
56%chance
55.7¢ per share
44.3¢ per share
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 35.4¢ | 144.69 | $51.22 |
| 35.3¢ | 8.19 | $2.89 |
| 35.2¢ | 95.17 | $33.50 |
| 35.1¢ | 5.76 | $2.02 |
| 35¢ | 200 | $70.00 |
| 33.4¢ | 30 | $10.02 |
| 33.3¢ | 55 | $18.32 |
| 33¢ | 5 | $1.65 |
| 32¢ | 15 | $4.80 |
| 31.9¢ | 60 | $19.14 |
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 37¢ | 12.35 | $4.57 |
| 38.1¢ | 25.5 | $9.72 |
| 38.3¢ | 5 | $1.92 |
| 38.8¢ | 5 | $1.94 |
| 38.9¢ | 154.57 | $60.13 |
| 39¢ | 420.58 | $164.03 |
| 40¢ | 5.46 | $2.18 |
| 42¢ | 40 | $16.80 |
| 42.1¢ | 25 | $10.53 |
| 42.2¢ | 35 | $14.77 |
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 6 12:00 PM ET to October 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.