All markets

Brazil Presidential Election

• Flávio Bolsonaro79%YesNo
• Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva21%YesNo

Fed Decision in October?

• No change85%YesNo
• 25 bps increase14%YesNo

Wuhan Tennis Open: Elina Svitolina vs Sonay Kartal

• 1E. Svitolina62%
• 1S. Kartal39%

Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026?

• 340-35965%YesNo
• 360-37934%YesNo

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

• Harry Kane64%YesNo
• Lamine Yamal28%YesNo

Next French Presidential Election

• Marine Le Pen46%YesNo
• Édouard Philippe20%YesNo

East Carolina vs. UAB

• 17East Carolina0%
• 30UAB100%

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

• October 16>99%YesNo
• October 1799%YesNo

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

• ↓ 80,00066%YesNo
• ↑ 85,00062%YesNo

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

• October 1896%YesNo
• October 2193%YesNo

Bitcoin above ___ on October 16?

• 72,000>99%YesNo
• 74,000>99%YesNo

MLB World Series Champion 2026

• Milwaukee Brewers65%YesNo
• Cleveland Guardians20%YesNo

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

• March 3159%YesNo
• December 3135%YesNo

Georgia Southern vs. Old Dominion

• 23Georgia Southern100%
• 15Old Dominion0%

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

• Barcelona24%YesNo
• Paris Saint-Germain16%YesNo

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

• Democrats Sweep63%YesNo
• R Senate, D House28%YesNo

Which party will win the House in 2026?

• Democratic Party91%YesNo
• Republican Party10%YesNo

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

• No Hormuz Agreement94%YesNo
• Hormuz Agreement; D Senate3%YesNo

Valorant: Team Vitality vs LOUD (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs

• Team Vitality65%
• LOUD36%

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

• J.D. Vance48%YesNo
• Marco Rubio14%YesNo

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

• Flávio Bolsonaro <4%42%YesNo
• Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8%28%YesNo

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17%YesNo
• Gavin Newsom15%YesNo

Mallorca: Ane Mintegi Del Olmo vs Rebeka Masarova

• 1A. Olmo58%
• 1R. Masarova42%

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

• ↑ 90,00059%YesNo
• ↓ 70,00039%YesNo

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

• San Francisco 49ers13%YesNo
• Buffalo Bills12%YesNo

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

• ↓ 2,25058%YesNo
• ↑ 3,00038%YesNo

Presidential Election Winner 2028

• JD Vance21%YesNo
• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%YesNo

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

• Gadi Eizenkot48%YesNo
• Benjamin Netanyahu31%YesNo

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

• Oil ≥ $80; D Senate61%YesNo
• Oil ≥ $80; R Senate31%YesNo

What price will Bitcoin hit October 12-18?

• ↑ 84,00033%YesNo
• ↓ 80,00028%YesNo

EPL: 2027 Champion

• Arsenal64%YesNo
• Manchester City19%YesNo

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

• Democratic Party65%YesNo
• Republican Party38%YesNo

Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?

• 380-39913%YesNo
• 360-37913%YesNo

Worlds 2026: Winner

• Gen.G32%YesNo
• Hanwha Life Esports19%YesNo

Fulham FC vs. Hull City AFC

• Fulham56%
• Hull City AFC44%

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

• ↑$1.5T86%YesNo
• ↑$1.75T71%YesNo

Ethereum above ___ on October 16?

• 2,000>99%YesNo
• 2,100>99%YesNo

Largest Company end of December 2026?

• NVIDIA69%YesNo
• Apple29%YesNo

Panthers vs. Eagles

• Panthers64%
• Eagles37%

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?

• ↓ $9594%YesNo
• ↑ $10060%YesNo

Iran leadership change by...?

• June 30, 202724%YesNo
• December 3113%YesNo

What price will Ethereum hit October 12-18?

• ↓ 2,40056%YesNo
• ↑ 2,50049%YesNo

LoL: BNK FEARX vs Team WE (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs

• BNK FEARX68%
• Team WE33%

NBA: 2027 Champion

• San Antonio Spurs22%YesNo
• Oklahoma City Thunder20%YesNo

What price will Ethereum hit in October?

