Trump

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
- October 1298%
- October 1594%
$10.6M Vol.monthly

Fed Decision in October?

No change84%
25 bps increase17%

$32.2M Vol.monthly

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 3166%
December 3145%

$39.3M Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

18%chance

$73.5M Vol.2 months left

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

October 1298%
October 1594%

$437.4K Vol.

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 3125%
October 317%

$8.8M Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

December 31, 202771%
November 30, 202768%

$8.5M Vol.

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

December 3112%
October 313%

$2.3M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

6%chance

$27.1M Vol.2 months left

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

December 3141%
November 3026%

$3.0M Vol.

US imports Russian diesel by October 31?

36%chance

$132.0K Vol.19 days left

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro72%
Delcy Rodríguez24%

$98.2M Vol.

$3.0M Vol.monthly

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%chance

$12.5M Vol.2 months left

Who will Trump speak to by October 31?

Mark Carney>99%
Mohammed bin Salman95%

$204.5K Vol.monthly

What will Trump say this week? (October 5 - October 11)

Psychological / Psychologically47%
Gay47%

$46.3K Vol.weekly

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 6 - October 13, 2026?

80-9961%
100-11928%

$47.7K Vol.daily

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4739%
4817%

$3.1M Vol.

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 202796%
US1%

$3.7M Vol.

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Jared Kushner43%
Steve Witkoff43%

$1.3M Vol.

Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?

6%chance

$30.9K Vol.2 months left

Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by...?

December 3175%
October 3167%

$59.9K Vol.

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?

Transgender97%
Fake News97%

$12.9K Vol.

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

3%chance

$1.3M Vol.2 months left

Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?

Barack Obama97%
Jon Ossoff95%

$103.8K Vol.monthly

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

December 31, 202643%
November 30, 202630%

$678.9K Vol.

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

75%chance

$154.6K Vol.22 days left

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Vladimir Putin81%
Mohammed bin Salman69%

$1.3M Vol.monthly

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China77%
No meeting by December 3119%

$1.8M Vol.

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?

140-15918%
100-11917%

$11.6K Vol.daily

Fed Decision in January?

No change66%
25 bps increase32%

$295.7K Vol.monthly

Trump meets with Putin by...?

December 3181%
November 3075%

$387.5K Vol.

Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?

Flávio Bolsonaro82%
Mark Rutte71%

$63.8K Vol.monthly

María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

December 3134%
October 319%

$6.6M Vol.

Who will Trump meet with by October 31?

Sam Altman55%
Dario Amodei52%

$49.3K Vol.monthly

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

99%chance

$634.3K Vol.2 months left

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 317%
October 31<1%

$18.0M Vol.

How many House seats will the Democrats win in Wisconsin?

344%
432%

$9.7K Vol.

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

5%chance

$104.7K Vol.2 months left

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?

80-9928%
100-11923%

$23.9K Vol.daily

US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?

December 3110%
October 312%

$505.5K Vol.

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.7%16%
Below 4.6%6%

$350.3K Vol.

Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?

32%chance

$205.0K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump be impeached by...?

December 31, 202766%
June 30, 202748%

$1.0M Vol.

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

3%chance

$10.9M Vol.2 months left

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

11%chance

$1.8M Vol.2 months left

How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

36%65%
35%31%

$163.9K Vol.

Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

12%chance

$2.8K Vol.Ended

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

11%chance

$173.7K Vol.2 months left

Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

No Endorsement84%
Likud12%

$59.6K Vol.

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 14?

<1%chance

$1.5K Vol.2 days left

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

11%chance

$746.2K Vol.2 months left

Iran releases Trump Hormuz voicemail by...?

October 314%
October 152%

$13.8K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

23%chance

$15.2K Vol.1 year left

Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

No Meeting by December 3157%
Qatar19%

$144.9K Vol.

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

2%chance

$544.5K Vol.2 months left

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

4.25%69%
4.0%21%

$6.9M Vol.

Trump

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

US imports Russian diesel by October 31?

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

Trump out as President before 2027?

Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Who will Trump publicly insult by September 30?

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on October 14?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?