All markets
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?
View all outcomes in this event<1%chance
- Yes0.5%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.5¢ per share
- No>99%
99.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 0.5¢Spread 0.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5¢ | 1,577.3 | $7.89 |
| 0.4¢ | 400 | $1.60 |
| 0.3¢ | 423.02 | $1.27 |
| 0.2¢ | 1,878 | $3.76 |
| 0.1¢ | 3,507.34 | $3.51 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6¢ | 200 | $1.20 |
| 0.7¢ | 100 | $0.70 |
| 0.8¢ | 20 | $0.16 |
| 0.9¢ | 317.42 | $2.86 |
| 1¢ | 498.15 | $4.98 |
| 1.1¢ | 5.6 | $0.06 |
| 1.2¢ | 108 | $1.30 |
| 1.4¢ | 151 | $2.11 |
| 1.5¢ | 1,995.79 | $29.94 |
| 2.9¢ | 5 | $0.15 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 10 12:00 PM ET to October 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.