AI

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
- December 31, 202827%
- December 31, 202719%
$3.8M Vol.

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Gemini 4.0 released by...?

October 31>99%
November 30>99%

$1.8M Vol.

Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202826%
December 31, 202716%

$623.4K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Google73%
Anthropic27%

$2.3M Vol.monthly

Gemini Argon released on...?

October 13>99%
October 14<1%

$97.4K Vol.

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$2.0–$2.25T27%
$1.75–$2.0T26%

$1.6M Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

December 3196%
October 3181%

$385.4K Vol.

Gemini Argon released by...?

October 31>99%
November 30>99%

$77.3K Vol.

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$1.5T93%
↑$1.75T82%

$5.4M Vol.

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Google43%
Anthropic42%

$2.5M Vol.monthly

Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202825%
December 31, 202721%

$767.5K Vol.

Gemini Argon: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

45%+85%
50%+82%

$67.7K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

Google51%
Anthropic38%

$287.0K Vol.monthly

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

December 3190%
October 3127%

$252.6K Vol.

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

19%chance

$71.3K Vol.2 months left

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

October 1520%
No release by October 3120%

$60.7K Vol.

Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1400+89%
1420+88%

$55.1K Vol.

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

No release by October 3190%
October 236%

$48.6K Vol.

Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202826%
December 31, 202715%

$700.2K Vol.

Meta's Watermelon Model: Text Arena Debut?

1480+85%
1490+76%

$12.3K Vol.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

1480+44%
1495+31%

$277.3K Vol.

North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202828%
December 31, 202721%

$210.0K Vol.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

December 3136%
November 3027%

$1.6M Vol.

Next GPT Sol Model (6.1+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

40%+78%
45%+76%

$42.0K Vol.

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

November 202649%
December 202624%

$373.4K Vol.

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Xiaomi56%
Alibaba27%

$205.0K Vol.monthly

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

No release by October 3190%
October 204%

$108.8K Vol.

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

080%
111%

$335.7K Vol.

Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202827%
December 31, 202720%

$571.4K Vol.

Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202825%
December 31, 202720%

$692.9K Vol.

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

OpenAI60%
Google28%

$60.6K Vol.monthly

#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)

Meta27%
Anthropic21%

$18.8K Vol.monthly

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

OpenAI49%
Google47%

$11.9K Vol.weekly

#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

DeepSeek86%
Google5%

$6.1K Vol.weekly

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

OpenAI49%
Google17%

$18.3K Vol.monthly

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202755%
December 31, 202616%

$827.9K Vol.

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+78%
60%+38%

$140.7K Vol.

Best AI model on October 26?

gemini-4-argon-high71%
Other27%

$3.9K Vol.weekly

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

OpenAI61%
Anthropic22%

$28.7K Vol.monthly

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

$291.2K Vol.

Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

60%+55%
65%+32%

$104.3K Vol.

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

Google27%
OpenAI26%

$15.8K Vol.monthly

Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

Xiaomi21%
DeepSeek19%

$126.2K Vol.

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

600B+94%
No IPO by December 31, 20273%

$524.9K Vol.

OpenAI resumes training by...?

October 3150%
October 1510%

$25.5K Vol.

OpenAI resumes training on...?

$53.8K Vol.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin?

67% to 68%39%
68% to 69%37%

$13.2K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?

Anthropic98%
Meta1%

$41.3K Vol.monthly

What will Anthropic's public ticker be?

$ANTH29%
$CLAU20%

$124.2K Vol.

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

1.8T+76%
1.5–1.8T17%

$515.9K Vol.

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202767%
December 31, 202621%

$435.5K Vol.

How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?

12-1568%
<1223%

$185.6K Vol.

Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

Anthropic92%
OpenAI5%

$75.0K Vol.monthly

OpenAI IPO by...?

June 30, 202737%
March 31, 202721%

$3.1M Vol.

SB Energy IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO before January 202762%
$50B-$60B19%

$36.3K Vol.

Meta's Watermelon Model: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

40%+83%
50%+48%

$8.8K Vol.

Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

45%+88%
50%+80%

$111.9K Vol.

Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Alibaba39%
Xiaomi29%

$11.9K Vol.monthly

What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?

$1.75–$2.00T37%
$2.00–$2.25T33%

$140.4K Vol.

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$800B86%
$1T80%

$1.6M Vol.

Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?

1480+91%
1490+72%

$20.8K Vol.

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

Google52%
OpenAI30%

$37.4K Vol.monthly

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

1.5T+57%
No IPO by December 31, 202721%

$465.0K Vol.

Third-best AI Lab end of October?

Meta67%
Xiaomi23%

$61.7K Vol.monthly

#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

OpenAI47%
Google24%

$6.4K Vol.weekly

Anthropic reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

October 3120%
October 1514%

$1.6K Vol.monthly

Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)

Google71%
Anthropic20%

$75.4K Vol.monthly

Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$1.25T71%
↑$1.5T27%

$1.3M Vol.

Claude 6 released by...?

December 31, 202793%
June 30, 202773%

$38.1K Vol.

#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

Anthropic50%
Google33%

$30.9K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?

$7.00+78%
$6.50-$7.009%

$99.8K Vol.monthly

Will AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by...?

October 15>99%
October 31>99%

$4.8K Vol.

What will GPT Astra's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4051%
↑ $6040%

$12.3K Vol.

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+76%
60%+52%

$155.9K Vol.

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?

5+65%
320%

$23.0K Vol.monthly

Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?

Microsoft33%
Anthropic23%

$29.5K Vol.

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

San Diego, CA83%
Denver, CO80%

$64.1K Vol.

GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?

$2.50-$3.0019%
$2.00-$2.5019%

$69.5K Vol.monthly

Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

50%+90%
55%+68%

$120.1K Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

50%+81%
55%+65%

$7.4K Vol.

Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?

October 3112%
October 162%

$35.3K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

Anthropic79%
OpenAI18%

$50.0K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?

$6.50+75%
$6.00-$6.5017%

$43.5K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?

Anthropic56%
Google40%

$71.1K Vol.monthly

Which company has #1 AI model end of November? (Style Control On)

Google56%
Anthropic42%

$31.7K Vol.monthly

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

CXMT29%
CATL26%

$475.6K Vol.

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

#324%
#16%

$276.0K Vol.

Grok Bot on the free plan by...?

December 3111%
October 319%

$5.8K Vol.

What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4551%
↓ $4038%

$9.1K Vol.annual

Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+76%
50%+40%

$101.7K Vol.

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$1.5T90%
$1.75T79%

$12.4K Vol.

How many Codex resets week of October 12?

340%
122%

$1.0K Vol.

Will Claude go down on __ days in October?

5-743%
8-1029%

$9.9K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?

$3.00+31%
$2.75-$3.0026%

$34.9K Vol.monthly

Will Muse Wonder debut as #1? (Text Arena)

2%chance

$884.8 Vol.8 months left

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

PayPal11%
Viking Therapeutics10%

$18.4M Vol.

Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?

Anthropic74%
OpenAI14%

$19.1K Vol.monthly

Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?

$40+75%
$50+55%

$5.5K Vol.

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of December?

OpenAI28%
Google20%

$11.4K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of December?

OpenAI72%
SpaceXAI14%

$14.5K Vol.monthly

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

Google28%
OpenAI17%

$13.3K Vol.monthly

Grok 5 released by...?

December 3138%
November 3014%

$19.5K Vol.

GPU rental prices (H100) end of November?

$3.25+26%
$2.75-$3.0022%

$8.4K Vol.monthly

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?

Meta28%
Google18%

$11.3K Vol.monthly

Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by...?

December 3186%
November 3080%

$7.3K Vol.

What will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4549%
↑ $5533%

$19.9K Vol.

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

6%chance

$199.9K Vol.2 months left

Next DeepSeek Pro released by...?

November 3034%
October 3122%

$24.6K Vol.

Second-best AI Lab end of December?

Google38%
Anthropic34%

$13.0K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of November?

Anthropic81%
Google12%

$9.4K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ in 2026?

↓ $2.2556%
↑ $3.5055%

$16.5K Vol.daily

GPU rental prices (B200) end of November?

<$7.0027%
$7.50-$8.0023%

$9.1K Vol.monthly

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

40%+42%
50%+38%

$102.9K Vol.

Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?

6%chance

$19.2K Vol.2 months left

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Google51%
Moonshot20%

$64.3K Vol.monthly

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

October 3162%
October 1516%

$631.9 Vol.monthly

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

November 3039%
October 3123%

$44.2K Vol.

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of October?

OpenAI89%
Google8%

$40.8K Vol.monthly

Third-best AI Lab end of November?

Meta49%
Alibaba13%

$12.6K Vol.monthly

Best Chinese AI Company end of December?

Alibaba32%
Moonshot20%

$6.8K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ in 2026?

↓ $5.5049%
↓ $5.0049%

$55.1K Vol.monthly

Next DeepSeek Flash released by...?

November 3028%
October 3115%

$9.6K Vol.

Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by...?

December 3138%
October 3114%

$4.5K Vol.

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Google18%
Z.ai16%

$101.1K Vol.

GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026?

↓ $4.0067%
↑ $7.0059%

$21.2K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?

Anthropic88%
OpenAI9%

$105.4K Vol.monthly

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Anthropic37%
Meta9%

$17.8K Vol.

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

November 3046%
October 3141%

$2.7K Vol.monthly

#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

Meta37%
OpenAI23%

$25.9K Vol.monthly

What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $1541%
↑ $2536%

$10.0K Vol.

Which company has the best AI Agent end of December?

Anthropic72%
OpenAI15%

$7.3K Vol.monthly

Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by...?

January 3138%
December 3124%

$961.6 Vol.

Kimi K4 released by…?

March 31, 202711%
December 31, 202610%

$22.7K Vol.

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of December?

OpenAI47%
Anthropic22%

$11.3K Vol.monthly

Will Perplexity's valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$22.5B57%
↑$25B32%

$76.4K Vol.

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

OpenAI81%
Anthropic12%

$38.1K Vol.monthly

OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25?

675-725T47%
725T+25%

$15.5K Vol.monthly

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of November?

Google41%
Anthropic37%

$15.5K Vol.monthly

GPT Astra 6.1+: Output Token Price Debut?

$40+67%
$50+48%

$5.8K Vol.

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Alibaba38%
Xiaomi28%

$52.1K Vol.monthly

Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by...?

December 3171%
November 3050%

$3.2K Vol.

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Z.ai40%
Meta33%

$61.2K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?

$0.60+53%
$0.55-$0.6022%

$52.1K Vol.monthly

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

Hodge Conjecture20%
Ramsey Number R(5,5)19%

$59.6K Vol.

Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?

20%chance

$59.0K Vol.2 months left

Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by ___?

$20.7K Vol.

Next Qwen Flash (3.9+) released by...?

December 3192%
October 3132%

$1.0K Vol.

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

5%chance

$63.3K Vol.2 months left

Will SI.gov launch by...?

October 3169%
October 1540%

$5.0K Vol.

GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of November?

$0.55-$0.6024%
$0.65-$0.7021%

$5.8K Vol.monthly

Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)

Anthropic41%
Google36%

$4.5K Vol.monthly

Muse on Meta glasses by...?

December 3154%
October 3114%

$5.1K Vol.