• ↓ 2,40084%YesNo
• ↑ 2,50080%YesNo

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

• Yashar62%YesNo
• Likud39%YesNo

LALIGA: 2027 Champion

• Barcelona81%YesNo
• Real Madrid16%YesNo

Bitcoin above ___ on October 17?

• 74,000>99%YesNo
• 76,000>99%YesNo

Counter-Strike: NIP vs Liquid (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs

• NIP51%
• Liquid50%

Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln

• Frankfurt53%
• Köln48%

Jinan: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Yosuke Watanuki

• 1S. Mochizuki74%
• 1Y. Watanuki27%

Texas Senate Election Winner

• James Talarico (D)63%YesNo
• Ken Paxton (R)38%YesNo

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

• December 3132%YesNo
• November 3022%YesNo

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

• October 18>99%YesNo
• October 2199%YesNo

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?

• No Hormuz Agreement97%YesNo
• Hormuz Agreement; D Senate2%YesNo

Anthropic IPO by __?

• December 31, 202675%YesNo
• December 15, 202672%YesNo

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google70%YesNo
• Anthropic28%YesNo

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

• December 314%YesNo
• October 31<1%YesNo

Commanders vs. 49ers

• Commanders23%
• 49ers78%

Dota 2: Yakult Brothers vs Novus Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam China Closed Qualifier Playoffs

• Yakult Brothers>99%
• Novus Gaming<1%

Alaska Senate Election Winner

• Mary Peltola74%YesNo
• Sen. Dan Sullivan26%YesNo

Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by...?

• December 3139%YesNo
• October 3110%YesNo

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on October 15?

• 86-87°F99%YesNo
• 88-89°F<1%YesNo

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T35%YesNo
• $2.0–$2.25T16%YesNo

Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Abyssal (BO3) - Logitech G Pro Series Group B

• Ground Zero<1%
• Abyssal>99%

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

• 0 (0 bps)97%YesNo
• 2 (50 bps)<1%YesNo

Bitcoin above ___ on October 21?

• 72,00099%YesNo
• 74,00098%YesNo

W35 Redding, CA: Vivian Wolff vs Arina Bulatova

• Vivian Wolff>99%
• Arina Bulatova<1%

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

• Luca Niculescu92%YesNo
• Alexandru Nazare1%YesNo

What price will Ethereum hit on October 15?

• ↑ 2,5003%YesNo
• ↓ 2,3001%YesNo

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on October 15?

• 29°C>99%YesNo
• 24°C<1%YesNo

Ravens vs. Browns

• Ravens67%
• Browns34%

Patriots vs. Dolphins

• Patriots75%
• Dolphins25%

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

• CXMT31%YesNo
• CATL20%YesNo

Kentucky vs. Oklahoma

• Kentucky32%
• Oklahoma69%

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

• Javier Milei48%YesNo
• Axel Kicillof32%YesNo

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

• December 316%YesNo
• October 311%YesNo

Elon Musk # tweets October 15 - October 17, 2026?

• 90-11447%YesNo
• 115-13924%YesNo

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

• October 1697%YesNo
• October 1794%YesNo

StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch?

• $200M2%YesNo
• $50M2%YesNo

Chiefs vs. Broncos

• Chiefs43%
• Broncos57%

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

• SpaceX56%YesNo
• Anthropic42%YesNo

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

• December 3141%YesNo
• November 3029%YesNo

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

• December 3199%YesNo
• October 3187%YesNo

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

• Nicolás Maduro71%YesNo
• Delcy Rodríguez24%YesNo

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

• Magdalena Andersson79%YesNo
• Ulf Kristersson17%YesNo

Bitcoin price on October 16?

• 82,000-84,00052%YesNo
• 80,000-82,00040%YesNo

Serie A: 2027 Champion

• Inter Milan60%YesNo
• Roma14%YesNo

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

• December 31, 202769%YesNo
• November 30, 202764%YesNo

Highest temperature in Wellington on October 16?

