AI

156 events

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
- December 31, 202827%
- December 31, 202717%
$3.9M Vol.

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Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202821%
December 31, 202711%

$660.7K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Google70%
Anthropic28%

$2.4M Vol.monthly

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

December 3197%
October 3186%

$400.5K Vol.

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$2.0–$2.25T27%
$1.75–$2.0T26%

$1.6M Vol.

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Anthropic43%
Google42%

$2.5M Vol.monthly

Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

45%+>99%
55%+96%

$138.9K Vol.

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

December 3191%
October 3132%

$262.6K Vol.

Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202826%
June 30, 202713%

$717.5K Vol.

Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202825%
December 31, 202721%

$767.6K Vol.

Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202825%
December 31, 202716%

$711.4K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

Google54%
Anthropic38%

$290.4K Vol.monthly

North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202826%
December 31, 202722%

$221.7K Vol.

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$1.5T93%
↑$1.75T82%

$5.4M Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

October 1319%
October 1518%

$65.3K Vol.

Gemini Argon: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

45%+93%
50%+87%

$76.3K Vol.

#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

Anthropic52%
Meta34%

$68.3K Vol.monthly

Meta's Watermelon Model: Text Arena Debut?

1480+98%
1500+98%

$17.8K Vol.

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

13%chance

$74.0K Vol.2 months left

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

November 202659%
December 202619%

$376.4K Vol.

Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202827%
December 31, 202721%

$575.2K Vol.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

December 3135%
November 3033%

$1.6M Vol.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

1480+39%
1500+33%

$278.1K Vol.

Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1400+90%
1420+86%

$55.1K Vol.

Next GPT Sol Model (6.1+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

40%+98%
50%+95%

$48.8K Vol.

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

No release by October 3193%
October 203%

$111.2K Vol.

#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)

Anthropic30%
Meta24%

$21.6K Vol.monthly

Second-best AI Lab end of October?

Anthropic62%
Google21%

$60.2K Vol.monthly

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

No release by October 3190%
October 185%

$51.1K Vol.

#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

Meta31%
Anthropic20%

$31.3K Vol.monthly

#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

DeepSeek94%
Google3%

$7.3K Vol.weekly

#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

Anthropic45%
Meta28%

$34.5K Vol.monthly

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

OpenAI61%
Google17%

$61.0K Vol.monthly

Best AI model on October 26?

gemini-4-argon-high75%
Other23%

$4.5K Vol.weekly

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

080%
112%

$337.1K Vol.

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

OpenAI41%
Google39%

$12.1K Vol.weekly

Meta's Watermelon Model: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

40%+95%
50%+5%

$11.2K Vol.

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

OpenAI52%
Anthropic17%

$18.3K Vol.monthly

Will Muse Wonder debut as #1? (Text Arena)

<1%chance

$4.8K Vol.8 months left

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?

1500+89%
1510+75%

$8.8K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?

Anthropic97%
OpenAI2%

$42.1K Vol.monthly

Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?

Anthropic34%
Microsoft28%

$32.7K Vol.

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Xiaomi55%
Alibaba26%

$205.5K Vol.monthly

Third-best AI Lab end of December?

Meta55%
Anthropic20%

$20.3K Vol.monthly

Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Xiaomi21%
DeepSeek19%

$126.2K Vol.

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

OpenAI25%
Google25%

$15.8K Vol.monthly

Third-best AI Lab end of November?

Meta63%
Alibaba14%

$15.6K Vol.monthly

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+97%
60%+46%

$157.3K Vol.

#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

Meta59%
Anthropic34%

$57.3K Vol.monthly

OpenAI IPO by...?

June 30, 202734%
March 31, 202720%

$3.1M Vol.

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

$ANTH35%
$CLAU20%

$124.2K Vol.

How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?

12-1568%
<1224%

$185.6K Vol.

OpenAI resumes training on...?

$53.8K Vol.

