Midterms

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
- No Hormuz Agreement89%
- Hormuz Agreement; D Senate6%
$1.1M Vol.

Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±5.5¢Min Shares 200

Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep62%
R Senate, D House28%

$22.6M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

$163.7K Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

$132.5K Vol.

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D)65%
Ken Paxton (R)37%

$3.5M Vol.

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party91%
Republican Party10%

$16.6M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23 and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$70.1K Vol.

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party64%
Republican Party37%

$6.4M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?

$44.1K Vol.

Alaska Senate Election Winner

Mary Peltola74%
Sen. Dan Sullivan27%

$1.3M Vol.

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

$124.1K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D)71%
Mike Rogers (R)31%

$1.6M Vol.

NY-23 House Election Winner

Nick Langworthy (R)95%
Aaron Gies (D)3%

$52.9K Vol.

MO-02 House Election Winner

Ann Wagner (R)77%
Fred Wellman (D)23%

$65.3K Vol.

GA-11 House Election Winner

John Cowan (R)96%
Chris Harden (D)2%

$76.5K Vol.

Republicans win the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement?

$50.5K Vol.

Iowa Governor Election Winner

Rob Sand (D)89%
Zach Lahn (R)12%

$172.5K Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4739%
4817%

$3.2M Vol.

Alabama Governor Election Winner

Tommy Tuberville (R)94%
Doug Jones (D)6%

$39.5K Vol.

TN-04 House Election Winner

$103.2K Vol.

Arizona Governor Election Winner

Katie Hobbs (D)89%
Andy Biggs (R)12%

$132.0K Vol.

House favorite on November 2 wins the election?

92%chance

$24.2K Vol.21 days left

MT-01 House Election Winner

Aaron Flint (R)70%
Sam Forstag (D)32%

$77.0K Vol.

NC-08 House Election Winner

Mark Harris (R)97%
Colby Watson (D)3%

$45.1K Vol.

How many Senate and House seats will Republicans have after the midterms?

47–49 and 193–20724%
≤46 and ≤19222%

$65.4K Vol.

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Pete Ricketts (R)73%
Independent28%

$595.6K Vol.

Ohio Senate Election Winner

Sherrod Brown (D)62%
Jon Husted (R)40%

$1.2M Vol.

TX-35 House Election Winner

Johnny Garcia (D)59%
Carlos De La Cruz (R)41%

$52.6K Vol.

Maine Senate Election Winner

Troy Jackson (D)60%
Susan Collins (R)42%

$2.2M Vol.

MN-05 House Election Winner

Ilhan Omar (D)95%
John Nagel (R)5%

$66.1K Vol.

Closest Senate Race?

Kansas15%
Florida (Special)13%

$24.2K Vol.

TX-28 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 6-9%21%
Democrat 9-12%20%

$18.2K Vol.

NY-24 House Election Winner

$43.9K Vol.

NM-02 House Election Winner

$73.7K Vol.

GA-09 House Election Winner

Andrew Clyde (R)96%
Caitlyn Gegen (D)2%

$42.4K Vol.

TX-26 House Election Winner

Brandon Gill (R)97%
Steven Shook (D)2%

$62.4K Vol.

OH-14 House Election Winner

David Joyce (R)96%
Maria Jukic (D)4%

$79.7K Vol.

TX-25 House Election Winner

Roger Williams (R)97%
Dione Sims (D)1%

$39.8K Vol.

NY-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%21%
Republican 3-6%17%

$23.5K Vol.

FL-08 House Election Winner

$59.9K Vol.

TX-27 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%31%
Republican 15-20%31%

$12.8K Vol.

TN-05 House Election Winner

Charlie Hatcher (R)95%
Chaz Molder (D)4%

$71.7K Vol.

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Below 19024%
205-20920%

$324.9K Vol.

WI-05 House Election Winner

$93.2K Vol.

Wyoming Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 30-35%27%
Republican 25-30%22%

$35.1K Vol.

Texas Governor Election Winner

Greg Abbott (R)79%
Gina Hinojosa (D) 21%

$527.2K Vol.

TX-15 House Election Winner

Bobby Pulido (D)83%
Monica De La Cruz (R)19%

$57.8K Vol.

Florida Senate Election Margin of Victory

Moody 9-12%25%
Moody 6-9%24%

$19.0K Vol.

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

$70.7K Vol.

New Hampshire Governor Election Winner

$47.5K Vol.

Oregon Governor Election Winner

Tina Kotek (D)76%
Christine Drazan (R)25%

$88.0K Vol.

TN-08 House Election Winner

David Kustoff (R)97%
Heidi Kuhn (D)2%

$48.3K Vol.

Florida Governor Election Winner

Byron Donalds (R) 79%
David Jolly (D)21%

$295.8K Vol.

SC-01 House Election Winner

$82.2K Vol.

TX-36 House Election Winner

Brian Babin (R)95%
Rhonda Hart (D)4%

$47.8K Vol.

Iowa Senate Election Winner

Ashley Hinson (R)57%
Josh Turek (D)43%

$872.9K Vol.

