Israel

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
- October 15>99%
- October 1698%
$13.5M Vol.monthly

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 15>99%
October 1895%

$35.3M Vol.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot50%
Benjamin Netanyahu28%

$46.6M Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Yashar62%
Likud39%

$794.2K Vol.

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

$171.8K Vol.

$121.2K Vol.

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

76%chance

$283.4K Vol.19 days left

Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)

December 3124%
October 319%

$385.3K Vol.

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

December 3121%
October 314%

$7.4M Vol.

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

October 1689%
October 2888%

$156.8K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place

Together70%
The Democrats19%

$61.8K Vol.

Bank of Israel Decision in October?

No Change82%
Decrease18%

$72.7K Vol.annual

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Somaliland12%
Kuwait7%

$1.8M Vol.

Will Iran damage undersea internet cables by...?

December 3118%
October 314%

$37.4K Vol.

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

20-2443%
25-2926%

$523.5K Vol.

Netanyahu out by...?

40%chance

$2.7M Vol.2 months left

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Venezuela12%
Kuwait7%

$911.9K Vol.

Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?

6%chance

$848.7K Vol.16 days left

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

$44.9K Vol.

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

7%chance

$2.1M Vol.2 months left

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

14%chance

$70.1K Vol.2 months left

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

The Democrats56%
Yashar55%

$60.2K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

23%chance

$19.6K Vol.1 year left

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

December 31, 202734%
June 30, 202728%

$8.5M Vol.

Will Israel election happen as scheduled?

93%chance

$57.3K Vol.12 days left

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

No Next Minister by Feb 2833%
Matan Kahana16%

$47.7K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

$66.2K Vol.

Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?

<2.75%51%
4.25%+22%

$5.8K Vol.

Israel Election: UTJ # of seats?

7-869%
<713%

$14.0K Vol.

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

12%chance

$1.7M Vol.2 months left

Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place

Likud56%
Yashar35%

$21.8K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: Turnout

<66%30%
72-74%26%

$1.8K Vol.

Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

40%chance

$61.6K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael vote share?

<2.5%50%
2.5-3.25%24%

$6.2K Vol.

Israel Election: United Torah Judaism vote share?

5-6%58%
6-7%28%

$8.7K Vol.

Israel Election: Together # of seats?

14-1626%
11-1324%

$8.7K Vol.

Israel Election: Blue and White vote share?

<0.75%55%
0.75-1.25%38%

$6.9K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Yaron Zelekha17%

$46.4K Vol.

Israel Election: United Arab List (Ra'am) vote share?

4-4.75%40%
4.75-5.5%39%

$5.9K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

No Next Minister by Feb 2836%
Tally Gotliv15%

$50.6K Vol.

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

13%chance

$183.1K Vol.2 months left

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

13%chance

$326.7K Vol.2 months left

Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

35%chance

$17.8K Vol.12 days left

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

December 3133%
October 319%

$251.9K Vol.

Israel Election: RZP-Zehut # of seats?

6-740%
4-528%

$12.2K Vol.

Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

October 314%
October 153%

$22.8K Vol.

Israel Election: Religious Zionist Party–Zehut vote share?

5-6%52%
4-5%22%

$5.1K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Interior?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Yoav Ben-Tzur19%

$15.2K Vol.

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

March 3122%
December 315%

$1.4M Vol.

Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?

59%chance

$4.4K Vol.12 days left

Israel Election: Shas vote share?

<6%40%
9%+25%

$4.0K Vol.

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Finland11%
Belgium10%

$762.9K Vol.

Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?

20-2130%
22-2328%

$19.7K Vol.

Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

No Endorsement67%
Likud34%

$65.6K Vol.

Israel Election: Shas # of seats?

8-944%
6-733%

$7.5K Vol.

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?

<466%
4-632%

$11.6K Vol.

Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?

538%
423%

$9.9K Vol.

Israel Election: Together vote share?

9-11%35%
7-9%26%

$5.3K Vol.

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

3%chance

$2.6M Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Dems # of seats?

8-932%
<826%

$6.7K Vol.

Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit vote share?

6.5-7.5%33%
4.5-5.5%27%

$4.0K Vol.

Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?

5.5-6.5%42%
6.5-7.5%34%

$3.1K Vol.

