AI

268 events

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
- December 31, 202827%
- December 31, 202713%
$6.0M Vol.

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Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$1.5T88%
↑$1.75T72%

$5.6M Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Google70%
Anthropic30%

$2.6M Vol.monthly

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$1.75–$2.0T33%
$2.0–$2.25T19%

$1.7M Vol.

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

CXMT31%
CATL19%

$570.8K Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

December 3198%
October 3185%

$513.5K Vol.

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202752%
December 31, 202614%

$863.5K Vol.

North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202824%
December 31, 202717%

$252.2K Vol.

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Anthropic45%
Google40%

$2.5M Vol.monthly

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

1.5T+45%
No IPO by December 31, 202725%

$487.2K Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

October 2030%
October 2220%

$95.1K Vol.

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

December 3193%
October 3138%

$293.9K Vol.

Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?

Saudi Arabia16%
Russia11%

$99.9K Vol.

Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202821%
December 31, 202712%

$693.3K Vol.

Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1400+94%
1420+87%

$71.7K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

Anthropic48%
Google45%

$299.5K Vol.monthly

What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?

$1.75–$2.00T33%
$1.50–$1.75T17%

$149.0K Vol.

Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202825%
December 31, 202722%

$772.8K Vol.

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

OpenAI60%
Google27%

$20.1K Vol.weekly

Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?

Anthropic28%
Microsoft28%

$45.1K Vol.

How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?

12-1584%
16-197%

$196.5K Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?

1500+90%
1510+85%

$15.5K Vol.

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

November 202657%
January 202722%

$383.3K Vol.

GPU rental prices (H200) end of 2026?

$5.50-$6.0019%
$3.00-$3.5018%

$32.8K Vol.monthly

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

Denver, CO92%
Las Vegas, NV84%

$75.9K Vol.

#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

Google62%
OpenAI39%

$11.4K Vol.weekly

Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202825%
December 31, 202716%

$716.9K Vol.

OpenAI resumes training on...?

$57.5K Vol.

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

076%
113%

$344.8K Vol.

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Viking Therapeutics12%
Perplexity AI10%

$18.4M Vol.

#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

Anthropic47%
Meta34%

$60.7K Vol.monthly

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$1.25T65%
↑$1.5T22%

$1.3M Vol.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

1480+34%
1495+33%

$286.7K Vol.

GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?

$7.00+73%
$6.50-$7.007%

$102.5K Vol.monthly

OpenAI IPO by...?

June 30, 202735%
March 31, 202721%

$3.1M Vol.

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

No release by October 3196%
October 192%

$54.1K Vol.

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

1.8T+62%
1.5–1.8T27%

$522.1K Vol.

Will Claude go down on __ days in October?

5-748%
<525%

$12.7K Vol.monthly

Next Gemini Argon released by...?

January 3137%
December 3125%

$2.1K Vol.

Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202826%
June 30, 202714%

$723.0K Vol.

GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?

$5.50+65%
$5.00-$5.5019%

$54.8K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ in 2026?

↓ $5.0045%
↓ $5.5042%

$57.4K Vol.monthly

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

95%chance

$424.7K Vol.1 year left

OpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?

$1.30T+44%
$1.00-$1.10T18%

$13.6K Vol.

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

$ANTH35%
$ANT16%

$126.0K Vol.

Next DeepSeek Flash released by...?

November 3093%
October 3174%

$15.1K Vol.

GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?

$0.60+36%
$0.55-$0.6035%

$54.4K Vol.monthly

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

December 3134%
November 3026%

$1.6M Vol.

OpenAI resumes training by...?

October 3147%
October 15<1%

$27.9K Vol.

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

#318%
#16%

$277.5K Vol.

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

13%chance

$317.7K Vol.2 months left

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202767%
December 31, 202623%

$439.9K Vol.

Will Micron Q1 DRAM revenue be above __?

$42B71%
$46B54%

$1.3K Vol.

GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026?

↓ $4.0052%
↑ $7.0049%

$23.2K Vol.monthly

Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202827%
December 31, 202721%

$576.4K Vol.

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?

Moonshot36%
Xiaomi17%

$3.0K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (A100) end of November?

