All markets
Human moon landing in 2026?
2%chance
- Yes1.3%
Outcomes
- Yes2%
1.5¢ per share
- No99%
98.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 1.3¢Spread 0.8¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9¢ | 112 | $1.01 |
| 0.8¢ | 423.48 | $3.39 |
| 0.6¢ | 466 | $2.80 |
| 0.5¢ | 800 | $4.00 |
| 0.4¢ | 100 | $0.40 |
| 0.3¢ | 2,436.85 | $7.31 |
| 0.2¢ | 30,408.2 | $60.82 |
| 0.1¢ | 84,676.41 | $84.68 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.7¢ | 151 | $2.57 |
| 1.8¢ | 35 | $0.63 |
| 1.9¢ | 148.05 | $2.81 |
| 2¢ | 220 | $4.40 |
| 2.1¢ | 7.31 | $0.15 |
| 2.4¢ | 102.45 | $2.46 |
| 3¢ | 234 | $7.02 |
| 3.3¢ | 220 | $7.26 |
| 3.4¢ | 195.37 | $6.64 |
| 3.7¢ | 244 | $9.03 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.