
$813,900.37
+$2,267,200.03
$497,125,743.98
9,873 markets traded
+$1,340,845.67
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?| Market | Shares | Avg → Now | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No127,580.3 shares82.1¢ → 82.5¢ | 127,580.3 | 82.1¢ → 82.5¢ | $105,253.73 +$461.46 (+0.4%) |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No118,516.5 shares72.7¢ → 87¢ | 118,516.5 | 72.7¢ → 87¢ | $103,109.37 +$16,988.93 (+19.7%) |
| Type | Market | Amount |
|---|---|---|
| Buy | Will the Republican Party win the CA-30 House seat? Yes · 48 shares at 3¢ | $1.44 |
| Buy | Will the Republican Party win the CA-30 House seat? Yes · 15 shares at 3¢ | $0.45 |
Public on-chain data from Polymarket. Showing up to 50 positions and recent activity; refreshes every minute.
No one announced as next James Bond? No79,780.9 shares75.9¢ → 66.2¢ |
| 79,780.9 |
| 75.9¢ → 66.2¢ |
$52,814.97 -$7,740.35 (-12.8%) |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes51,609.2 shares61.8¢ → 80.5¢ | 51,609.2 | 61.8¢ → 80.5¢ | $41,545.42 +$9,669.09 (+30.3%) |
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes27,200.8 shares94¢ → 95.3¢ | 27,200.8 | 94¢ → 95.3¢ | $25,908.78 +$330.54 (+1.3%) |
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes32,425.6 shares5.2¢ → 71.5¢ | 32,425.6 | 5.2¢ → 71.5¢ | $23,168.07 +$21,485.73 (+1,277.1%) |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No25,000 shares90.1¢ → 89.6¢ | 25,000 | 90.1¢ → 89.6¢ | $22,412.50 -$112.50 (-0.5%) |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes310,495.8 shares12.8¢ → 6.1¢ | 310,495.8 | 12.8¢ → 6.1¢ | $18,940.24 -$20,716.67 (-52.2%) |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes296,645.7 shares3.9¢ → 5.9¢ | 296,645.7 | 3.9¢ → 5.9¢ | $17,650.42 +$6,003.21 (+51.5%) |
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? Yes68,451 shares22.1¢ → 19.5¢ | 68,451 | 22.1¢ → 19.5¢ | $13,347.95 -$1,757.60 (-11.6%) |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes16,382.3 shares51.7¢ → 60.5¢ | 16,382.3 | 51.7¢ → 60.5¢ | $9,911.31 +$1,435.34 (+16.9%) |
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes23,642.3 shares31.1¢ → 41.5¢ | 23,642.3 | 31.1¢ → 41.5¢ | $9,811.54 +$2,456.44 (+33.4%) |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes43,220.1 shares20.1¢ → 22.2¢ | 43,220.1 | 20.1¢ → 22.2¢ | $9,573.24 +$886.05 (+10.2%) |
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes36,860.4 shares32¢ → 24.5¢ | 36,860.4 | 32¢ → 24.5¢ | $9,030.80 -$2,749.53 (-23.3%) |
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No9,196.2 shares71.1¢ → 95.7¢ | 9,196.2 | 71.1¢ → 95.7¢ | $8,796.17 +$2,261.10 (+34.6%) |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes109,991.2 shares10¢ → 7.9¢ | 109,991.2 | 10¢ → 7.9¢ | $8,634.31 -$2,318.29 (-21.2%) |
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes9,788.6 shares83¢ → 83.5¢ | 9,788.6 | 83¢ → 83.5¢ | $8,173.48 +$50.28 (+0.6%) |
New pandemic in 2026? No8,383.8 shares89.3¢ → 95.5¢ | 8,383.8 | 89.3¢ → 95.5¢ | $8,006.52 +$523.76 (+7%) |
Iran Nuke before 2027? No7,665 shares85.7¢ → 96.8¢ | 7,665 | 85.7¢ → 96.8¢ | $7,415.91 +$849.54 (+12.9%) |
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No7,782.2 shares90¢ → 93.5¢ | 7,782.2 | 90¢ → 93.5¢ | $7,276.40 +$276.21 (+3.9%) |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes56,634.4 shares17.4¢ → 12.5¢ | 56,634.4 | 17.4¢ → 12.5¢ | $7,079.30 -$2,761.32 (-28.1%) |
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No13,961.7 shares46.8¢ → 47.5¢ | 13,961.7 | 46.8¢ → 47.5¢ | $6,631.79 +$101.09 (+1.5%) |
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes117,386.4 shares17.1¢ → 5.5¢ | 117,386.4 | 17.1¢ → 5.5¢ | $6,456.25 -$13,615.89 (-67.8%) |
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes299,425.2 shares1.7¢ → 2.2¢ | 299,425.2 | 1.7¢ → 2.2¢ | $6,437.64 +$1,366.26 (+26.9%) |
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No32,171.9 shares19.1¢ → 19.5¢ | 32,171.9 | 19.1¢ → 19.5¢ | $6,273.53 +$142.97 (+2.3%) |
Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? No6,379.8 shares91.6¢ → 95.7¢ | 6,379.8 | 91.6¢ → 95.7¢ | $6,105.47 +$257.85 (+4.4%) |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No15,271.8 shares37¢ → 39.5¢ | 15,271.8 | 37¢ → 39.5¢ | $6,032.37 +$381.81 (+6.8%) |
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No6,229.1 shares89.4¢ → 85.6¢ | 6,229.1 | 89.4¢ → 85.6¢ | $5,329.01 -$241.04 (-4.3%) |
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes515,223.4 shares0.7¢ → 1¢ | 515,223.4 | 0.7¢ → 1¢ | $4,894.62 +$1,398.35 (+40%) |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes25,000 shares33.8¢ → 19.5¢ | 25,000 | 33.8¢ → 19.5¢ | $4,875.00 -$3,575.54 (-42.3%) |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? No4,787.5 shares39.3¢ → 97.2¢ | 4,787.5 | 39.3¢ → 97.2¢ | $4,653.42 +$2,773.48 (+147.5%) |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes149,999.3 shares6.3¢ → 3.1¢ | 149,999.3 | 6.3¢ → 3.1¢ | $4,574.98 -$4,907.53 (-51.8%) |
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes5,007.5 shares90¢ → 90.5¢ | 5,007.5 | 90¢ → 90.5¢ | $4,531.81 +$25.04 (+0.6%) |
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? Yes5,654.9 shares86.2¢ → 79.4¢ | 5,654.9 | 86.2¢ → 79.4¢ | $4,487.18 -$384.77 (-7.9%) |
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No6,109.6 shares64.5¢ → 70.5¢ | 6,109.6 | 64.5¢ → 70.5¢ | $4,307.30 +$363.94 (+9.2%) |
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? No5,280.4 shares68.7¢ → 81.5¢ | 5,280.4 | 68.7¢ → 81.5¢ | $4,303.55 +$673.98 (+18.6%) |
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes10,247.6 shares37¢ → 40.5¢ | 10,247.6 | 37¢ → 40.5¢ | $4,150.26 +$358.67 (+9.5%) |
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No6,936.3 shares65.6¢ → 59.5¢ | 6,936.3 | 65.6¢ → 59.5¢ | $4,127.12 -$421.71 (-9.3%) |
Stripe IPO before 2027? No4,152.5 shares83.4¢ → 97¢ | 4,152.5 | 83.4¢ → 97¢ | $4,025.88 +$563.69 (+16.3%) |
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes5,571.9 shares82.4¢ → 72¢ | 5,571.9 | 82.4¢ → 72¢ | $4,011.76 -$582.22 (-12.7%) |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes21,347.7 shares17.5¢ → 17.8¢ | 21,347.7 | 17.5¢ → 17.8¢ | $3,789.21 +$45.30 (+1.2%) |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes6,508.7 shares64¢ → 56.5¢ | 6,508.7 | 64¢ → 56.5¢ | $3,677.44 -$488.16 (-11.7%) |
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-03 House seat? Yes3,813.5 shares94¢ → 96.3¢ | 3,813.5 | 94¢ → 96.3¢ | $3,670.47 +$85.81 (+2.4%) |
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat? Yes3,831.2 shares94.2¢ → 94.7¢ | 3,831.2 | 94.2¢ → 94.7¢ | $3,626.21 +$16.31 (+0.5%) |
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? Yes7,966 shares39.2¢ → 43.5¢ | 7,966 | 39.2¢ → 43.5¢ | $3,465.20 +$338.67 (+10.8%) |
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes63,803 shares1.2¢ → 5.1¢ | 63,803 | 1.2¢ → 5.1¢ | $3,222.05 +$2,468.48 (+327.6%) |
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes101,417.8 shares2.7¢ → 3.1¢ | 101,417.8 | 2.7¢ → 3.1¢ | $3,143.95 +$447.80 (+16.6%) |
Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? No3,713.4 shares77¢ → 84.5¢ | 3,713.4 | 77¢ → 84.5¢ | $3,137.84 +$278.51 (+9.7%) |
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026? No3,405.6 shares90.3¢ → 90.5¢ | 3,405.6 | 90.3¢ → 90.5¢ | $3,082.09 +$5.94 (+0.2%) |
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes7,596 shares46.4¢ → 39.5¢ | 7,596 | 46.4¢ → 39.5¢ | $3,000.41 -$526.87 (-14.9%) |
| Buy |
Will the Republican Party win the CA-30 House seat? Yes · 58 shares at 3¢ |
$1.74 |
| Maker rebate | — | $10.87 |
| Sell | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes · 115.1 shares at 15¢ | $17.26 |
| Yield | — | $9.11 |
| Buy | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? Yes · 1.3 shares at 10¢ | $0.13 |
| Reward | — | $67.98 |
| Buy | Will the Republican Party win the UT-01 House seat? Yes · 20 shares at 3.5¢ | $0.70 |
