a5533
Joined Jul 2026
- Positions value
$48,439.58
- Profit/Loss(all time)
-$7,839.28
- Volume traded
$29,539,860.89
89,859 markets traded
- Biggest win
+$50,901.17
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
| Market | Shares | Avg → Now | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No5,161.5 shares99.5¢ → 99.5¢ | 5,161.5 | 99.5¢ → 99.5¢ | $5,133.11 -$2.48 (0%) |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No5,333 shares85¢ → 82.5¢ | 5,333 | 85¢ → 82.5¢ | $4,399.75 -$133.32 (-2.9%) |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No3,918.2 shares99.8¢ → 99.9¢ | 3,918.2 | 99.8¢ → 99.9¢ | $3,912.35 +$1.96 (+0.1%) |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No4,445.8 shares82.8¢ → 80.5¢ | 4,445.8 | 82.8¢ → 80.5¢ | $3,578.87 -$100.42 (-2.7%) |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No3,469.6 shares92¢ → 90.5¢ | 3,469.6 | 92¢ → 90.5¢ | $3,140.02 -$50.95 (-1.6%) |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No1,875.2 shares95.7¢ → 94.3¢ | 1,875.2 | 95.7¢ → 94.3¢ | $1,768.32 -$26.07 (-1.5%) |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes2,112.3 shares81.7¢ → 80.5¢ | 2,112.3 | 81.7¢ → 80.5¢ | $1,700.43 -$24.44 (-1.4%) |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes2,131.8 shares63¢ → 63.5¢ | 2,131.8 | 63¢ → 63.5¢ | $1,353.66 +$10.66 (+0.8%) |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No1,818.7 shares69¢ → 69.5¢ | 1,818.7 | 69¢ → 69.5¢ | $1,264.02 +$9.10 (+0.7%) |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No1,191 shares96.9¢ → 96.9¢ | 1,191 | 96.9¢ → 96.9¢ | $1,153.50 -$0.60 (-0.1%) |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No1,041.9 shares64¢ → 64.5¢ | 1,041.9 | 64¢ → 64.5¢ | $672.05 +$5.21 (+0.8%) |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No1,048.9 shares59.5¢ → 58.2¢ | 1,048.9 | 59.5¢ → 58.2¢ | $609.94 -$14.38 (-2.3%) |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No1,578.6 shares36.8¢ → 35.5¢ | 1,578.6 | 36.8¢ → 35.5¢ | $560.40 -$21.21 (-3.6%) |
 US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? Yes423.9 shares89¢ → 96.8¢ | 423.9 | 89¢ → 96.8¢ | $410.36 +$33.07 (+8.8%) |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No416.5 shares94¢ → 93.5¢ | 416.5 | 94¢ → 93.5¢ | $389.40 -$2.08 (-0.5%) |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No1,716.5 shares19.2¢ → 18.5¢ | 1,716.5 | 19.2¢ → 18.5¢ | $317.55 -$11.94 (-3.6%) |
 Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No221.6 shares98.3¢ → 98.4¢ | 221.6 | 98.3¢ → 98.4¢ | $217.91 +$0.11 (+0.1%) |
 Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No217.9 shares97.7¢ → 97.7¢ | 217.9 | 97.7¢ → 97.7¢ | $212.81 -$0.11 (-0.1%) |
 Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes1,543.2 shares13.7¢ → 13.6¢ | 1,543.2 | 13.7¢ → 13.6¢ | $209.10 -$2.32 (-1.1%) |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No607 shares29.8¢ → 29.5¢ | 607 | 29.8¢ → 29.5¢ | $179.07 -$1.68 (-0.9%) |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes796.8 shares22¢ → 22.2¢ | 796.8 | 22¢ → 22.2¢ | $176.49 +$1.51 (+0.9%) |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? No153.1 shares97.2¢ → 97.3¢ | 153.1 | 97.2¢ → 97.3¢ | $148.87 +$0.09 (+0.1%) |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes281.5 shares45.4¢ → 47.3¢ | 281.5 | 45.4¢ → 47.3¢ | $133.14 +$5.22 (+4.1%) |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes523.7 shares25.4¢ → 23.5¢ | 523.7 | 25.4¢ → 23.5¢ | $123.06 -$9.76 (-7.3%) |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No153.2 shares78¢ → 77.5¢ | 153.2 | 78¢ → 77.5¢ | $118.71 -$0.74 (-0.6%) |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No165.2 shares70.1¢ → 70.5¢ | 165.2 | 70.1¢ → 70.5¢ | $116.45 +$0.62 (+0.5%) |
