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This is an independent demo that is not affiliated with Polymarket. Market data comes from the public Polymarket API and may be delayed. Prices reflect market odds, not guarantees. Balances and trades on this site use simulated test funds; no real money is moved. Trading real prediction markets involves substantial risk of loss and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. See our Terms of Use & Privacy Policy.

HomeBreaking Portfolio

Trending Combos Perps Breaking NewPolitics Sports Crypto Esports Iran Finance Geopolitics Tech Culture Economy Weather Elections World AI Science

All348
AI Releases57
Google36
AI Regulation30
Big Tech143
Compute37
Earn 3.25%34
AI Rankings73
OpenAI74

AI Releases

Filter markets by title

Gemini 4.0 released by...?
- November 3098%
- October 3191%
$1.5M Vol.

Max Spread ±4.5¢

Min Shares 50

Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

December 3196%
October 3171%

$308.2K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

November 3034%
December 3134%

$1.6M Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 100Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Gemini Argon released by...?

November 3093%
October 3184%

$30.6K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

December 3190%
October 3124%

$226.5K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

No release by October 3130%
October 2912%

$40.7K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

1480+31%
1510+29%

$268.2K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

No release by October 3190%
October 204%

$100.1K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Gemini Argon released on...?

October 1339%
No release by October 3116%

$32.5K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Gemini Argon: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

45%+89%
50%+86%

$44.5K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Claude 6 released by...?

December 31, 202793%
June 30, 202773%

$36.0K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

No release by November 191%
October 12–October 184%

$284.4K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next GPT Sol Model (6.1+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

40%+90%
45%+88%

$33.8K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

October 1435%
No release by October 3128%

$30.4K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1400+>99%
1420+90%

$41.1K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next GPT Sol (6.2+) released by...?

December 3166%
November 3049%

$2.8K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?

October 3171%
October 1624%

$33.0K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

What will the next Muse model family be named?

Muse Fire9%
Muse Blaze4%

$103.1K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Meta's Watermelon released on...?

No release by October 3127%
October 289%

$39.0K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

45%+43%
40%+43%

$99.5K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards