Israel

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
- October 1599%
- October 1698%
$13.0M Vol.monthly

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot47%
Benjamin Netanyahu28%

$46.5M Vol.

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 15>99%
October 1895%

$34.8M Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Yashar60%
Likud40%

$699.3K Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

17%chance

$74.1M Vol.2 months left

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Somaliland13%
Kuwait7%

$1.8M Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 3rd Place

Together84%
The Democrats8%

$49.6K Vol.

$519.1K Vol.

Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?

6%chance

$843.5K Vol.16 days left

Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)

December 3127%
October 319%

$363.8K Vol.

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

$130.9K Vol.

Will Iran damage undersea internet cables by...?

December 3123%
October 317%

$30.1K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

No Next Minister by Feb 2833%
Gadi Eizenkot17%

$63.5K Vol.

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

12%chance

$1.7M Vol.2 months left

Which parties will be in the next Israeli government?

Yashar55%
The Democrats54%

$58.7K Vol.

Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?

70%chance

$3.9K Vol.12 days left

Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

No Endorsement67%
Likud34%

$65.4K Vol.

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

December 3119%
October 313%

$7.4M Vol.

Israel Election: Reservists–New Economic Party vote share?

<2.75%53%
2.75-3.25%24%

$5.8K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

$41.0K Vol.

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

October 1596%
October 2890%

$142.4K Vol.

Israel Election: Together vote share?

9-11%34%
7-9%27%

$5.2K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Matan Kahana17%

$44.7K Vol.

Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

39%chance

$61.5K Vol.2 months left

Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place

Likud55%
Yashar39%

$21.4K Vol.

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael vote share?

<2.5%44%
2.5-3.25%29%

$5.4K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: 4th Place

The Democrats36%
Yisrael Beiteinu24%

$8.7K Vol.

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Venezuela18%
Kuwait7%

$906.5K Vol.

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

466%
515%

$7.6M Vol.

Will Israel election happen as scheduled?

92%chance

$54.0K Vol.12 days left

Israel Election: UTJ # of seats?

7-868%
9-1014%

$11.7K Vol.

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

December 3119%
October 3113%

$251.7K Vol.

Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?

10%chance

$6.9K Vol.16 days left

Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?

27%chance

$7.6K Vol.12 days left

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

13%chance

$183.1K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Together # of seats?

14-1634%
8-1023%

$7.8K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

17%chance

$16.7K Vol.8 months left

Israel Election: United Torah Judaism vote share?

6-7%42%
5-6%39%

$7.7K Vol.

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

13%chance

$326.7K Vol.2 months left

Israel military action against Syria by...?

November 3028%
October 3122%

$85.4K Vol.

Israel Election: Joint List # of seats?

6-743%
8-937%

$4.8K Vol.

Israel Election: Blue and White vote share?

<0.75%52%
0.75-1.25%43%

$6.0K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election: Turnout

68-70%44%
70-72%28%

$899.7 Vol.

Israel military action against Iraq by...?

24%chance

$3.1K Vol.16 days left

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Tally Gotliv13%

$49.8K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Yaron Zelekha17%

$45.6K Vol.

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

December 3126%
October 3111%

$329.9K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

23%chance

$15.9K Vol.1 year left

Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?

542%
624%

$9.7K Vol.

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

March 3122%
December 315%

$1.4M Vol.

Israel Election: Religious Zionist Party–Zehut vote share?

5-6%44%
4-5%21%

$4.9K Vol.

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?

<465%
4-633%

$11.3K Vol.

Israel Election: Otzma # of seats?

10+33%
6-729%

$8.1K Vol.

Bank of Israel Decision in October?

No Change93%
Decrease7%

$61.1K Vol.annual

Next Israeli Minister of Interior?

No Next Minister by Feb 2839%
Yoav Ben-Tzur24%

$14.5K Vol.

Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

34%chance

$17.2K Vol.12 days left

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by...?

October 3168%
October 152%

$11.1K Vol.

Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by March 31, 2027?

32%chance

$1.3K Vol.5 months left

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

12%chance

$54.5K Vol.2 months left

Israel x Lebanon Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

October 316%
October 154%

$22.2K Vol.

Israel Election: RZP-Zehut # of seats?

6-733%
4-528%

$11.4K Vol.

Iran coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202721%
December 31, 202611%

$2.1M Vol.

Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu vote share?

6-7%34%
5-6%28%

$4.4K Vol.

Israel election: will Likud lose seats?

94%chance

$28.3K Vol.12 days left

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

5%chance

$448.4K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: The Joint List vote share?

6.5-7.5%35%
5.5-6.5%33%

$2.9K Vol.

Israel Election: Shas # of seats?

8-937%
6-732%

$7.1K Vol.

Israel Election: Shas vote share?

7-8%34%
<6%33%

$3.5K Vol.

Israel Election: United Arab List (Ra'am) vote share?

4-4.75%53%
3.25-4%21%

$5.1K Vol.

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

9%chance

$473.3K Vol.2 months left

How many Israeli elections before government formed?

165%
230%

$63.7K Vol.

Israel Election: Dems # of seats?

8-931%
10-1127%

$6.4K Vol.

Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu # of seats?

8-948%
6-720%

$5.7K Vol.

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

19%chance

$56.1K Vol.2 months left

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

7%chance

$20.7K Vol.16 days left

Israel Election: Otzma Yehudit vote share?

7.5%+39%
5.5-6.5%26%

$3.8K Vol.

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

7%chance

$2.1M Vol.2 months left

FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?

2%chance

$11.1K Vol.16 days left

Which parties will win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?

Ra'am96%
RZP-Zehut87%

$14.6K Vol.

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

5%chance

$535.2K Vol.2 months left

Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?

2%chance

$7.8K Vol.2 months left

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Italy10%
Finland9%

$762.4K Vol.

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

5%chance

$688.9K Vol.2 months left

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

6%chance

$10.9K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: The Democrats vote share?

7-8%31%
<6%18%

$2.1K Vol.

Israel Election: Likud or Yashar in Government?

38%chance

$379.7 Vol.4 months left

Netanyahu drops out before election?

2%chance

$2.2K Vol.11 days left

Trump meets with Netanyahu by...?

December 3154%
October 3117%

$6.4K Vol.

Netanyahu convicted in corruption trial?

32%chance

$349.7 Vol.1 year left

Israel Election: Unity vote share?

<0.5%97%
0.5-0.75%2%

$5.4K Vol.

Israel Election: Yashar vote share?

18-20%41%
<16%24%

$5.0K Vol.

Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?

11%chance

$16.6K Vol.16 days left

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?

4%chance

$6.9K Vol.16 days left

Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?

48%chance

$2.7K Vol.2 months left

Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?

48%chance

$5.0K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?

2%chance

$3.6K Vol.2 months left

Netanyahu arrested by…?

5%chance

$8.2K Vol.2 months left

US announces military base in Israel in 2026?

4%chance

$1.6K Vol.2 months left

Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

14%chance

$99.7K Vol.1 year left

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

9%chance

$223.4 Vol.2 months left

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?

5%chance

$26.6K Vol.2 months left

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

15%chance

$1.4K Vol.2 months left

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

10%chance

$2.7K Vol.2 months left

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

23%chance

$33.5K Vol.2 months left

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

8%chance

$53.4K Vol.2 months left

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?

11%chance

$13.9K Vol.2 months left

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

2%chance

$195.4K Vol.2 months left

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

65%chance

$2.1K Vol.2 months left

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

7%chance

$15.2K Vol.2 months left

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

4%chance

$215.2K Vol.2 months left

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?

5%chance

$71.0K Vol.2 months left

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

4%chance

$92.3K Vol.2 months left

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

4%chance

$186.4K Vol.2 months left

Israel

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Netanyahu out by...?

Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats?

Will Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?

Will Israel election happen as scheduled?

Israeli airspace closed between Oct. 15 and Oct. 31?

Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

Israel military action against Iraq by...?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

Israeli election results in a hung parliament?

Will Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics by March 31, 2027?

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

Israel election: will Likud lose seats?

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

FlyDubai co-pilot transferred to Israel by Oct. 31?

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

Israel Election: Likud or Yashar in Government?

Netanyahu drops out before election?

Netanyahu convicted in corruption trial?

Israel x Syria diplomatic meeting by...?

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?

Vote of confidence passes in Knesset by December 31?

Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?

Will Trump visit Gaza in 2026?

Netanyahu arrested by…?

US announces military base in Israel in 2026?

Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?