$0.75-$1.0057%
$0.50-$0.7524%

$16.8K Vol.monthly

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Xiaomi57%
Alibaba27%

$209.9K Vol.monthly

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

$293.6K Vol.

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

No release by October 3192%
October 204%

$113.1K Vol.

Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by...?

December 3181%
November 3052%

$5.4K Vol.

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of December?

Google35%
OpenAI28%

$12.6K Vol.monthly

Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+26%
60%+21%

$87.1K Vol.

#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

Meta58%
Anthropic38%

$70.5K Vol.monthly

Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

60%+46%
65%+25%

$108.5K Vol.

How many Codex resets week of October 12?

352%
4+15%

$2.6K Vol.

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Alibaba27%
Moonshot22%

$11.6K Vol.monthly

Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by...?

November 3085%
October 3136%

$11.3K Vol.

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

OpenAI54%
Anthropic18%

$19.5K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ in 2026?

↓ $2.2552%
↑ $3.5051%

$17.3K Vol.daily

Which exchange will Anthropic list on?

NASDAQ89%
NYSE10%

$1.8K Vol.

Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q4 AI revenue be above __?

$20B73%
$21B64%

$693.0 Vol.

Next DeepSeek Pro released by...?

November 3030%
October 3114%

$25.4K Vol.

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Alibaba38%
Moonshot34%

$35.3K Vol.monthly

Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?

$40+88%
$50+65%

$8.2K Vol.

Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?

October 315%
October 162%

$36.0K Vol.

GPU rental prices (B200) end of November?

$7.50-$8.0018%
$9.00+16%

$9.9K Vol.monthly

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 Data Center Revenue be above __?

$100B91%
$95B85%

$633.0 Vol.

OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

$1.00-$1.10T36%
$1.10-$1.20T33%

$15.5K Vol.

Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+82%
50%+35%

$102.9K Vol.

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Z.ai41%
Meta34%

$63.7K Vol.monthly

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

↑ 154046%
↑ 155030%

$223.9K Vol.daily

Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)

Google40%
Anthropic39%

$5.1K Vol.monthly

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+81%
60%+33%

$142.5K Vol.

JIO Platforms IPO by...?

>99%chance

$6.5K Vol.2 months left

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$1.5T89%
$1.75T74%

$15.6K Vol.

Third-best AI Lab end of October?

Meta88%
Alibaba6%

$63.5K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

Anthropic72%
OpenAI22%

$51.8K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?

Anthropic84%
OpenAI11%

$107.0K Vol.monthly

OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

9%chance

$9.3K Vol.2 months left

Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by...?

December 3190%
November 3068%

$9.7K Vol.

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

November 3050%
October 3130%

$3.4K Vol.monthly

Will Dell Q3 Infrastructure Solutions Group revenue be above __?

$33.5B72%
$35.0B62%

$467.0 Vol.

Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?

Anthropic78%
OpenAI16%

$19.8K Vol.monthly

#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

Meta37%
Anthropic25%

$34.0K Vol.monthly

Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

60%+23%
65%+8%

$137.3K Vol.

#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)

Anthropic27%
Meta24%

$22.3K Vol.monthly

Best AI model on October 19?

gemini-4-argon-high94%
Other5%

$9.3K Vol.weekly

Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

Anthropic94%
OpenAI4%

$77.4K Vol.monthly

Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?

26%chance

$10.5K Vol.2 months left

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

Earbuds/Headphones14%
Glasses13%

$454.7K Vol.

Micron Q1 adjusted gross margin?

92.5%+28%
82.5% to 85%28%

$383.7 Vol.

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202739%
December 31, 202610%

$78.4K Vol.

Will Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above __?

$17.0B75%
$16.0B73%

$360.6 Vol.

Second-best AI Lab end of November?

Anthropic44%
Google39%

$24.6K Vol.monthly

Claude 6 released by...?

December 31, 202793%
June 30, 202773%

$38.6K Vol.

Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Xiaomi38%
Alibaba38%

$12.4K Vol.monthly

What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4551%
↓ $3039%

$10.7K Vol.annual

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of December?

