Science

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How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

081%
112%

$334.0K Vol.

Another pneumonic plague case in Russia by...?

$88.2K Vol.

Plague pandemic in 2026?

2%chance

$402.7K Vol.2 months left

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

35 to 4954%
50 or more24%

$44.4K Vol.

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202755%
December 31, 202616%

$826.2K Vol.

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Anthropic52%
SpaceX47%

$6.5M Vol.

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

$252.6K Vol.

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202767%
December 31, 202620%

$433.1K Vol.

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

June 30, 2027?63%
March 31, 202757%

$61.3K Vol.

Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?

4%chance

$99.9K Vol.2 months left

Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by ___?

December 31, 202711%
December 31, 20262%

$39.2K Vol.

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by ___?

December 31, 202836%
December 31, 202713%

$435.9K Vol.

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

December 31, 202767%
September 30, 202733%

$178.2K Vol.

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

↑4.5k>99%
↑4.75k97%

$8.1M Vol.monthly

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202743%
December 31, 20268%

$77.4K Vol.

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?

$30.2K Vol.

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

60%chance

$3.6K Vol.1 year left

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

Hodge Conjecture20%
Ramsey Number R(5,5)19%

$59.6K Vol.

Plague declared public health emergency by...?

December 314%
November 303%

$17.4K Vol.

Measles cases in U.S. by October 31?

4100+>99%
4200+>99%

$13.7K Vol.monthly

Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?

$20.7K Vol.

Plague case in US by December 31?

9%chance

$12.9K Vol.2 months left

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

December 3120%
October 315%

$10.5K Vol.

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

3%chance

$595.2K Vol.2 months left

How many SpaceX launches in October 2026?

<1495%
1424%

$1.3K Vol.monthly

$24.8K Vol.

Merck & Moderna merger/acquisition announced in 2026?

4%chance

$723.4 Vol.2 months left

Chopsticks catch a Starship upper stage by...?

6%chance

$294.8 Vol.18 days left

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2028?

77%chance

$1.0K Vol.1 year left

Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

7%chance

$11.8K Vol.2 months left

SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?

74%chance

$13.2K Vol.1 year left

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

140-15973%
120-13912%

$336.1K Vol.monthly

Plague pandemic in 2026?

Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

Plague case in US by December 31?

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

Human moon landing in 2026?

Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?