Midterms

100 events

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
- No Hormuz Agreement89%
- Hormuz Agreement; D Senate6%
$1.0M Vol.

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Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep62%
R Senate, D House28%

$22.6M Vol.

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party91%
Republican Party10%

$16.6M Vol.

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)65%
Ken Paxton (R)36%

$3.4M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

$108.9K Vol.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party64%
Republican Party37%

$6.4M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$44.8K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

$45.3K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)71%
Mike Rogers (R)30%

$1.6M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$23.8K Vol.

NY-23 House Election Winner

Nick Langworthy (R)96%
Aaron Gies (D)2%

$52.9K Vol.

MO-02 House Election Winner

Ann Wagner (R)77%
Fred Wellman (D)23%

$65.3K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

$111.9K Vol.

GA-11 House Election Winner

John Cowan (R)96%
Chris Harden (D)1%

$75.8K Vol.

Iowa Governor Election Winner

Rob Sand (D)89%
Zach Lahn (R)12%

$172.5K Vol.

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Sherrod Brown (D)62%
Jon Husted (R)40%

$1.2M Vol.

Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?

$45.9K Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4738%
4817%

$3.1M Vol.

Alabama Governor Election Winner

Tommy Tuberville (R)93%
Doug Jones (D)7%

$37.7K Vol.

Arizona Governor Election Winner

Katie Hobbs (D)89%
Andy Biggs (R)12%

$131.9K Vol.

TN-04 House Election Winner

$102.8K Vol.

House favorite on November 2 wins the election?

92%chance

$24.2K Vol.21 days left

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola73%
Sen. Dan Sullivan27%

$1.3M Vol.

MT-01 House Election Winner

Aaron Flint (R)70%
Sam Forstag (D)32%

$77.0K Vol.

NC-08 House Election Winner

Mark Harris (R)97%
Colby Watson (D)3%

$45.1K Vol.

How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?

47–49 and 193–20725%
≤46 and ≤19222%

$64.7K Vol.

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Pete Ricketts (R)73%
Independent28%

$592.5K Vol.

Maine Senate Election Winner

Troy Jackson (D)60%
Susan Collins (R)42%

$2.2M Vol.

NY-24 House Election Winner

$43.9K Vol.

NM-02 House Election Winner

$73.6K Vol.

TX-26 House Election Winner

Brandon Gill (R)97%
Steven Shook (D)2%

$62.4K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election Winner

Roger Marshall (R)63%
Adam Hamilton (D)38%

$885.2K Vol.

OH-14 House Election Winner

David Joyce (R)96%
Maria Jukic (D)4%

$79.7K Vol.

GA-09 House Election Winner

Andrew Clyde (R)96%
Caitlyn Gegen (D)2%

$42.3K Vol.

MN-05 House Election Winner

Ilhan Omar (D)93%
John Nagel (R)5%

$65.1K Vol.

Texas Senate Election: Fort Bend County Winner

James Talarico (D)96%
Ken Paxton (R)2%

$11.6K Vol.

TX-25 House Election Winner

Roger Williams (R)97%
Dione Sims (D)2%

$39.8K Vol.

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

$70.7K Vol.

FL-08 House Election Winner

$59.9K Vol.

TN-05 House Election Winner

Charlie Hatcher (R)95%
Chaz Molder (D)5%

$71.7K Vol.

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Below 19024%
205-20919%

$324.9K Vol.

WI-05 House Election Winner

$93.2K Vol.

FL-14 House Election Winner

Kathy Castor (D)67%
Mike Beltran (R)28%

$66.1K Vol.

TX-28 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 9-12%19%
Democrat 6-9%19%

$15.5K Vol.

Texas Governor Election Winner

Greg Abbott (R)79%
Gina Hinojosa (D) 21%

$526.0K Vol.

HI-02 House Election Winner

Jill Tokuda (D)96%
Brenton Awa (R)4%

$81.0K Vol.

TX-27 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%32%
Republican 15-20%21%

$11.8K Vol.

TN-08 House Election Winner

David Kustoff (R)97%
Heidi Kuhn (D)2%

$48.3K Vol.

OH-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 0-3%21%
Democrat 3-6%19%

$15.0K Vol.

TX-36 House Election Winner

Brian Babin (R)95%
Rhonda Hart (D)4%

$47.8K Vol.

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

↓ 7%50%
↑ 12%21%

$180.4K Vol.

Oregon Governor Election Winner

Tina Kotek (D)77%
Christine Drazan (R)24%

$87.6K Vol.

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Florida99%
California97%

$430.9K Vol.