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$800B87%
$1T85%

$1.6M Vol.

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

October 3123%
October 1516%

$2.2K Vol.monthly

Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by ___?

December 31, 202831%
December 31, 202714%

$27.0K Vol.

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

$292.0K Vol.

Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

Anthropic91%
OpenAI5%

$75.5K Vol.monthly

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202767%
December 31, 202621%

$436.4K Vol.

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202755%
December 31, 202616%

$828.3K Vol.

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

1.8T+76%
1.5–1.8T17%

$516.4K Vol.

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+80%
60%+39%

$141.2K Vol.

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

Google52%
OpenAI24%

$37.6K Vol.monthly

#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

OpenAI41%
Google35%

$7.0K Vol.weekly

Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?

1480+84%
1490+64%

$21.3K Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

50%+96%
55%+67%

$8.7K Vol.

Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?

$40+91%
$50+72%

$7.1K Vol.

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

600B+95%
No IPO by December 31, 20273%

$524.9K Vol.

#2 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)

Meta51%
Google35%

$15.7K Vol.monthly

Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

60%+55%
65%+32%

$104.5K Vol.

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

1.5T+57%
No IPO by December 31, 202721%

$465.0K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

Anthropic91%
OpenAI5%

$32.0K Vol.monthly

Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

50%+92%
55%+67%

$120.4K Vol.

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$1.25T72%
↑$1.5T27%

$1.3M Vol.

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

Anthropic70%
OpenAI16%

$50.8K Vol.monthly

Best AI model on October 19?

gemini-4-argon-high92%
Other10%

$8.0K Vol.weekly

OpenAI resumes training by...?

October 3160%
October 1511%

$25.5K Vol.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin?

67% to 68%39%
68% to 69%33%

$13.6K Vol.

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

OpenAI61%
Anthropic22%

$28.7K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?

Anthropic56%
Google40%

$71.3K Vol.monthly

Kimi K4 released by…?

December 31, 202612%
March 31, 202711%

$23.8K Vol.

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Anthropic31%
Meta14%

$213.4K Vol.monthly

OpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?

$1.30T+48%
$1.00-$1.10T20%

$10.4K Vol.

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

PayPal12%
Perplexity AI11%

$18.4M Vol.

GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?

$6.50+74%
$6.00-$6.5017%

$43.5K Vol.monthly

How many Codex resets week of October 12?

335%
4+20%

$1.2K Vol.

What will GPT Astra's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4051%
↓ $2534%

$12.6K Vol.

What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?

$1.75–$2.00T38%
$2.00–$2.25T32%

$140.6K Vol.

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?

5+50%
424%

$23.2K Vol.monthly

What will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4047%
↓ $4544%

$20.4K Vol.

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

CATL26%
CXMT25%

$475.6K Vol.

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

#324%
#16%

$276.0K Vol.

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

San Diego, CA83%
Denver, CO80%

$64.1K Vol.

Third-best AI Lab end of October?

Meta79%
Alibaba9%

$62.3K Vol.monthly

Will Claude go down on __ days in October?

5-744%
8-1030%

$9.9K Vol.monthly

What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4552%
↓ $4041%

$9.2K Vol.annual

OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

$1.00-$1.10T43%
$1.10-$1.20T27%

$14.7K Vol.

GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?

$2.75-$3.0031%
$3.00+31%

$34.9K Vol.monthly

Which company has #1 AI model end of November? (Style Control On)

Google56%
Anthropic41%

$31.7K Vol.monthly

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

156048%
158021%

$237.7K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?

$2.50-$3.0020%
$2.00-$2.5018%

$69.6K Vol.monthly

Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)

Google71%
Anthropic25%

$76.0K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?

Anthropic80%
Google9%

$9.6K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?

$7.00+77%
$6.00-$6.509%

$99.8K Vol.monthly

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?

Meta25%
Google18%

$11.4K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?

Anthropic75%
OpenAI14%

$19.1K Vol.monthly

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of December?

