All markets
Will Waymo operate in fewer than 12 cities on December 31 2026?
26%chance
- Yes25.9%
Outcomes
- Yes26%
25.9¢ per share
- No74%
74.2¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 25.9¢Spread 0.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 25.8¢ | 606 | $156.35 |
| 25.7¢ | 778 | $199.95 |
| 25.4¢ | 304.17 | $77.26 |
| 24.8¢ | 50 | $12.40 |
| 24.6¢ | 200 | $49.20 |
| 24.5¢ | 220 | $53.90 |
| 24.3¢ | 82 | $19.93 |
| 23.8¢ | 416 | $99.01 |
| 23.6¢ | 307.85 | $72.65 |
| 23.1¢ | 9.02 | $2.08 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 25.9¢ | 1,101.26 | $285.23 |
| 26¢ | 831 | $216.06 |
| 26.3¢ | 314.65 | $82.75 |
| 26.9¢ | 50 | $13.45 |
| 27.2¢ | 150 | $40.80 |
| 27.3¢ | 220 | $60.06 |
| 27.4¢ | 200 | $54.80 |
| 27.9¢ | 480 | $133.92 |
| 28.5¢ | 50 | $14.25 |
| 29¢ | 156.81 | $45.47 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.