| Sell | Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No · 100 shares at 20¢ | $20.00 |
| Buy | Will the Republican Party win the NY-14 House seat? Yes · 5 shares at 3¢ | $0.15 |
| Sell | Will the Republicans win the Kentucky Senate race in 2026? Yes · 1 shares at 96.9¢ | $1.00 |
| Sell | Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? No · 5 shares at 20¢ | $1.00 |
| Buy | Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes · 20 shares at 86¢ | $17.20 |
| Sell | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes · 100 shares at 15¢ | $15.00 |
| Buy | Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes · 16.5 shares at 86¢ | $14.19 |
| Buy | Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes · 660 shares at 86¢ | $567.60 |
| Buy | Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes · 128 shares at 86¢ | $110.06 |
| Buy | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No · 10.5 shares at 81¢ | $8.53 |
| Buy | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No · 10.5 shares at 81¢ | $8.53 |
| Buy | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No · 10.5 shares at 81¢ | $8.53 |
| Buy | Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes · 5.6 shares at 90¢ | $5.05 |
| Buy | Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes · 224.8 shares at 90¢ | $202.28 |
| Buy | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No · 10.7 shares at 81¢ | $8.68 |
| Buy | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No · 10.5 shares at 81¢ | $8.53 |
| Buy | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No · 2,837.5 shares at 81¢ | $2,298.40 |
| Buy | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No · 1,829 shares at 81¢ | $1,481.49 |
| Sell | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes · 7.3 shares at 15¢ | $1.10 |
| Sell | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes · 7.3 shares at 15¢ | $1.10 |
| Sell | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes · 7.3 shares at 15¢ | $1.10 |
| Sell | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes · 7.3 shares at 15¢ | $1.10 |
| Sell | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes · 7.3 shares at 15¢ | $1.10 |
| Sell | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes · 7.3 shares at 15¢ | $1.10 |
| Sell | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes · 7.3 shares at 15¢ | $1.10 |
| Sell | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes · 7.3 shares at 15¢ | $1.10 |
| Sell | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes · 6.7 shares at 15¢ | $1.00 |
| Buy | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes · 50 shares at 10.5¢ | $5.25 |
| Buy | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes · 20 shares at 10.5¢ | $2.10 |
| Buy | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes · 55.1 shares at 10.5¢ | $5.78 |
| Buy | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes · 43.6 shares at 10.5¢ | $4.58 |
| Buy | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes · 949.1 shares at 10.5¢ | $99.65 |
| Buy | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes · 56.1 shares at 10.5¢ | $5.89 |
| Buy | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes · 243.6 shares at 10.5¢ | $25.57 |
| Buy | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes · 25 shares at 10.5¢ | $2.63 |
| Buy | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes · 20 shares at 10.5¢ | $2.10 |
| Buy | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes · 50 shares at 10.5¢ | $5.25 |
| Buy | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes · 271 shares at 10.5¢ | $28.46 |
| Buy | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes · 51.7 shares at 10.5¢ | $5.43 |
| Buy | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes · 125 shares at 10.5¢ | $13.13 |
| Buy | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes · 54.5 shares at 10.5¢ | $5.73 |