OpenAI28%
Google21%

$11.4K Vol.monthly

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

40%+36%
45%+35%

$103.7K Vol.

GPU rental prices (H100) end of November?

$3.25+26%
$3.00-$3.2524%

$8.4K Vol.monthly

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

5%chance

$199.9K Vol.2 months left

GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026?

↓ $4.0066%
↑ $7.0055%

$21.5K Vol.monthly

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

October 3162%
October 1515%

$715.5 Vol.monthly

Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Alibaba43%
Xiaomi30%

$11.9K Vol.monthly

SB Energy IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO before January 202762%
$50B-$60B21%

$36.3K Vol.

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$1.5T90%
$1.75T79%

$12.4K Vol.

Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?

6%chance

$19.2K Vol.2 months left

Grok 5 released by...?

December 3142%
November 3014%

$19.5K Vol.

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Alibaba28%
Xiaomi25%

$10.6K Vol.monthly

ChatGPT Outage by...?

October 3171%
October 1548%

$599.0 Vol.monthly

OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

19%chance

$8.8K Vol.2 months left

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of December?

OpenAI73%
SpaceXAI12%

$14.5K Vol.monthly

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Google52%
Moonshot20%

$64.8K Vol.monthly

OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25?

675-725T60%
725T+27%

$16.1K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of November?

Anthropic45%
OpenAI17%

$16.5K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ in 2026?

↑ $3.5055%
↓ $2.2548%

$16.5K Vol.daily

Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of October?

MiniMax90%
Google9%

$21.8K Vol.

GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ in 2026?

↓ $5.5049%
↓ $5.0049%

$55.4K Vol.monthly

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

November 3035%
October 3114%

$44.2K Vol.

Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+76%
50%+42%

$101.7K Vol.

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?

Anthropic51%
Google33%

$9.8K Vol.monthly

SSI public model released by…?

December 3141%
November 3040%

$133.2K Vol.

Next DeepSeek Pro released by...?

November 3031%
October 3124%

$24.6K Vol.

Anthropic lab leak by...?

$156.1K Vol.

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

Google28%
Meta20%

$13.3K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of October?

OpenAI82%
Google6%

$29.7K Vol.

GPU rental prices (B200) end of November?

<$7.0023%
$7.00-$7.5023%

$9.2K Vol.monthly

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of December?

OpenAI46%
Anthropic22%

$11.3K Vol.monthly

Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?

October 3112%
October 162%

$35.3K Vol.

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?

Google36%
Anthropic35%

$12.6K Vol.monthly

Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?

23%chance

$59.1K Vol.2 months left

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

OpenAI81%
Anthropic11%

$38.1K Vol.monthly

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Z.ai42%
Meta33%

$61.2K Vol.monthly

Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by...?

November 3065%
October 3143%

$9.7K Vol.

Will Perplexity's valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$22.5B61%
↑$25B36%

$76.3K Vol.

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

Hodge Conjecture21%
Ramsey Number R(5,5)19%

$59.6K Vol.

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?

OpenAI87%
Google8%

$40.5K Vol.monthly

Will SI.gov launch by...?

October 3169%
October 1540%

$5.0K Vol.

Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?

$20.7K Vol.

Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by...?

December 3192%
October 3144%

$1.0K Vol.

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

5%chance

$63.3K Vol.2 months left

GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?

$0.75-$1.0063%
$1.00-$1.2526%

$49.0K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of November?

$0.55-$0.6024%
$0.65-$0.7021%

$5.8K Vol.monthly

Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)

Anthropic41%
Google36%

$4.5K Vol.monthly

Muse on Meta glasses by...?

December 3154%
October 3121%

$5.1K Vol.

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Moonshot46%
Z.ai19%

$32.6K Vol.monthly

OpenAI or Anthropic announces recursive self-improvement by...?

December 31, 202618%
October 31, 20264%

$7.8K Vol.