123987456

Joined Dec 2025

Positions value

$16,576.98

Profit/Loss(all time)

+$52,308.63

Volume traded

$3,751,258.46

9,062 markets traded

Biggest win

+$6,174.16

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Market	Shares	Avg → Now	Value
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No6,287.5 shares42.8¢ → 48.1¢	6,287.5	42.8¢ → 48.1¢	$3,021.13 +$328.67 (+12.2%)
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No1,536.9 shares95.5¢ → 96.4¢	1,536.9	95.5¢ → 96.4¢	$1,481.57 +$13.83 (+0.9%)
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No1,907.8 shares70.9¢ → 66.9¢	1,907.8	70.9¢ → 66.9¢	$1,275.35 -$78.18 (-5.8%)
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? No1,236.4 shares84.5¢ → 81.6¢	1,236.4	84.5¢ → 81.6¢	$1,008.30 -$36.22 (-3.5%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No1,072.2 shares73.5¢ → 77.5¢	1,072.2	73.5¢ → 77.5¢	$830.93 +$42.54 (+5.4%)
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No780.8 shares86¢ → 94¢	780.8	86¢ → 94¢	$733.98 +$62.27 (+9.3%)
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes934.6 shares3.1¢ → 69.2¢	934.6	3.1¢ → 69.2¢	$646.27 +$617.07 (+2,112.8%)
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No674 shares85.7¢ → 88.5¢	674	85.7¢ → 88.5¢	$596.52 +$18.63 (+3.2%)
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 24m and 27m? No486.5 shares62.2¢ → 98.5¢	486.5	62.2¢ → 98.5¢	$478.99 +$176.61 (+58.4%)
Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? No791.2 shares59¢ → 60¢	791.2	59¢ → 60¢	$474.69 +$7.91 (+1.7%)
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No484 shares82.5¢ → 84.5¢	484	82.5¢ → 84.5¢	$408.96 +$9.89 (+2.5%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez not run for Senate or President in 2028? No377 shares86.7¢ → 96.6¢	377	86.7¢ → 96.6¢	$363.99 +$37.08 (+11.3%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes367.7 shares4¢ → 96¢	367.7	4¢ → 96¢	$352.79 +$338.09 (+2,298.7%)
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? No709.3 shares43¢ → 37.5¢	709.3	43¢ → 37.5¢	$265.99 -$39.01 (-12.8%)
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? Yes253.4 shares9.1¢ → 90.4¢	253.4	9.1¢ → 90.4¢	$229.08 +$206.04 (+894.4%)
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No1,137 shares18.9¢ → 19.5¢	1,137	18.9¢ → 19.5¢	$221.72 +$6.61 (+3.1%)
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? Yes213.6 shares20¢ → 89.5¢	213.6	20¢ → 89.5¢	$191.16 +$148.45 (+347.5%)
Will "Other Mommy" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 27m and 30m? Yes180.7 shares16.7¢ → 97.9¢	180.7	16.7¢ → 97.9¢	$176.91 +$146.79 (+487.4%)
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No296.1 shares43¢ → 49.5¢	296.1	43¢ → 49.5¢	$146.57 +$19.25 (+15.1%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No207.6 shares67.3¢ → 68.5¢	207.6	67.3¢ → 68.5¢	$142.24 +$2.45 (+1.8%)
Will the Republicans win the Oregon governor race in 2026? No179.5 shares79¢ → 77.5¢	179.5	79¢ → 77.5¢	$139.07 -$2.69 (-1.9%)
Will Dolly Parton be the #1 searched passing on Google this year? No302.8 shares58¢ → 45.5¢	302.8	58¢ → 45.5¢	$137.79 -$37.85 (-21.6%)
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? No152.9 shares56.8¢ → 89.3¢	152.9	56.8¢ → 89.3¢	$136.50 +$49.63 (+57.1%)
Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%? No260.1 shares34¢ → 49.5¢	260.1	34¢ → 49.5¢	$128.72 +$40.31 (+45.6%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No153.3 shares30¢ → 83.5¢	153.3	30¢ → 83.5¢	$127.97 +$81.99 (+178.3%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for Senate in 2028? Yes333.8 shares33.3¢ → 38¢	333.8	33.3¢ → 38¢	$126.84 +$15.58 (+14%)
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No125 shares94¢ → 95.8¢	125	94¢ → 95.8¢	$119.75 +$2.25 (+1.9%)
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No161.7 shares72¢ → 71.5¢	161.7	72¢ → 71.5¢	$115.64 -$0.81 (-0.7%)
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes550.5 shares0.8¢ → 19.7¢	550.5	0.8¢ → 19.7¢	$108.17 +$103.87 (+2,416%)
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes199.6 shares2.9¢ → 52.5¢	199.6	2.9¢ → 52.5¢	$104.80 +$99.10 (+1,737.6%)
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No250.3 shares35.7¢ → 38.5¢	250.3	35.7¢ → 38.5¢	$96.37 +$7.10 (+8%)
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No108.8 shares87¢ → 87.5¢	108.8	87¢ → 87.5¢	$95.17 +$0.54 (+0.6%)
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No299.7 shares26¢ → 30.5¢	299.7	26¢ → 30.5¢	$91.42 +$13.49 (+17.3%)
Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas? No163 shares37¢ → 53.5¢	163	37¢ → 53.5¢	$87.21 +$26.90 (+44.6%)
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 11? Yes86.5 shares9.1¢ → 99.9¢	86.5	9.1¢ → 99.9¢	$86.39 +$78.53 (+998.9%)
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be less than 150m by October 31? No86.8 shares61.5¢ → 96.4¢	86.8	61.5¢ → 96.4¢	$83.72 +$30.34 (+56.8%)
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No140.7 shares52.2¢ → 53.5¢	140.7	52.2¢ → 53.5¢	$75.30 +$1.76 (+2.4%)
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No384.5 shares19¢ → 19.5¢	384.5	19¢ → 19.5¢	$74.98 +$1.92 (+2.6%)
Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026? Yes99.1 shares10¢ → 66.5¢	99.1	10¢ → 66.5¢	$65.85 +$55.94 (+564.5%)
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes2,182.6 shares20¢ → 2.9¢	2,182.6	20¢ → 2.9¢	$64.39 -$372.13 (-85.2%)
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No70.8 shares93¢ → 90.5¢	70.8	93¢ → 90.5¢	$64.06 -$1.77 (-2.7%)
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes550.5 shares0.8¢ → 10.4¢	550.5	0.8¢ → 10.4¢	$56.98 +$52.68 (+1,225.2%)
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Arkansas be 1,050,000 or more? No57.3 shares88.5¢ → 89.1¢	57.3	88.5¢ → 89.1¢	$51.01 +$0.34 (+0.7%)
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? No128 shares41¢ → 38.5¢	128	41¢ → 38.5¢	$49.28 -$3.20 (-6.1%)
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No77.7 shares63.8¢ → 57.5¢	77.7	63.8¢ → 57.5¢	$44.66 -$4.92 (-9.9%)
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? No49.5 shares80.9¢ → 89.5¢	49.5	80.9¢ → 89.5¢	$44.28 +$4.26 (+10.6%)
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House Yes5,157.8 shares20¢ → 0.9¢	5,157.8	20¢ → 0.9¢	$43.84 -$987.72 (-95.7%)
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No44.4 shares71.9¢ → 87.5¢	44.4	71.9¢ → 87.5¢	$38.84 +$6.93 (+21.7%)
Will the Republican Party win the AR-02 House seat? No200.2 shares19¢ → 18.5¢	200.2	19¢ → 18.5¢	$37.04 -$1.00 (-2.6%)
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes204.9 shares0.8¢ → 17.8¢	204.9	0.8¢ → 17.8¢	$36.37 +$34.77 (+2,172.1%)