OpenAI71%
SpaceXAI10%

$14.9K Vol.monthly

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

Google58%
OpenAI26%

$38.4K Vol.monthly

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

October 3163%
October 152%

$1.2K Vol.monthly

Grok Bot on the free plan by...?

December 319%
October 318%

$6.3K Vol.

Kimi (Moonshot AI) IPO by...?

June 30, 202771%
March 31, 202724%

$12.7K Vol.

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Google52%
Alibaba20%

$69.6K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?

$2.50-$3.0019%
$2.00-$2.5019%

$70.0K Vol.monthly

Second-best AI Lab end of December?

Anthropic37%
Google32%

$13.4K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of November?

$0.55-$0.6026%
$0.65-$0.7025%

$6.4K Vol.monthly

Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+60%
50%+43%

$158.2K Vol.

Will Neuralink’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$60B55%
↑$75B24%

$100.0K Vol.

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$800B81%
$1T75%

$1.6M Vol.

Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by...?

December 3175%
November 3044%

$3.5K Vol.

Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by...?

47%chance

$7.6K Vol.16 days left

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

OpenAI55%
Google26%

$61.6K Vol.monthly

What will Anthropic's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

↑ $2567%
↑ $3049%

$14.5K Vol.

Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)

Google68%
Anthropic26%

$76.7K Vol.monthly

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

November 3037%
October 3115%

$44.6K Vol.

What will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4559%
↓ $4056%

$21.2K Vol.

SB Energy IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO before January 202762%
$40B-$50B13%

$37.8K Vol.

Will Perplexity's valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$22.5B51%
↑$25B35%

$76.7K Vol.

Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

October 3162%
October 1513%

$25.0K Vol.

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

Meta27%
Z.ai19%

$16.4K Vol.monthly

Grok 5 released by...?

December 3143%
November 3014%

$19.7K Vol.

#2 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)

Meta34%
Anthropic34%

$18.5K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (H200) end of November?

$6.50+32%
$5.00-$5.5021%

$21.7K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?

$3.00+28%
$2.75-$3.0025%

$35.2K Vol.monthly

Kimi K4 released by…?

March 31, 202728%
December 31, 20269%

$30.1K Vol.

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?

Anthropic57%
Google39%

$71.8K Vol.monthly

US Government removes public access to another Anthropic AI model in 2026?

12%chance

$42.3K Vol.2 months left

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of November?

OpenAI80%
SpaceXAI4%

$25.1K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of November?

Anthropic71%
OpenAI21%

$12.3K Vol.monthly

Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?

9%chance

$20.7K Vol.2 months left

What will GPT Astra's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4060%
↓ $3046%

$13.1K Vol.

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

18%chance

$76.9K Vol.2 months left

OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25?

675-725T55%
625-675T19%

$17.1K Vol.monthly

Muse Charm released by...?

December 3162%
December 1542%

$2.6K Vol.

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

Google45%
Anthropic32%

$16.0K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?

Google63%
ByteDance20%

$12.1K Vol.monthly

Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by...?

December 3194%
October 3132%

$1.4K Vol.

Will Databricks' valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$200B79%
↑$225B19%

$145.2K Vol.

Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of October?

OpenAI85%
Google4%

$30.0K Vol.

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?

Alibaba33%
Xiaomi22%

$3.4K Vol.monthly

Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?

1480+85%
1490+78%

$21.5K Vol.

What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $1534%
↑ $2530%

$10.7K Vol.

Claude Opus 5.6+: Output Token Price Debut?

$15+85%
$20+59%

$4.2K Vol.

Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?

Anthropic6%
OpenAI6%

$5.4K Vol.

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Z.ai19%
Microsoft16%

$101.7K Vol.

#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

DeepSeek96%
Google3%

$7.9K Vol.weekly

GPT-7 released by...?

December 31, 202785%
June 30, 202742%

$17.1K Vol.

Deepseek IPO by...?

December 31, 202775%
September 30, 202762%

$51.7K Vol.

Will CrowdStrike Q3 net new ARR be above __?

$320M72%
$360M28%

$100.0 Vol.

NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 adjusted gross margin (non-GAAP)?

73% to 75%44%
71% to 73%42%

$140.0 Vol.

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

60%+38%
65%+17%

$169.6K Vol.

Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Xiaomi21%
DeepSeek17%

$126.3K Vol.

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

156049%
158016%

$237.9K Vol.monthly

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

October 3122%
October 157%

$2.5K Vol.monthly

Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?

28%chance

$59.3K Vol.2 months left

SSI public model released by…?

December 3138%
November 3036%

$133.8K Vol.

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

3%chance

$30.6K Vol.2 months left

Best AI model on October 26?

gemini-4-argon-high79%
Other12%

$4.9K Vol.weekly

GPU rental prices (H100) end of November?

$3.25+23%
$2.50-$2.7520%

$8.6K Vol.monthly

Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by...?

November 3061%
October 3116%

$10.5K Vol.

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Anthropic77%
Meta14%

$214.3K Vol.monthly

Third-best AI Lab end of November?

Meta66%
Alibaba12%

$16.4K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best AI Agent end of December?

Anthropic72%
OpenAI13%

$7.7K Vol.monthly

What will Claude Sonnet's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $825%
↑ $158%

$5.8K Vol.

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

157531%
160012%

$141.8K Vol.monthly

FTC opens investigation into AI book destruction in 2026?

17%chance

$1.8K Vol.2 months left

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Moonshot30%
Alibaba21%

$11.3K Vol.monthly

Next Alibaba Qwen Plus (3.8+) released by...?

December 3167%
October 3135%

$10.2K Vol.

Gemini Spark on the free plan by...?

December 3125%
October 312%

$3.3K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of November?

Anthropic53%
OpenAI17%

$17.1K Vol.monthly

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

40%+36%
45%+36%

$104.4K Vol.

Which company has #1 AI model end of November? (Style Control On)

Google55%
Anthropic31%

$32.3K Vol.monthly

Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?

None in 202665%
Google16%

$134.6K Vol.

Second-best AI Lab end of October?

Anthropic62%
Google23%

$61.2K Vol.monthly

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

OpenAI81%
Anthropic11%

$38.6K Vol.monthly

US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?

14%chance

$45.0K Vol.2 months left

Will Palo Alto Networks Q1 Next-Generation Security ARR be above __?

$9.25B74%
$9.75B27%

$40.1 Vol.

ChatGPT Outage by...?

October 3172%
October 1537%

$719.0 Vol.monthly

What will GPT Sol's output token price hit in 2026?

↑ $1534%
↓ $832%

$6.0K Vol.

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of December?

Google50%
ByteDance30%

$9.1K Vol.monthly

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

50%+>99%
55%+76%

$9.7K Vol.

OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026?

89%chance

$29.2K Vol.2 months left

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of December?

OpenAI47%
Google24%

$11.4K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?

Anthropic54%
Google33%

$28.0K Vol.monthly

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Alibaba41%
Xiaomi29%

$52.4K Vol.monthly

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

OpenAI64%
Anthropic20%

$29.1K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of October?

Google76%
ByteDance13%

$47.7K Vol.monthly

OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31?

7%chance

$11.9K Vol.2 months left

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?

5+47%
428%

$24.2K Vol.monthly

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?

Meta30%
Google18%

$11.4K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of November?

Anthropic82%
OpenAI5%

$7.1K Vol.monthly

Next Mistral Small (4.1+) released by...?

February 2851%
December 3139%

$1.2K Vol.monthly

Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by...?

January 3141%
December 3137%

$1.7K Vol.

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Anthropic41%
Meta10%

$18.0K Vol.

Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?

28%chance

$4.8K Vol.2 months left

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Anthropic40%
Google39%

$73.8K Vol.monthly

Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO before 202864%
<20B8%

$149.8K Vol.

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

60%chance

$3.7K Vol.1 year left

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?

Anthropic94%
OpenAI2%

$42.4K Vol.monthly

AI data center in space by...?

December 31, 202726%
December 31, 20262%

$63.0K Vol.

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

December 31, 202638%
October 31, 20262%

$484.8K Vol.

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

$60.5K Vol.

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of December?

OpenAI56%
Anthropic27%

$9.5K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?

Anthropic89%
Google6%

$9.7K Vol.monthly

Third-best AI Lab end of December?