TX-21 House Election Winner

Mark Teixeira (R)96%
Kristin Hook (D)4%

$69.2K Vol.

MO-06 House Election Winner

Chris Stigall (R)96%
Josh Smead (D)6%

$57.7K Vol.

SC-01 House Election Winner

$81.9K Vol.

Florida Governor Election Winner

Byron Donalds (R) 79%
David Jolly (D)21%

$295.3K Vol.

WI-07 House Election Winner

Michael Alfonso (R)95%
Fred Clark (D)4%

$61.5K Vol.

OR-02 House Election Winner

Cliff Bentz (R)96%
Chris Beck (D)5%

$20.5K Vol.

NY-11 House Election Winner

$38.5K Vol.

NY-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%24%
Republican 18%+18%

$21.6K Vol.

Iowa Senate Election Winner

Ashley Hinson (R)59%
Josh Turek (D)43%

$871.7K Vol.

Massachusetts Governor Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 15-20%24%
Democrat 20-25%24%

$15.6K Vol.

FL-19 House Election Winner

Jim Schwartzel (R)95%
Victor Arias (D)5%

$31.3K Vol.

PA-11 House Election Winner

Lloyd Smucker (R)95%
Nancy Mannion (D)4%

$55.1K Vol.

PA-16 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%31%
Republican 10-15%29%

$16.3K Vol.

Vermont Governor Election Winner

Phil Scott (R)75%
Amanda Janoo (D)24%

$231.4K Vol.

CO-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 0-3%21%
Republican 3-6%21%

$16.1K Vol.

MI-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 35-40%34%
Democrat 30-35%20%

$18.3K Vol.

NY-14 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 40-45%24%
Democrat 50-55%19%

$14.7K Vol.

North Carolina Senate Election Winner

Roy Cooper (D)96%
Michael Whatley (R)4%

$223.0K Vol.

OH-11 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 60-65%31%
Democrat 55-60%23%

$11.9K Vol.

NY-14 House Election Winner

$60.3K Vol.

Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner

Josh Shapiro (D)98%
Stacy Garrity (R)2%

$56.8K Vol.

NC-11 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 3-6%22%
Democrat 0-3%18%

$15.2K Vol.

RI-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 40-45%26%
Democrat 35-40%19%

$11.8K Vol.

NE-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 40-45%26%
Republican 35-40%25%

$20.1K Vol.

Wisconsin Governor Election Winner

David Crowley (D)81%
Tom Tiffany (R)20%

$717.4K Vol.

NV-02 House Election Winner

$40.7K Vol.

SC-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%34%
Republican 15-20%26%

$24.8K Vol.

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Amy Acton (D)69%
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)32%

$325.1K Vol.

TX-15 House Election Winner

Bobby Pulido (D)83%
Monica De La Cruz (R)17%

$55.3K Vol.

NC-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 9-12%23%
Republican 6-9%23%

$16.8K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory

El-Sayed 3-6%30%
Rogers 0-3%18%

$9.4K Vol.

OH-09 House Election Winner

Marcy Kaptur (D)74%
Derek Merrin (R)26%

$43.8K Vol.

AL-02 House Election Winner

Rhett Marques (R)71%
Shomari Figures (D)28%

$80.4K Vol.

NY-17 House Election Winner

Cait Conley (D)61%
Mike Lawler (R)40%

$65.6K Vol.

GA-07 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Republican 15-20%25%
Republican 5-10%24%

$12.2K Vol.

WV-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 30-35%26%
Republican 35-40%24%

$12.6K Vol.

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

Michigan76%
Texas70%

$101.0K Vol.

ME-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Democrat 30-35%27%
Democrat 25-30%26%

$13.7K Vol.

Delaware Senate Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%28%
Democrat 30-35%21%

$10.4K Vol.

Wyoming Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 30-35%36%
Republican 25-30%21%

$32.2K Vol.

WI-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%14%
Democrat 0-3%14%

$15.9K Vol.

AR-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 35-40%30%
Republican 40-45%28%

$24.0K Vol.

VA-05 House Election Winner

John McGuire (R)76%
Tom Perriello (D)23%

$120.3K Vol.

OR-04 House Election Winner

Val Hoyle (D)96%
Monique DeSpain (R)5%

$34.6K Vol.

Closest Senate Race?

Florida (Special)15%
Kansas13%

$18.2K Vol.

CT-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 30-35%30%
Democrat 25-30%25%

$16.2K Vol.

NE-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 9-12%18%
Republican 6-9%18%

$13.7K Vol.