Ohio Governor Election Winner

Amy Acton (D)70%
Vivek Ramaswamy (R)31%

$327.0K Vol.

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Florida99%
California98%

$431.0K Vol.

TX-21 House Election Winner

Mark Teixeira (R)96%
Kristin Hook (D)4%

$69.2K Vol.

Republican House odds hit __ by October 31?

↓ 7%50%
↑ 12%22%

$180.4K Vol.

MO-06 House Election Winner

Chris Stigall (R)95%
Josh Smead (D)6%

$57.7K Vol.

WI-07 House Election Winner

Michael Alfonso (R)95%
Fred Clark (D)4%

$61.5K Vol.

NC-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 6-9%26%
Republican 3-6%22%

$11.3K Vol.

OH-09 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 0-3%21%
Democrat 3-6%19%

$15.0K Vol.

OR-02 House Election Winner

Cliff Bentz (R)96%
Chris Beck (D)5%

$20.5K Vol.

FL-14 House Election Winner

Kathy Castor (D)68%
Mike Beltran (R)28%

$66.7K Vol.

NY-11 House Election Winner

$38.5K Vol.

HI-02 House Election Winner

Jill Tokuda (D)97%
Brenton Awa (R)3%

$81.0K Vol.

NJ-07 House Election Winner

$47.6K Vol.

NY-14 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 45-50%30%
Democrat 40-45%30%

$15.4K Vol.

WV-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 30-35%26%
Republican 35-40%20%

$13.5K Vol.

FL-19 House Election Winner

Jim Schwartzel (R)95%
Victor Arias (D)5%

$31.3K Vol.

PA-11 House Election Winner

Lloyd Smucker (R)95%
Nancy Mannion (D)4%

$55.1K Vol.

PA-16 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 15-20%31%
Republican 10-15%29%

$16.5K Vol.

Massachusetts Governor Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 20-25%25%
Democrat 25-30%23%

$15.7K Vol.

OH-11 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 60-65%34%
Democrat 65-70%22%

$12.3K Vol.

MI-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%37%
Republican 15-20%25%

$24.9K Vol.

Michigan Senate Election Margin of Victory

El-Sayed 3-6%28%
El-Sayed 0-3%20%

$9.7K Vol.

TX-17 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%30%
Republican 15-20%23%

$10.7K Vol.

RI-01 House Election Winner

Gabe Amo (D)>99%
Kellie Keenan (R)<1%

$46.1K Vol.

NY-14 House Election Winner

$60.4K Vol.

SC-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%34%
Republican 15-20%27%

$24.9K Vol.

NE-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 40-45%24%
Republican 50-55%23%

$20.2K Vol.

MN-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%24%
Democrat 0-3%22%

$19.1K Vol.

Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner

Josh Shapiro (D)98%
Stacy Garrity (R)2%

$56.8K Vol.

NV-02 House Election Winner

$40.7K Vol.

NC-11 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 3-6%22%
Democrat 0-3%20%

$15.2K Vol.

Wisconsin Governor Election Winner

David Crowley (D)81%
Tom Tiffany (R)20%

$717.4K Vol.

OH-09 House Election Winner

Marcy Kaptur (D)74%
Derek Merrin (R)26%

$43.8K Vol.

PA-01 House Election Winner

Brian Fitzpatrick (R)63%
Bob Harvie (D)39%

$36.0K Vol.

North Carolina Senate Election Winner

Roy Cooper (D)96%
Michael Whatley (R)4%

$223.0K Vol.

ME-01 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Democrat 30-35%25%
Democrat 25-30%25%

$13.9K Vol.

GA-07 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Republican 10-15%25%
Republican 15-20%24%

$12.3K Vol.

AL-02 House Election Winner

Rhett Marques (R)71%
Shomari Figures (D)30%

$80.4K Vol.

Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Peltola 0-3%26%
Sullivan 0-3%24%

$8.8K Vol.

Delaware Senate Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%28%
Democrat 20-25%22%

$10.6K Vol.

NC-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 6-9%24%
Republican 9-12%23%

$16.8K Vol.

TN-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%25%
Republican 10-15%24%

$8.0K Vol.

GA-07 House Election Winner

Rich McCormick (R)93%
Tony Kozycki (D)7%

$43.3K Vol.

CT-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 30-35%31%
Democrat 25-30%23%

$16.3K Vol.

NJ-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 6-9%26%
Republican 3-6%21%

$10.1K Vol.

Kansas Senate Election Winner

Roger Marshall (R)63%
Adam Hamilton (D)38%

$885.3K Vol.

OR-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%30%
Democrat 20-25%23%

$29.1K Vol.

VA-05 House Election Winner

John McGuire (R)77%
Tom Perriello (D)23%

$120.3K Vol.

WI-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 0-3%16%
Republican 12%+15%

$16.0K Vol.

RI-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 40-45%27%
Democrat 35-40%23%

$12.4K Vol.

