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Iran Nuke before 2027?
View all outcomes in this event3%chance
- Yes3.3%
Outcomes
- Yes3%
3.3¢ per share
- No97%
96.8¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 3.3¢Spread 0.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.2¢ | 1,847.52 | $59.12 |
| 3.1¢ | 88.12 | $2.73 |
| 3¢ | 697.29 | $20.92 |
| 2.9¢ | 221.41 | $6.42 |
| 2.8¢ | 536 | $15.01 |
| 2.7¢ | 542.86 | $14.66 |
| 2.5¢ | 1,344.14 | $33.60 |
| 2.4¢ | 394.34 | $9.46 |
| 2.3¢ | 2,511.58 | $57.77 |
| 2.1¢ | 5 | $0.11 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.3¢ | 2,483.97 | $81.97 |
| 3.4¢ | 607.8 | $20.67 |
| 3.5¢ | 519.68 | $18.19 |
| 3.6¢ | 5 | $0.18 |
| 3.9¢ | 139.12 | $5.43 |
| 4¢ | 5 | $0.20 |
| 4.1¢ | 200 | $8.20 |
| 4.3¢ | 3,031.63 | $130.36 |
| 4.5¢ | 15 | $0.67 |
| 4.6¢ | 500 | $23.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if credible reports from international nuclear agencies, Iran's government itself, or credible global news sources officially confirm that Iran possesses a nuclear weapon by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".