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

October 3176%
October 152%

$11.3K Vol.

Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?

6-739%
8-937%

$5.0K Vol.

Israel military action against Iraq by...?

18%chance

$3.3K Vol.15 days left

Israel election: will Likud lose seats?

94%chance

$28.3K Vol.12 days left

Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?

8%chance

$7.0K Vol.16 days left

Israel Election: Otzma # of seats?

10+31%
6-730%

$8.1K Vol.

Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu # of seats?

8-946%
10-1123%

$5.8K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 4th Place

The Democrats35%
Together21%

$8.9K Vol.

US announces military base in Israel in 2026?

5%chance

$1.7K Vol.2 months left

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

8%chance

$20.8K Vol.15 days left

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

466%
515%

$7.6M Vol.

Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by March 31, 2027?

28%chance

$1.4K Vol.5 months left

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

8%chance

$53.5K Vol.2 months left

Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Ra'am97%
RZP-Zehut87%

$14.7K Vol.

How many Israeli elections before government formed?

165%
230%

$63.7K Vol.

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

5%chance

$535.2K Vol.2 months left

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

19%chance

$56.1K Vol.2 months left

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

6%chance

$688.9K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share?

6-7%36%
5-6%28%

$4.4K Vol.

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

4%chance

$215.2K Vol.2 months left

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

9%chance

$473.3K Vol.2 months left

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

7%chance

$15.2K Vol.2 months left

Iran coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202728%
December 31, 202611%

$2.1M Vol.

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

4%chance

$92.3K Vol.2 months left

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

65%chance

$2.1K Vol.2 months left

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

5%chance

$448.5K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?

23%chance

$7.6K Vol.12 days left

Israel Election: Likud or Yashar in Government?

54%chance

$379.7 Vol.4 months left

Netanyahu drops out before election?

<1%chance

$2.2K Vol.11 days left

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

17%chance

$16.7K Vol.8 months left

FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?

2%chance

$11.1K Vol.16 days left

Trump meets with Netanyahu by...?

December 3154%
October 3116%

$6.4K Vol.

Netanyahu convicted in corruption trial?

30%chance

$349.7 Vol.1 year left

Israel Election: Unity vote share?

<0.5%98%
0.5-0.75%2%

$5.4K Vol.

Israel Election: Yashar vote share?

18-20%43%
<16%26%

$5.0K Vol.

Israel Election: The Democrats vote share?

7-8%34%
8-9%23%

$2.1K Vol.

Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?

11%chance

$16.6K Vol.16 days left

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?

4%chance

$6.9K Vol.16 days left

Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?

48%chance

$2.7K Vol.2 months left

Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?

49%chance

$5.0K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?

2%chance

$3.6K Vol.2 months left

Netanyahu arrested by…?

5%chance

$8.2K Vol.2 months left

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

December 3125%
October 3112%

$329.9K Vol.

Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?

2%chance

$7.8K Vol.2 months left

Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

15%chance

$99.7K Vol.1 year left

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

9%chance

$223.4 Vol.2 months left

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?

4%chance

$26.6K Vol.2 months left

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

9%chance

$1.4K Vol.2 months left

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

10%chance

$2.7K Vol.2 months left

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

19%chance

$33.5K Vol.2 months left

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?

11%chance

$13.9K Vol.2 months left

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

2%chance

$195.4K Vol.2 months left

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

2%chance

$862.2K Vol.2 months left

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

12%chance

$54.5K Vol.2 months left

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?

5%chance

$71.0K Vol.2 months left

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

4%chance

$186.4K Vol.2 months left

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

4%chance

$248.9K Vol.2 months left

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

11%chance

$125.1K Vol.2 months left

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

7%chance

$10.9K Vol.2 months left

Will Israel annex any territory by...?

8%chance

$94.8K Vol.2 months left

Israel

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

Netanyahu out by...?

Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

Will Israel election happen as scheduled?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Israel military action against Iraq by...?

Israel election: will Likud lose seats?

Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?

US announces military base in Israel in 2026?

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by March 31, 2027?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?

Israel Election: Likud or Yashar in Government?

Netanyahu drops out before election?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?

Netanyahu convicted in corruption trial?

Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?

Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?

Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?

Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?

Netanyahu arrested by…?

Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?

Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Will Israel annex any territory by...?