Trump

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
- October 1298%
- October 1594%
$10.4M Vol.monthly

Fed Decision in October?

No change84%
25 bps increase17%

$32.1M Vol.monthly

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 3167%
December 3145%

$39.2M Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

17%chance

$73.4M Vol.2 months left

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

October 1297%
October 1592%

$284.1K Vol.

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 3121%
October 317%

$8.7M Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

December 31, 202771%
November 30, 202768%

$8.5M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

6%chance

$27.1M Vol.2 months left

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4739%
4817%

$3.1M Vol.

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

December 3137%
November 3023%

$3.0M Vol.

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

December 3112%
October 314%

$2.3M Vol.

$98.2M Vol.

Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase75%
No change23%

$3.0M Vol.monthly

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%chance

$12.5M Vol.2 months left

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

2%chance

$376.4K Vol.8 days left

Who will Trump speak to by October 31?

Mark Carney>99%
Friedrich Merz94%

$203.6K Vol.monthly

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

December 3136%
November 3023%

$1.8M Vol.

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 6 - October 13, 2026?

80-9952%
100-11926%

$43.2K Vol.daily

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 202796%
US1%

$3.7M Vol.

Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?

Barack Obama98%
Jon Ossoff95%

$103.7K Vol.monthly

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Jared Kushner43%
Steve Witkoff43%

$1.3M Vol.

Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?

6%chance

$30.8K Vol.2 months left

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China77%
No meeting by December 3119%

$1.8M Vol.

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?

Transgender97%
Fake News96%

$11.7K Vol.

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

December 31, 202643%
November 30, 202629%

$678.8K Vol.

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

3%chance

$1.3M Vol.2 months left

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

75%chance

$154.6K Vol.23 days left

Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by...?

December 3170%
October 3165%

$57.8K Vol.

Trump meets with Putin by...?

December 3181%
November 3075%

$387.5K Vol.

Fed Decision in January?

No change66%
25 bps increase32%

$295.7K Vol.monthly

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?

120-13919%
140-15919%

$10.8K Vol.daily

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Vladimir Putin81%
Mohammed bin Salman69%

$1.3M Vol.monthly

Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?

Flávio Bolsonaro82%
Mark Rutte64%

$63.7K Vol.monthly

Will Trump visit Greenland by...?

December 319%
October 31<1%

$349.7K Vol.

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 317%
October 31<1%

$18.0M Vol.

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

98%chance

$634.3K Vol.2 months left

María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

December 3135%
October 319%

$6.6M Vol.

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.7%16%
Below 4.6%6%

$350.3K Vol.