Middle East

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?
- October 12>99%
- October 1595%
$1.0M Vol.

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US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 12>99%
October 1595%

$11.0M Vol.monthly

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

19%chance

$73.8M Vol.2 months left

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot45%
Benjamin Netanyahu31%

$45.7M Vol.

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?

December 3152%
November 3047%

$281.2K Vol.

Saudi airspace closed by...?

December 3120%
October 319%

$186.3K Vol.

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

December 3123%
October 315%

$7.3M Vol.

Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

December 3125%
October 317%

$148.3K Vol.

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

December 3114%
November 307%

$19.9M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

6%chance

$27.1M Vol.2 months left

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei88%
No Head of State4%

$40.2M Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

$49.3K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

$41.7K Vol.

$81.8K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

No Next Minister by Feb 2838%
Tally Gotliv13%

$44.3K Vol.

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Venezuela16%
Kuwait8%

$897.3K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Yoram Cohen14%

$41.8K Vol.

Netanyahu out by...?

41%chance

$2.7M Vol.2 months left

Will Iran target Iraq by...?

October 3155%
October 1547%

$8.5K Vol.

USD x Iranian rials End of October?

2.8M+51%
2.6-2.7M18%

$40.5K Vol.monthly

USD x Iranian rials End of December?

2.5 - 3.0M26%
2.0 - 2.5M21%

$108.9K Vol.monthly

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

October 12>99%
October 1494%

$136.5K Vol.

Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

October 3151%
October 1538%

$12.3K Vol.

Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

October 3115%
October 158%

$35.8K Vol.

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

14%chance

$181.9K Vol.2 months left

Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by...?

December 31, 202621%
October 31, 20267%

$109.3K Vol.

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

10%chance

$604.5K Vol.2 months left

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

9%chance

$196.9K Vol.2 months left

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?

October 480%
October 1177%

$842.7K Vol.monthly

Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

2%chance

$7.2K Vol.19 days left

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

3%chance

$2.6M Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: RZP-Zehut # of seats?

4-532%
6-730%

$11.2K Vol.

Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

December 3119%
October 315%

$4.9K Vol.

USS George H.W. Bush in CENTCOM on...?

November 3078%
October 3174%

$8.9K Vol.

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

December 3124%
October 319%

$250.5K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Ofer Winter14%

$29.9K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

24%chance

$15.2K Vol.1 year left

Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...?

December 3126%
October 3115%

$62.4K Vol.

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?

4%chance

$6.9K Vol.19 days left

USS Theodore Roosevelt arrives in CENTCOM by...?

November 3098%
November 1581%

$7.5K Vol.

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Somaliland16%
Kuwait7%

$1.7M Vol.

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?

<459%
4-638%

$9.0K Vol.

Iran releases Trump Hormuz voicemail by...?

October 314%
October 152%

$13.8K Vol.

Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?

Kuwait16%
Yemen10%

$78.9K Vol.

UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

6%chance

$355.2K Vol.2 months left

Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?

November 3056%
October 3122%

$17.1K Vol.

Israel military action against Syria by...?

November 3037%
October 3120%

$84.3K Vol.

Turkish troops enter Yemen by...?

December 319%
October 314%

$5.0K Vol.

Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?

24-2527%
22-2325%

$16.7K Vol.

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

4%chance

$248.9K Vol.2 months left

Will Iran target Kuwait by...?

October 3114%
October 1512%

$24.1K Vol.

Israel military action against Iraq by...?

51%chance

$1.7K Vol.19 days left

Israel Election: Dems # of seats?

8-946%
12-1322%

$6.3K Vol.

Israel Election: Together # of seats?

14-1632%
<828%

$6.6K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Interior?

No Next Minister by Feb 2838%
Yoav Ben-Tzur21%

$13.2K Vol.

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

October 3138%
October 1517%

$131.2K Vol.

USS George Washington departs CENTCOM by...?

December 3170%
November 3066%

$38.8K Vol.

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?

October 10>99%
October 11>99%

$62.7K Vol.monthly