World

Brazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro85%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva14%
$181.6M Vol.

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Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen44%
Édouard Philippe20%

$150.8M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

$1.1M Vol.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot49%
Benjamin Netanyahu31%

$46.0M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson81%
Ulf Kristersson16%

$10.1M Vol.

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

2%chance

$44.1M Vol.2 months left

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 3128%
October 318%

$9.0M Vol.

$29.2M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

6%chance

$27.2M Vol.2 months left

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Somaliland17%
Kuwait7%

$1.8M Vol.

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

7%chance

$3.6M Vol.2 months left

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

$277.0K Vol.

Bank of Japan Decision in October?

No change96%
25 bps increase4%

$213.4K Vol.annual

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in November

No change74%
25 bps increase27%

$121.3K Vol.annual

Alberta Independence Referendum: Margin of Victory

Remain 40–60%56%
Remain 60–80%27%

$30.1K Vol.

Modi out by December 31, 2026?

5%chance

$380.5K Vol.2 months left

Lula flips Bolsonaro for Brazil president by...?

<1%chance

$54.4K Vol.1 day left

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

No Next Minister by Feb 2833%
Gadi Eizenkot16%

$62.9K Vol.

Russia military action against EU country by...?

December 31, 202718%
December 31, 20268%

$257.9K Vol.

Bulgaria Presidential Election

Iliana Iotova87%
Аndrey Gyurov14%

$1.2M Vol.

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei87%
No Head of State4%

$40.2M Vol.

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Vladimir Putin80%
Mohammed bin Salman79%

$1.3M Vol.monthly

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

December 3196%
October 3194%

$886.8K Vol.

Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?

6%chance

$400.4K Vol.2 months left

Spain General Election Winner

PP85%
PSOE14%

$107.5K Vol.

Netanyahu out by...?

40%chance

$2.7M Vol.2 months left

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

The Democrats54%
Yisrael Beiteinu53%

$56.4K Vol.

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Ruas <5%16%
Ruas 20%+10%

$28.6K Vol.

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by...?

December 31, 202749%
June 30, 202735%

$2.9M Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

$40.0K Vol.

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 202796%
US2%

$3.7M Vol.

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

5%chance

$563.0K Vol.2 months left

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Tally Gotliv13%

$49.3K Vol.

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

4%chance

$1.4M Vol.2 months left

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China77%
No meeting by December 3118%

$1.8M Vol.

Klitschko out as Kyiv mayor by...?

June 30, 202728%
December 31, 202614%

$3.0K Vol.

Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?

70%chance

$3.8K Vol.13 days left

Israel Election: Together vote share?

9-11%45%
7-9%24%

$5.0K Vol.