• 11°C97%YesNo
• 12°C2%YesNo

Wuhan Tennis Open: Diana Shnaider vs Jelena Ostapenko

• D. Shnaider67%
• J. Ostapenko34%

Flyers vs. Red Wings

• 1Flyers<1%
• 2Red Wings>99%

Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Sangal (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs

• 100 Thieves68%
• Sangal33%

Highest temperature in NYC on October 15?

• 66-67°F>99%YesNo
• 57°F or below<1%YesNo

Blues vs. Wild

• 2Blues2%
• 5Wild98%

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?

• October 599%YesNo
• October 895%YesNo

Crude Oil all time high by...?

• March 31, 202721%YesNo
• December 3112%YesNo

Highest temperature in Denver on October 15?

• 54-55°F>99%YesNo
• 60°F or higher<1%YesNo

Highest temperature in London on October 16?

• 17°C90%YesNo
• 18°C9%YesNo

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rafael Jodar vs Casper Ruud

• R. Jodar55%
• C. Ruud46%

Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs Off Chops (BO3) - Logitech G Pro Series Group B

• FlyQuest97%
• Off Chops3%

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

• Oil ≥ $85; D Senate51%YesNo
• Oil ≥ $85; R Senate26%YesNo

Israel military action against Syria by...?

• November 3032%YesNo
• October 3122%YesNo

Houthis enter Aden by...?

• December 3126%YesNo
• November 3014%YesNo

Cardinals vs. Cowboys

• Cardinals31%
• Cowboys70%

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

• Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems37%YesNo
• Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Reps21%YesNo

Ethereum price on October 16?

• 2,400-2,50080%YesNo
• 2,300-2,40013%YesNo

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

• June 30, 202711%YesNo
• December 31, 20264%YesNo

Notre Dame vs. BYU

• Notre Dame79%
• BYU22%

Highest temperature in Seattle on October 15?

• 66-67°F>99%YesNo
• 61°F or below<1%YesNo

Largest Company end of October 2026?

• NVIDIA87%YesNo
• Apple13%YesNo

Olympique Lyonnais vs. Crystal Palace FC - Total Corners

• Total Corners: O/U 8.550%YesNo
• 1st Half Total Corners: O/U 3.550%YesNo

Next leader out of power before 2027?

• None before 202748%YesNo
• Netanyahu - Israel PM27%YesNo

Texans vs. Jaguars

• Texans44%
• Jaguars56%

Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on October 15?

• 27°C>99%YesNo
• 20°C or below<1%YesNo

Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?

• 260-27912%YesNo
• 240-25911%YesNo

What price will Solana hit in October?

• ↑ 11069%YesNo
• ↓ 10065%YesNo

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

• Nithya Raman56%YesNo
• Karen Bass45%YesNo

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

• December 319%YesNo
• October 311%YesNo

Highest temperature in Houston on October 15?

• 88-89°F>99%YesNo
• 79°F or below<1%YesNo

Michigan Senate Election Winner

• Abdul El-Sayed (D)70%YesNo
• Mike Rogers (R)30%YesNo

Ethereum above ___ on October 17?

• 2,000>99%YesNo
• 2,100>99%YesNo

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

• Below 4.7%27%YesNo
• Below 4.6%11%YesNo

"Resident Evil" total domestic gross by October 31?

• 150 - 160m86%YesNo
• 160 - 170m15%YesNo

Vikings vs. Lions

• Vikings54%
• Lions47%

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

• December 3124%YesNo
• October 317%YesNo

Highest temperature in San Francisco on October 15?

• 80-81°F>99%YesNo
• 71°F or below<1%YesNo

Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona

• Betis14%
• Barcelona87%

Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on October 15?

• 21°C>99%YesNo
• 14°C or below<1%YesNo

Valorant: FlyQuest RED vs MIBR GC (BO5) - VCT Game Changers Americas Last Chance Qualifier Playoffs

• FlyQuest RED<1%
• MIBR GC>99%

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amapá

• Flavio Bolsonaro77%YesNo
• Lula23%YesNo

Ravens vs. Bills

• Ravens30%
• Bills71%

Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

• December 3132%YesNo
• October 313%YesNo

Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

• Brock Purdy25%YesNo
• Josh Allen25%YesNo

Counter-Strike: A NATA vs ARK E-sports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 7 Group Stage

• A NATA>99%
• ARK E-sports<1%

Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on October 16?

