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Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?
View all outcomes in this event81%chance
- Yes81%
Outcomes
- Yes81%
81.0¢ per share
- No19%
19.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 81¢Spread 2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 80¢ | 378.64 | $302.91 |
| 79¢ | 5 | $3.95 |
| 78¢ | 242.44 | $189.10 |
| 76¢ | 57.95 | $44.04 |
| 75¢ | 15.16 | $11.37 |
| 74¢ | 150 | $111.00 |
| 73¢ | 110 | $80.30 |
| 72¢ | 17.54 | $12.63 |
| 71¢ | 161.22 | $114.47 |
| 70¢ | 68.06 | $47.64 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 82¢ | 102.47 | $84.03 |
| 83¢ | 640.83 | $531.89 |
| 84¢ | 345 | $289.80 |
| 85¢ | 465 | $395.25 |
| 86¢ | 591.66 | $508.83 |
| 87¢ | 685 | $595.95 |
| 88¢ | 1,102.26 | $969.99 |
| 89¢ | 1,675.19 | $1,490.92 |
| 90¢ | 1,599.72 | $1,439.75 |
| 91¢ | 955 | $869.05 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 10 12:00 PM ET to October 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.