike Lawler (R)41%

$68.2K Vol.

Tennessee Governor Election Winner

$20.5K Vol.

MI-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25-30%32%
Republican 20-25%26%

$14.3K Vol.

KY-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 35-40%24%
Republican 30-35%23%

$22.4K Vol.

Ohio Secretary of State Election Winner

Robert Sprague (R)59%
Allison Russo (D)40%

$7.5K Vol.

Midterms

2026 MidtermsPredictions

Senate control favorite on November 2?

Sullivan flips Peltola for Alaska Senate by November 2?

Osborn flips Ricketts for Nebraska Senate by November 2?

Paxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2?

Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?

Husted flips Brown for Ohio Senate by November 2?

Hamilton flips Marshall for Kansas Senate by November 2?

Collins flips Jackson for Maine Senate by November 2?

Michigan Senate favorite on November 2?

Texas Senate favorite on November 2?

Blue tsunami in 2026?

Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by...?

Blue mega-tsunami in 2026?