• 22°C40%YesNo
• 21°C37%YesNo

Highest temperature in Shanghai on October 16?

• 25°C52%YesNo
• 26°C48%YesNo

Louisiana Tech vs. Louisiana-Monroe

• Louisiana Tech86%
• Louisiana-Monroe14%

Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CR Flamengo - Exact Score

• Estudiantes de La Plata 0 - 0 CR Flamengo88%YesNo
• Estudiantes de La Plata 2 - 1 CR Flamengo50%YesNo

Highest temperature in Austin on October 15?

• 90-91°F>99%YesNo
• 81°F or below<1%YesNo

Demacia Cup Global Invitational 2026: Winner

• BNK FEARX68%YesNo
• Team WE33%YesNo

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

• December 3114%YesNo
• November 3011%YesNo

MLB: 2026 American League Champion

• Cleveland Guardians62%YesNo
• Tampa Bay Rays37%YesNo

Highest temperature in Beijing on October 16?

• 21°C46%YesNo
• 20°C28%YesNo

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in October 2026?

• ↑ $4,20082%YesNo
• ↓ $4,10067%YesNo

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians

• Rays51%
• Guardians50%

What price will XRP hit in October?

• ↑ 1.4064%YesNo
• ↓ 1.2037%YesNo

Atlanta Dream vs. Golden State Valkyries

• Dream43%
• Valkyries57%

UEFA EURO 2028: Winner

• Spain23%YesNo
• France19%YesNo

Fed Decision in December?

• 25 bps increase79%YesNo
• No change19%YesNo

Taipei Mayor Election Winner

• Chiang Wan-an63%YesNo
• Puma Shen38%YesNo

California Governor Election Winner

• Xavier Becerra96%YesNo
• Steve Hilton4%YesNo

Next Prime Minister of Spain?

• Alberto Núñez Feijóo82%YesNo
• Pedro Sánchez16%YesNo

Highest temperature in Toronto on October 15?

• 12°C93%YesNo
• 13°C5%YesNo

STRC hits $100 by…

• December 3181%YesNo
• November 3079%YesNo

Highest temperature in Milan on October 15?

• 21°C>99%YesNo
• 16°C or below<1%YesNo

SpaceX (SPCX) closes week of Oct 12 at ___?

• $150-$15534%YesNo
• $145-$15026%YesNo

Ethereum above ___ on October 19?

• 2,20099%YesNo
• 2,00099%YesNo

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

• December 3113%YesNo
• November 307%YesNo

Bitcoin above ___ on October 18?

• 74,000>99%YesNo
• 76,000>99%YesNo

RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Levante UD - More Markets

• O/U 0.593%YesNo
• RC Deportivo A Coruña O/U 0.580%YesNo

Worlds 2026 Winning Region

• LCK (South Korea)69%YesNo
• LPL (China)24%YesNo

Bears vs. Falcons

• Bears52%
• Falcons49%

Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat III Playoffs

• fnatic37%
• Heroic64%

North Carolina vs. Duke

• North Carolina43%
• Duke57%

Bitcoin price on October 17?

• 82,000-84,00043%YesNo
• 80,000-82,00038%YesNo

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Tommy Paul

• D. Medvedev67%
• T. Paul34%

F1 Drivers' Champion

• Kimi Antonelli98%YesNo
• Max Verstappen1%YesNo

Sharks vs. Predators

• 2Sharks79%
• 1Predators22%

Highest temperature in Miami on October 15?

• 90-91°F>99%YesNo
• 79°F or below<1%YesNo

West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies

• India70%
• West Indies31%

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of October 12 2026?

• ↓ $9569%YesNo
• ↑ $1006%YesNo

Highest temperature in Chicago on October 15?

• 66-67°F95%YesNo
• 68-69°F4%YesNo

Highest ACS at VALORANT Champions 2026

• leaf41%YesNo
• Jamppi40%YesNo

Highest temperature in Dallas on October 15?

• 88-89°F>99%YesNo
• 79°F or below<1%YesNo