All markets
Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by December 31?
8%chance
- Yes7.5%
Outcomes
- Yes8%
7.5¢ per share
- No93%
92.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 7.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 7¢ | 800.26 | $56.02 |
| 6¢ | 415 | $24.90 |
| 5¢ | 1,434 | $71.70 |
| 4¢ | 133.66 | $5.35 |
| 3¢ | 777.74 | $23.33 |
| 2¢ | 9,179.67 | $183.59 |
| 1¢ | 60.49 | $0.60 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 8¢ | 632.38 | $50.59 |
| 9¢ | 965.73 | $86.92 |
| 10¢ | 1,354 | $135.40 |
| 11¢ | 2,000 | $220.00 |
| 12¢ | 793.31 | $95.20 |
| 27¢ | 10 | $2.70 |
| 36¢ | 10 | $3.60 |
| 59¢ | 5 | $2.95 |
| 74¢ | 154.22 | $114.12 |
| 97¢ | 23.6 | $22.89 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization officially declares a Public Health Emergency of International Concern covering plague, Yersinia pestis, pneumonic plague, or any plague outbreak between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a determination that constitutes a Public Health Emergency of International Concern under the International Health Regulations will qualify. Other designations will not be considered, including the convening of an Emergency Committee, a Disease Outbreak News publication, a grade assigned under the WHO Emergency Response Framework, and a characterization of the outbreak as a pandemic. A Public Health Emergency of International Concern already in effect at market creation does not qualify; the declaration must occur between market creation and the specified date. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.