Meta42%
Anthropic20%

$20.6K Vol.monthly

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

6%chance

$63.5K Vol.2 months left

Next Muse Wonder (1.1+) released by...?

December 3154%
January 3151%

$295.0 Vol.

Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by...?

January 3147%
December 3124%

$981.6 Vol.

Another Frontier Math Problem Solved by...?

November 3072%
October 3133%

$948.8 Vol.

Muse on Meta glasses by...?

December 3153%
October 3122%

$5.1K Vol.

Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1510+78%
1520+61%

$7.8K Vol.

GPT Astra 6.1+: Output Token Price Debut?

$40+69%
$50+47%

$6.1K Vol.

$12.7K Vol.monthly

Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by...?

November 3087%
October 3117%

$4.8K Vol.

ChatGPT Dots on the free plan by...?

December 3148%
October 313%

$1.4K Vol.

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

$718.0K Vol.

Will a dLLM be the top AI model before 2027?

8%chance

$3.6K Vol.2 months left

SSI announces it has achieved SSI by December 31?

19%chance

$5.9K Vol.2 months left

Best Chinese AI Company end of December?

Alibaba35%
Xiaomi23%

$6.9K Vol.monthly

OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

7%chance

$88.2 Vol.2 months left

GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?

$6.50+79%
$6.00-$6.5014%

$43.6K Vol.monthly

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

$OAI41%
$OPAI35%

$21.2K Vol.

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

600B+95%
No IPO by December 31, 20273%

$525.5K Vol.

Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

19%chance

$62.1K Vol.2 months left

GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?

$0.75-$1.0066%
$1.00-$1.2526%

$49.3K Vol.monthly

Next Mistral Medium (3.6+) released by...?

January 3139%
November 3029%

$564.6 Vol.monthly

Next Mistral Large (4.1+) released by...?

March 3161%
January 3124%

$619.0 Vol.monthly

Another Codex outage in 2026?

73%chance

$516.2 Vol.2 months left

Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by...?

December 3141%
October 3114%

$4.7K Vol.

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?

Anthropic51%
Google37%

$9.8K Vol.monthly

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of December?

OpenAI25%
Google22%

$5.5K Vol.monthly

America.gov removed by October 31?

3%chance

$5.4K Vol.2 months left

Next Grok Model (4.8+): Text Arena Debut?

1440+66%
1450+51%

$6.4K Vol.

Anthropic lab leak by...?

$156.1K Vol.

OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

December 31, 202618%
October 31, 20263%

$7.8K Vol.

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to announce recursive self-improvement?

45%chance

$1.6K Vol.1 year left

DOJ fines Nvidia over Groq deal in 2026?

11%chance

$558.8 Vol.2 months left

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

Google32%
Alibaba18%

$13.3K Vol.monthly

13%chance

$599.2 Vol.2 months left

Comprehensive federal AI framework becomes US law before 2028?

36%chance

$1.6K Vol.2 months left

Frontier AI lab pulls a model over safety concerns in 2026?

13%chance

$7.4K Vol.2 months left

Astra removed from public access by...?

3%chance

$1.7K Vol.16 days left

OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

7%chance

$1.1K Vol.2 months left

Next GPT Image Model (2.6+) released by...?

January 3150%
December 3141%

$36.2 Vol.

Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of October?

MiniMax83%
Google15%

$22.2K Vol.

Tristan Buckmaster sues OpenAI by...?

21%chance

$4.0K Vol.2 months left

Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?

December 31, 202831%
December 31, 202718%

$24.8K Vol.

SB Energy IPO by...?

December 3135%
October 317%

$10.7K Vol.

Dario Amodei out as Anthropic CEO before IPO?

5%chance

$10.8 Vol.1 year left

Anthropic or OpenAI: higher IPO closing market cap?

69%chance

$255.2 Vol.2 years left

Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?

4%chance

$107.1K Vol.2 months left

US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?

6%chance

$5.3K Vol.2 months left

Will Jerome Powell join an AI company in 2026?

6%chance

$577.2 Vol.2 months left

Dario Amodei arrested by December 31?

3%chance

$3.4K Vol.2 months left

Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?

92%chance

$97.3K Vol.2 months left