All markets
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
2%chance
- Yes1.8%
Outcomes
- Yes2%
1.8¢ per share
- No98%
98.2¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 1.8¢Spread 0.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.8¢ | 5.1 | $0.09 |
| 1.6¢ | 55.1 | $0.88 |
| 1.5¢ | 200 | $3.00 |
| 1.4¢ | 82.1 | $1.15 |
| 1.3¢ | 76 | $0.99 |
| 1.2¢ | 55.1 | $0.66 |
| 1.1¢ | 512 | $5.63 |
| 1¢ | 5.1 | $0.05 |
| 0.9¢ | 35.1 | $0.32 |
| 0.8¢ | 255.1 | $2.04 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.9¢ | 19.49 | $0.37 |
| 2¢ | 6.49 | $0.13 |
| 2.2¢ | 80 | $1.76 |
| 2.5¢ | 5 | $0.13 |
| 2.8¢ | 33 | $0.92 |
| 2.9¢ | 80 | $2.32 |
| 3¢ | 105 | $3.15 |
| 4¢ | 105 | $4.20 |
| 5.9¢ | 77.51 | $4.57 |
| 6¢ | 100 | $6.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 9 12:00 PM ET to October 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.