OR-04 House Election Winner

Val Hoyle (D)96%
Monique DeSpain (R)5%

$34.6K Vol.

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

Michigan77%
Texas70%

$101.1K Vol.

Michigan Governor Election Winner

Jocelyn Benson (D)94%
John James (R)6%

$257.6K Vol.

Maine Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Jackson 3-6%34%
Jackson 0-3%17%

$18.6K Vol.

TX-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%33%
Republican 15-20%26%

$18.1K Vol.

Florida Senate Election Winner

Ashley Moody (R)91%
Angie Nixon (D)11%

$223.8K Vol.

WI-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%26%
Republican 5-10%24%

$13.4K Vol.

OH-08 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 5-10%30%
Republican 0-5%24%

$12.4K Vol.

Mississippi Senate Election Winner

$138.6K Vol.

NY-17 House Election Winner

Cait Conley (D)60%
Mike Lawler (R)40%

$65.7K Vol.

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

$766.3K Vol.

OR-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 20-25%25%
Democrat 15-20%23%

$9.7K Vol.

New Jersey Senate Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 21%+53%
Democrat 15-18%11%

$14.3K Vol.

CA-30 House Election Winner

Laura Friedman (D)96%
Scott Meyers (R)4%

$34.5K Vol.

MI-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 3-6%25%
Democrat 0-3%24%

$17.7K Vol.

GA-12 House Election Winner

Rick Allen (R)90%
Ceretta Smith (D)9%

$57.2K Vol.

MS-04 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Republican 30-35%29%
Republican 35-40%28%

$9.9K Vol.

OK-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 40-45%27%
Republican 45-50%22%

$14.9K Vol.

AZ-01 House Election Winner

Amish Shah (D)78%
Jay Feely (R)21%

$65.7K Vol.

NY-03 House Election Winner

Tom Suozzi (D)88%
Mike LiPetri (R)12%

$43.1K Vol.

Georgia Governor Election Winner

$187.1K Vol.

Which states will Trump visit before the midterms?

Georgia>99%
Alaska99%

$23.1K Vol.

NE-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 6-9%18%
Republican 9-12%17%

$13.8K Vol.

TX-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%35%
Republican 5-10%26%

$19.1K Vol.

MI-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 35-40%40%
Democrat 30-35%20%

$18.3K Vol.

Texas Senate Election Margin of Victory

Talarico 3-6%27%
Paxton 0-3%25%

$17.4K Vol.

NY-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 50-55%46%
Democrat 45-50%31%

$20.7K Vol.

WY-AL House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 30-35%32%
Republican 35-40%22%

$11.5K Vol.

NE-02 House Election Winner

$48.9K Vol.

FL-19 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%37%
Republican 10-15%26%

$14.8K Vol.

ND-AL House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25-30%34%
Republican 35-40%19%

$13.8K Vol.

VA-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 3-6%23%
Democrat 0-3%21%

$19.3K Vol.

FL-21 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 10-15%32%
Republican 5-10%25%

$10.5K Vol.

OR-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%36%
Republican 25-30%32%

$17.3K Vol.

Closest Governor's Race?

Georgia26%
Florida18%

$20.9K Vol.

MN-01 House Election Winner

Brad Finstad (R)76%
Jake Johnson (D)22%

$54.2K Vol.

MO-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 60-65%23%
Democrat 55-60%19%

$22.9K Vol.

FL-16 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 6-9%20%
Republican 3-6%19%

$18.0K Vol.

CO-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%21%
Republican 3-6%21%

$16.1K Vol.

NY-22 House Election Winner

John Mannion (D)95%
Kailee Buller (R)6%

$27.2K Vol.

UT-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%23%
Republican 15-20%22%

$21.0K Vol.

VA-10 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 25-30%28%
Democrat 15-20%21%

$13.5K Vol.

IN-04 House Election Winner

Jim Baird (R)95%
Drew Cox (D)5%

$40.1K Vol.

FL-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25-30%25%
Republican 20-25%22%

$18.2K Vol.

UT-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%20%
Republican 30-35%15%

$26.1K Vol.

FL-25 House Election Winner

Jared Moskowitz (D)76%
Scott Singer (R)23%

$34.3K Vol.

Florida Senate Election: Miami-Dade County Winner

Ashley Moody (R)67%
Angie Nixon (D)30%

$10.3K Vol.

SC-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 0-3%20%
Democrat 3-6%20%

$13.7K Vol.

Idaho Governor Election Margin of Victory

Republican 20-25%30%
Republican 15-20%27%

$24.2K Vol.

Senate control favorite on November 2?

98%chance

$6.9K Vol.20 days left

North Carolina Senate Election Margin of Victory

Cooper 9-12%24%
Cooper 6-9%23%

$16.4K Vol.

IL-15 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 25-30%32%
Republican 30-35%27%

$17.1K Vol.

Idaho Senate Election Winner

Jim Risch (R)95%
Todd Achilles (I)4%

$141.6K Vol.

FL-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Republican 5-10%34%
Republican 10-15%32%

$20.8K Vol.