 US imports Russian diesel by October 31? No145.2 shares79.7¢ → 77.5¢ | 145.2 | 79.7¢ → 77.5¢ | $112.53 -$3.14 (-2.7%) |
 Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? No165.5 shares62¢ → 62.5¢ | 165.5 | 62¢ → 62.5¢ | $103.47 +$0.83 (+0.8%) |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on October 13? No100.1 shares99.3¢ → 99.7¢ | 100.1 | 99.3¢ → 99.7¢ | $99.84 +$0.38 (+0.4%) |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on October 15? Yes100 shares99.2¢ → 99.7¢ | 100 | 99.2¢ → 99.7¢ | $99.65 +$0.45 (+0.5%) |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 13? No100.2 shares99.3¢ → 99.4¢ | 100.2 | 99.3¢ → 99.4¢ | $99.60 +$0.05 (+0.1%) |
Will Bitcoin reach $89,000 on October 13? No100 shares99.2¢ → 99.5¢ | 100 | 99.2¢ → 99.5¢ | $99.50 +$0.30 (+0.3%) |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 13? No100.2 shares97.8¢ → 99¢ | 100.2 | 97.8¢ → 99¢ | $99.12 +$1.16 (+1.2%) |
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in October? No100.2 shares99.1¢ → 98.9¢ | 100.2 | 99.1¢ → 98.9¢ | $99.05 -$0.25 (-0.3%) |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 14? Yes100 shares98.3¢ → 98.9¢ | 100 | 98.3¢ → 98.9¢ | $98.89 +$0.55 (+0.6%) |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 15? No100 shares98.6¢ → 98.7¢ | 100 | 98.6¢ → 98.7¢ | $98.65 +$0.05 (+0.1%) |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on October 14? Yes100.2 shares98.6¢ → 98.2¢ | 100.2 | 98.6¢ → 98.2¢ | $98.35 -$0.45 (-0.5%) |
 Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? Yes100.1 shares98¢ → 98.2¢ | 100.1 | 98¢ → 98.2¢ | $98.24 +$0.15 (+0.2%) |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 14? No100 shares95.4¢ → 97.8¢ | 100 | 95.4¢ → 97.8¢ | $97.75 +$2.34 (+2.5%) |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on October 14? No100.2 shares95.1¢ → 97.1¢ | 100.2 | 95.1¢ → 97.1¢ | $97.29 +$2.00 (+2.1%) |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on October 13? No100.2 shares99.2¢ → 97.1¢ | 100.2 | 99.2¢ → 97.1¢ | $97.24 -$2.15 (-2.2%) |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 14? No97.7 shares98.4¢ → 98.1¢ | 97.7 | 98.4¢ → 98.1¢ | $95.79 -$0.37 (-0.4%) |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 15? No100 shares91¢ → 95.5¢ | 100 | 91¢ → 95.5¢ | $95.50 +$4.50 (+4.9%) |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 15? No100.2 shares97.5¢ → 95.1¢ | 100.2 | 97.5¢ → 95.1¢ | $95.24 -$2.46 (-2.5%) |
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on October 13? No100 shares98.9¢ → 95¢ | 100 | 98.9¢ → 95¢ | $95.04 -$3.90 (-3.9%) |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? No100.2 shares90¢ → 93.5¢ | 100.2 | 90¢ → 93.5¢ | $93.68 +$3.51 (+3.9%) |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 13? No100.1 shares91.3¢ → 92.5¢ | 100.1 | 91.3¢ → 92.5¢ | $92.55 +$1.20 (+1.3%) |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes450.1 shares21¢ → 20.5¢ | 450.1 | 21¢ → 20.5¢ | $92.27 -$2.42 (-2.6%) |
 Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? No100.3 shares90.6¢ → 89.9¢ | 100.3 | 90.6¢ → 89.9¢ | $90.15 -$0.75 (-0.8%) |
 Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? No89.8 shares95.3¢ → 95.3¢ | 89.8 | 95.3¢ → 95.3¢ | $85.61 -$0.01 (0%) |
| Type | Market | Amount |
|---|---|---|
| Buy | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Up · 39 shares at 75¢ | $29.25 |
| Buy | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Down · 40 shares at 23¢ | $9.20 |
Public on-chain data from Polymarket. Showing up to 50 positions and recent activity; refreshes every minute.
