All markets
Will the WHO declare a PHEIC for plague by November 30?
3%chance
- Yes3.4%
Outcomes
- Yes3%
3.4¢ per share
- No97%
96.6¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 3.4¢Spread 0.8¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3¢ | 527.06 | $15.81 |
| 1.1¢ | 726 | $7.99 |
| 1¢ | 1,210 | $12.10 |
| 0.4¢ | 138.04 | $0.55 |
| 0.3¢ | 328.64 | $0.99 |
| 0.2¢ | 403.16 | $0.81 |
| 0.1¢ | 5,633.57 | $5.63 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.8¢ | 500 | $19.00 |
| 4.2¢ | 300 | $12.60 |
| 4.7¢ | 5 | $0.24 |
| 4.9¢ | 1,000 | $49.00 |
| 5.3¢ | 7 | $0.37 |
| 5.4¢ | 193 | $10.42 |
| 5.5¢ | 30 | $1.65 |
| 6¢ | 400 | $24.00 |
| 6.4¢ | 2,000 | $128.00 |
| 7¢ | 400 | $28.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization officially declares a Public Health Emergency of International Concern covering plague, Yersinia pestis, pneumonic plague, or any plague outbreak between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a determination that constitutes a Public Health Emergency of International Concern under the International Health Regulations will qualify. Other designations will not be considered, including the convening of an Emergency Committee, a Disease Outbreak News publication, a grade assigned under the WHO Emergency Response Framework, and a characterization of the outbreak as a pandemic. A Public Health Emergency of International Concern already in effect at market creation does not qualify; the declaration must occur between market creation and the specified date. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.