All markets
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?
View all outcomes in this event22%chance
- Yes21.5%
Outcomes
- Yes22%
22.0¢ per share
- No78%
78.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 21.5¢Spread 3¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 20¢ | 277.1 | $55.42 |
| 19¢ | 15 | $2.85 |
| 18¢ | 16.81 | $3.03 |
| 17¢ | 68 | $11.56 |
| 16¢ | 10.05 | $1.61 |
| 15¢ | 39.98 | $6.00 |
| 14¢ | 59 | $8.26 |
| 13¢ | 72.47 | $9.42 |
| 12¢ | 126.13 | $15.14 |
| 11¢ | 30 | $3.30 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 23¢ | 111.85 | $25.73 |
| 24¢ | 508.99 | $122.16 |
| 25¢ | 645.9 | $161.48 |
| 26¢ | 1,402.83 | $364.74 |
| 27¢ | 1,798.35 | $485.55 |
| 28¢ | 6 | $1.68 |
| 33¢ | 60 | $19.80 |
| 34¢ | 426.47 | $145.00 |
| 36¢ | 30 | $10.80 |
| 37¢ | 15.93 | $5.89 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 12 12:00 PM ET to October 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.