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This is an independent demo that is not affiliated with Polymarket. Market data comes from the public Polymarket API and may be delayed. Prices reflect market odds, not guarantees. Balances and trades on this site use simulated test funds; no real money is moved. Trading real prediction markets involves substantial risk of loss and may be restricted in your jurisdiction. See our Terms of Use & Privacy Policy.

HomeBreaking Portfolio

Trending Combos Perps Breaking NewPolitics Sports Crypto Esports Iran Finance Geopolitics Tech Culture Economy Weather Elections World AI Science

All348
AI Releases57
Business105
Earn 3.25%34
Anthropic66
Big Tech145
AI Regulation30
AI Rankings72
OpenAI74

AI Releases

Filter markets by title

Gemini 4.0 released by...?
- November 3098%
- October 3189%
$1.5M Vol.

Max Spread ±4.5¢

Min Shares 50

Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Meta's Watermelon released on...?

October 1297%
October 222%

$67.0K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

December 3195%
October 3177%

$328.4K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

What will the next Muse model family be named?

Muse Flame1%
Muse Flare1%

$116.4K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

December 3186%
October 3117%

$234.4K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Meta's "Watermelon" model released by...?

October 3198%
November 3096%

$100.1K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Gemini Argon released on...?

October 1327%
October 1422%

$39.5K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Gemini Argon released by...?

November 3094%
October 3187%

$36.8K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

No release by October 3166%
October 2114%

$34.4K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1400+93%
1440+87%

$45.0K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Gemini Argon: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

45%+89%
50%+84%

$48.3K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

No release by October 3121%
October 2011%

$44.0K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

No release by November 186%
October 19–October 254%

$287.5K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

December 3134%
November 3033%

$1.6M Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 100Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

No release by October 3191%
October 205%

$102.4K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

40%+42%
50%+34%

$102.2K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Meta's Watermelon Model: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

40%+89%
50%+58%

$6.7K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

1480+30%
1490+28%

$269.5K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

November 3051%
October 3128%

$43.5K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

GPT Astra 6.1+: Output Token Price Debut?

$40+65%
$50+40%

$5.6K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next GPT Sol Model (6.1+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

40%+88%
45%+88%

$34.8K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?

1490+58%
1480+56%

$18.6K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next DeepSeek Pro released by...?

November 3037%
October 3125%

$23.9K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by...?

December 3171%
November 3066%

$3.9K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

October 3161%
October 1514%

$24.5K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Meta's Watermelon Model: Text Arena Debut?

1480+84%
1490+80%

$3.7K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by...?

November 3065%
October 3147%

$9.5K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Claude 6 released by...?

December 31, 202793%
June 30, 202773%

$36.6K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?

October 3138%
October 1613%

$33.5K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

45%+88%
50%+71%

$109.8K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

50%+80%
55%+72%

$6.2K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1510+81%
1520+49%

$7.2K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by...?

December 3189%
November 3069%

$6.4K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

SSI public model released by…?

December 3156%
November 3043%

$132.6K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 50Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by...?

November 3048%
October 3113%

$10.2K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±4.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next DeepSeek Flash released by...?

November 3031%
October 3117%

$9.2K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Claude Opus 5.6+: Output Token Price Debut?

$15+85%
$20+58%

$3.6K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?

$40+78%
$50+50%

$4.7K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?

1500+85%
1510+83%

$4.9K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards

Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by...?

November 3087%
October 3110%

$4.3K Vol.Earn rewards by placing limit orders near the midpoint. Learn more.Max Spread ±6.5¢Min Shares 20Attract more liquidity by sponsoring rewards for this market.Add Rewards