Middle East

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
- October 1597%
- October 3182%
$11.7M Vol.monthly

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

October 1599%
October 3186%

$1.6M Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

17%chance

$73.9M Vol.2 months left

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot46%
Benjamin Netanyahu32%

$45.8M Vol.

Saudi airspace closed by...?

December 3119%
October 317%

$231.1K Vol.

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?

December 3145%
November 3041%

$304.1K Vol.

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

December 3114%
November 307%

$19.9M Vol.

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

December 3119%
October 315%

$7.3M Vol.

Will Iran damage undersea internet cables by...?

December 3114%
October 316%

$21.0K Vol.

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

78%chance

$170.1K Vol.21 days left

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei88%
No Head of State5%

$40.2M Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

$54.7K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

$43.6K Vol.

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Venezuela17%
Kuwait8%

$904.0K Vol.

USD x Iranian rials End of December?

2.5 - 3.0M27%
3.0 - 3.5M20%

$113.9K Vol.monthly

Will Iran target Iraq by...?

October 3156%
October 1549%

$11.9K Vol.

Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

October 3162%
October 1553%

$16.7K Vol.

Turkey military action against Yemen by...?

December 3111%
October 31<1%

$5.4K Vol.

Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by...?

December 31, 202622%
October 31, 20267%

$113.2K Vol.

USD x Iranian rials End of October?

2.8M+51%
2.7-2.8M19%

$42.4K Vol.monthly

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

6%chance

$27.1M Vol.2 months left

Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

December 3125%
October 317%

$149.9K Vol.

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

October 1395%
October 1489%

$139.1K Vol.

Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

October 3115%
October 159%

$38.1K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

No Next Minister by Feb 2833%
Tally Gotliv14%

$45.8K Vol.

Houthis target Pakistan by...?

December 3112%
October 315%

$2.5K Vol.

$2.3K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of National Security?

No Next Minister by Feb 2835%
Yoram Cohen13%

$42.0K Vol.

Iran Nuke before 2027?

3%chance

$1.4M Vol.2 months left

USS Theodore Roosevelt arrives in CENTCOM by...?

November 3098%
November 1585%

$8.7K Vol.

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?

October 1185%
October 485%

$843.6K Vol.monthly

Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...?

December 3127%
October 3112%

$63.8K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

$30.5K Vol.

Israel Election: UTJ # of seats?

7-867%
9-1022%

$10.4K Vol.

Netanyahu out by...?

42%chance

$2.7M Vol.2 months left

Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?

Kuwait11%
Egypt10%

$79.8K Vol.

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

5%chance

$272.7K Vol.2 months left

Pakistan military action against Yemen by...?

December 3121%
October 317%

$82.8K Vol.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

11%chance

$1.9M Vol.2 months left

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

October 3139%
October 1514%

$131.6K Vol.

Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by...?

December 3116%
October 315%

$5.0K Vol.

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?

September 2979%
September 2675%

$213.0K Vol.monthly

USS George H.W. Bush in CENTCOM on...?

November 3077%
October 3172%

$9.1K Vol.

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?

4%chance

$6.9K Vol.18 days left

Syrian troops enter Yemen by...?

December 319%
October 314%

$4.7K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Interior?

No Next Minister by Feb 2839%
Yoav Ben-Tzur25%

$13.8K Vol.

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

3%chance

$2.6M Vol.2 months left

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?

October 598%
October 895%

$63.2K Vol.monthly

Israel Election: Together # of seats?

14-1628%
11-1325%

$6.8K Vol.

Israel Election: Yashar vote share?

18-20%38%
<16%25%

$5.0K Vol.

USS George Washington departs CENTCOM by...?

December 3169%
November 3068%

$39.3K Vol.

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Somaliland16%
Kuwait7%

$1.7M Vol.

Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?

5%chance

$102.5K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?

22-2336%
24-2525%

$17.1K Vol.

Israel military action against Syria by...?

November 3039%
October 3118%

$84.4K Vol.

Israel military action against Iraq by...?

33%chance

$2.2K Vol.18 days left

Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?

November 3056%
October 3126%

$17.3K Vol.

Houthis target Syria by...?

December 315%
October 314%

$4.1K Vol.

Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?

532%
625%

$9.1K Vol.

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 317%
October 31<1%

$18.0M Vol.

Will Iran target Jordan by...?

17%chance

$6.2K Vol.18 days left

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

December 3124%
October 318%

$250.6K Vol.

How many US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30?

256%
120%

$5.3K Vol.

Iran coup attempt by...?

December 31, 202719%
December 31, 202611%

$2.1M Vol.

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?

<458%
4-640%

$9.1K Vol.

Houthi military action against Mecca by...?

December 314%
October 313%

$6.8K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

23%chance

$15.3K Vol.1 year left

Will Iran target Qatar by...?

5%chance

$974.4 Vol.18 days left

Israel Election: Dems # of seats?

8-930%
10-1125%

$6.4K Vol.

Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?

November 3038%
October 316%

$97.2K Vol.

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

14%chance

$182.0K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Shas # of seats?

8-937%
6-730%

$7.0K Vol.

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

473%
512%

$7.6M Vol.

Israel Election: Yisrael Beiteinu # of seats?

8-952%
<622%

$5.6K Vol.

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?

4%chance

$26.6K Vol.2 months left

Will Iran target Kuwait by...?

October 3113%
October 1510%

$24.1K Vol.

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

12%chance

$54.2K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: RZP-Zehut # of seats?

4-536%
6-732%

$11.2K Vol.

Middle East

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

Iran Nuke before 2027?

Netanyahu out by...?

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by October 31?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?

Israel military action against Iraq by...?

Will Iran target Jordan by...?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

Will Iran target Qatar by...?

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?