Middle East

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
- October 12>99%
- October 1596%
$11.3M Vol.monthly

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

October 12>99%
October 1595%

$1.1M Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

18%chance

$73.8M Vol.2 months left

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot46%
Benjamin Netanyahu31%

$45.8M Vol.

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?

December 3148%
November 3041%

$300.0K Vol.

Saudi airspace closed by...?

December 3118%
October 318%

$216.9K Vol.

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

December 3114%
November 307%

$19.9M Vol.

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

December 3121%
October 315%

$7.3M Vol.

Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

December 3125%
October 317%

$148.5K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

$53.9K Vol.

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei88%
No Head of State5%

$40.2M Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

$43.5K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

6%chance

$27.1M Vol.2 months left

Pakistan military action against Yemen by...?

December 3127%
October 318%

$82.5K Vol.

Iran Nuke before 2027?

3%chance

$1.4M Vol.2 months left

Will Iran target Iraq by...?

October 3176%
October 1564%

$9.7K Vol.

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Venezuela16%
Kuwait8%

$897.9K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

No Next Minister by Feb 2838%
Tally Gotliv14%

$44.8K Vol.

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

77%chance

$159.3K Vol.22 days left

USD x Iranian rials End of December?

2.5 - 3.0M26%
3.0 - 3.5M23%

$109.8K Vol.monthly

USD x Iranian rials End of October?

2.8M+55%
2.6-2.7M19%

$41.0K Vol.monthly

Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

October 3182%
October 1566%

$13.7K Vol.

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

October 1490%
October 1388%

$138.0K Vol.

Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

October 3115%
October 153%

$36.1K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Yoram Cohen14%

$41.9K Vol.

Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by...?

December 31, 202621%
October 31, 20267%

$109.9K Vol.

$63.8K Vol.

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

9%chance

$196.9K Vol.2 months left

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?

October 480%
October 676%

$842.8K Vol.monthly

Israel Election: UTJ # of seats?

7-870%
9-1016%

$10.4K Vol.

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

December 3124%
October 318%

$250.6K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Ofer Winter14%

$29.9K Vol.

Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

December 3119%
October 315%

$4.9K Vol.

USS George H.W. Bush in CENTCOM on...?

November 3078%
October 3176%

$9.0K Vol.

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?

4%chance

$6.9K Vol.18 days left

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?

<459%
4-639%

$9.0K Vol.

USS Theodore Roosevelt arrives in CENTCOM by...?

November 3098%
November 1581%

$7.5K Vol.

Iran releases Trump Hormuz voicemail by...?

October 313%
October 152%

$13.8K Vol.

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

3%chance

$2.6M Vol.2 months left

Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?

Kuwait30%
Yemen10%

$78.9K Vol.

Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?

November 3043%
October 3128%

$17.2K Vol.

Israel Election: Yashar vote share?

18-20%41%
<16%26%

$5.0K Vol.

UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

6%chance

$355.2K Vol.2 months left

Will Iran damage undersea internet cables by...?

December 3113%
October 314%

$595.0 Vol.

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Somaliland16%
Kuwait7%

$1.7M Vol.

Israel military action against Syria by...?

November 3040%
October 3119%

$84.4K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Interior?

$13.3K Vol.

USS George Washington departs CENTCOM by...?

December 3169%
November 3067%

$39.0K Vol.

Israel Election: Dems # of seats?

8-933%
10-1126%

$6.3K Vol.

Will Iran target Kuwait by...?

October 3119%
October 1513%

$24.1K Vol.

Turkish troops enter Yemen by...?

December 319%
October 314%

$5.0K Vol.

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

October 3138%
October 1520%

$131.2K Vol.

Israel Election: Together # of seats?

14-1636%
<826%

$6.6K Vol.

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?

October 10>99%
October 11>99%

$62.9K Vol.monthly

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

28%chance

$33.5K Vol.2 months left

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?

September 2272%
September 2972%

$212.7K Vol.monthly

Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?

22-2328%
24-2518%

$16.7K Vol.

Will Iran target Jordan by...?

20%chance

$6.0K Vol.18 days left

Houthi military action against Mecca by...?

December 316%
October 314%

$6.8K Vol.

How many US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30?

258%
320%

$5.2K Vol.

Iran coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202731%
December 31, 202611%

$2.1M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

23%chance

$15.3K Vol.1 year left

Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?

527%
625%

$8.7K Vol.

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

471%
510%

$7.6M Vol.

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

5%chance

$535.1K Vol.2 months left

Houthis target Syria by...?

December 3111%
October 314%

$3.7K Vol.

Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

2%chance

$7.2K Vol.18 days left

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 317%
October 31<1%

$18.0M Vol.

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

10%chance

$604.5K Vol.2 months left

Israel military action against Iraq by...?

30%chance

$1.8K Vol.18 days left

Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by...?

November 306%
October 312%

$27.0K Vol.

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

4%chance

$248.9K Vol.2 months left

Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?

November 3033%
October 315%

$97.1K Vol.

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

12%chance

$54.2K Vol.2 months left

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

3%chance

$641.4K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Shas # of seats?

8-936%
6-730%

$6.9K Vol.

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

March 3123%
December 315%

$1.4M Vol.

Middle East

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Iran Nuke before 2027?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

Netanyahu out by...?

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

Will Iran target Jordan by...?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

Israel military action against Iraq by...?

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?