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$239,899.31
+$340,831.25
$76,214,299.21
954 markets traded
+$51,868.65
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?| Market | Shares | Avg → Now | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No54,502.9 shares83¢ → 85.5¢ | 54,502.9 | 83¢ → 85.5¢ | $46,599.97 +$1,389.66 (+3.1%) |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No21,500 shares92¢ → 91.5¢ | 21,500 | 92¢ → 91.5¢ | $19,672.50 -$107.50 (-0.5%) |
| Type | Market | Amount |
|---|---|---|
| Sell | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes · 10 shares at 10¢ | $1.00 |
| Sell | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes · 100 shares at 10¢ | $10.00 |
Public on-chain data from Polymarket. Showing up to 50 positions and recent activity; refreshes every minute.
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? No20,346.6 shares96¢ → 95.8¢ |
| 20,346.6 |
| 96¢ → 95.8¢ |
$19,481.91 -$50.85 (-0.3%) |
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No20,000 shares92¢ → 90.5¢ | 20,000 | 92¢ → 90.5¢ | $18,100.00 -$300.00 (-1.6%) |
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No17,230 shares97¢ → 97.1¢ | 17,230 | 97¢ → 97.1¢ | $16,721.70 +$9.94 (+0.1%) |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No16,706.3 shares90.4¢ → 93.5¢ | 16,706.3 | 90.4¢ → 93.5¢ | $15,620.36 +$517.36 (+3.4%) |
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No16,262.5 shares81.6¢ → 88.5¢ | 16,262.5 | 81.6¢ → 88.5¢ | $14,392.29 +$1,117.34 (+8.4%) |
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? No12,866.3 shares96.5¢ → 96.8¢ | 12,866.3 | 96.5¢ → 96.8¢ | $12,448.11 +$33.45 (+0.3%) |
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027? No13,068.3 shares86.5¢ → 87.5¢ | 13,068.3 | 86.5¢ → 87.5¢ | $11,434.74 +$134.83 (+1.2%) |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes7,451.8 shares80¢ → 83.5¢ | 7,451.8 | 80¢ → 83.5¢ | $6,222.27 +$258.86 (+4.3%) |
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026? No6,233.9 shares93¢ → 95¢ | 6,233.9 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $5,922.21 +$124.68 (+2.2%) |
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Yes31,348.9 shares16.2¢ → 17.5¢ | 31,348.9 | 16.2¢ → 17.5¢ | $5,486.06 +$413.57 (+8.2%) |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No4,614.1 shares86¢ → 99.1¢ | 4,614.1 | 86¢ → 99.1¢ | $4,570.26 +$602.14 (+15.2%) |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No5,000 shares64¢ → 68.5¢ | 5,000 | 64¢ → 68.5¢ | $3,425.01 +$225.00 (+7%) |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No3,512.2 shares91.1¢ → 95.8¢ | 3,512.2 | 91.1¢ → 95.8¢ | $3,364.70 +$164.61 (+5.1%) |
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? Yes12,884.2 shares24.6¢ → 25.5¢ | 12,884.2 | 24.6¢ → 25.5¢ | $3,285.47 +$111.71 (+3.5%) |
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Yes16,712.5 shares20¢ → 19.5¢ | 16,712.5 | 20¢ → 19.5¢ | $3,258.94 -$83.56 (-2.5%) |
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes3,606.9 shares83¢ → 83.1¢ | 3,606.9 | 83¢ → 83.1¢ | $2,997.30 +$3.61 (+0.1%) |
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? No3,214.4 shares87.4¢ → 92.5¢ | 3,214.4 | 87.4¢ → 92.5¢ | $2,973.33 +$163.09 (+5.8%) |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No3,036 shares86.1¢ → 88.5¢ | 3,036 | 86.1¢ → 88.5¢ | $2,686.89 +$74.05 (+2.8%) |
Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31? No2,500 shares93¢ → 97.9¢ | 2,500 | 93¢ → 97.9¢ | $2,447.50 +$122.50 (+5.3%) |
Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? No2,500 shares75¢ → 95.5¢ | 2,500 | 75¢ → 95.5¢ | $2,387.51 +$512.50 (+27.3%) |
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes7,069.7 shares30¢ → 28.5¢ | 7,069.7 | 30¢ → 28.5¢ | $2,014.88 -$106.05 (-5%) |
Plague case in US by December 31? No1,811.1 shares85¢ → 93¢ | 1,811.1 | 85¢ → 93¢ | $1,684.33 +$144.89 (+9.4%) |
Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch? No1,434.2 shares74¢ → 94.5¢ | 1,434.2 | 74¢ → 94.5¢ | $1,355.36 +$294.02 (+27.7%) |
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? Yes4,330.6 shares26.7¢ → 27¢ | 4,330.6 | 26.7¢ → 27¢ | $1,169.26 +$13.72 (+1.2%) |
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes10,436.4 shares9.9¢ → 9.9¢ | 10,436.4 | 9.9¢ → 9.9¢ | $1,033.20 +$1.40 (+0.1%) |
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? No1,013.1 shares83.5¢ → 84.5¢ | 1,013.1 | 83.5¢ → 84.5¢ | $856.08 +$10.55 (+1.2%) |
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? Yes2,958.4 shares28.2¢ → 28.5¢ | 2,958.4 | 28.2¢ → 28.5¢ | $843.16 +$9.53 (+1.1%) |
Will Ariel Pakes win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? No986.4 shares72.7¢ → 78¢ | 986.4 | 72.7¢ → 78¢ | $769.37 +$52.38 (+7.3%) |
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? Yes6,606 shares11.9¢ → 11¢ | 6,606 | 11.9¢ → 11¢ | $726.66 -$58.89 (-7.5%) |
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes8,777.3 shares7.6¢ → 7.4¢ | 8,777.3 | 7.6¢ → 7.4¢ | $653.91 -$15.67 (-2.3%) |
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes3,924.4 shares17.6¢ → 16.1¢ | 3,924.4 | 17.6¢ → 16.1¢ | $631.82 -$59.88 (-8.7%) |
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? No700 shares80¢ → 90¢ | 700 | 80¢ → 90¢ | $630.00 +$70.00 (+12.5%) |
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No608.9 shares82¢ → 96.1¢ | 608.9 | 82¢ → 96.1¢ | $584.84 +$85.55 (+17.1%) |
Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Yes3,247.6 shares16¢ → 15.5¢ | 3,247.6 | 16¢ → 15.5¢ | $503.37 -$16.23 (-3.1%) |
Hurupay FDV above $5M one day after launch? No505.3 shares69.7¢ → 95.5¢ | 505.3 | 69.7¢ → 95.5¢ | $482.59 +$130.35 (+37%) |
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes9,375 shares7.7¢ → 5.1¢ | 9,375 | 7.7¢ → 5.1¢ | $473.44 -$248.44 (-34.4%) |
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No500 shares84¢ → 94.1¢ | 500 | 84¢ → 94.1¢ | $470.25 +$50.25 (+12%) |
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No2,140.2 shares16.8¢ → 19¢ | 2,140.2 | 16.8¢ → 19¢ | $406.65 +$46.97 (+13.1%) |
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No340 shares84¢ → 90¢ | 340 | 84¢ → 90¢ | $306.00 +$20.40 (+7.1%) |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes339.8 shares85.9¢ → 86.1¢ | 339.8 | 85.9¢ → 86.1¢ | $292.40 +$0.51 (+0.2%) |
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No250 shares87¢ → 94¢ | 250 | 87¢ → 94¢ | $235.00 +$17.50 (+8%) |
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? Yes644.4 shares26.7¢ → 25.5¢ | 644.4 | 26.7¢ → 25.5¢ | $164.31 -$7.43 (-4.3%) |
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? Yes544.7 shares8¢ → 9¢ | 544.7 | 8¢ → 9¢ | $49.03 +$5.45 (+12.5%) |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No21.6 shares96.2¢ → 98.5¢ | 21.6 | 96.2¢ → 98.5¢ | $21.22 +$0.49 (+2.3%) |
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No20 shares72¢ → 89.5¢ | 20 | 72¢ → 89.5¢ | $17.90 +$3.50 (+24.3%) |
Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No10 shares65¢ → 80.5¢ | 10 | 65¢ → 80.5¢ | $8.05 +$1.55 (+23.8%) |
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No7.7 shares87¢ → 96.6¢ | 7.7 | 87¢ → 96.6¢ | $7.43 +$0.73 (+11%) |
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? No5 shares70¢ → 91.5¢ | 5 | 70¢ → 91.5¢ | $4.57 +$1.07 (+30.7%) |
| Sell | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes · 10 shares at 10¢ | $1.00 |
| Sell | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes · 100 shares at 10¢ | $10.00 |
| Sell | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes · 40 shares at 10¢ | $4.00 |
| Sell | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes · 3.4 shares at 29¢ | $1.00 |
| Sell | Plague pandemic in 2026? No · 2,531.3 shares at 98¢ | $2,480.63 |
| Sell | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes · 10.3 shares at 29¢ | $3.00 |
| Maker rebate | — | $159.26 |
| Yield | — | $11.12 |
| Reward | — | $0.99 |
| Taker rebate | — | $522.01 |
| Buy | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes · 1,000 shares at 83¢ | $829.99 |
| Sell | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes · 100 shares at 10¢ | $10.00 |
| Reward | — | $1,757.22 |
| Buy | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes · 5.6 shares at 83¢ | $4.66 |
| Sell | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes · 5.6 shares at 10¢ | $0.56 |
| Buy | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes · 50 shares at 83¢ | $41.50 |
| Buy | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes · 100 shares at 83¢ | $83.00 |
| Buy | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes · 2,451.3 shares at 83¢ | $2,034.54 |
| Sell | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes · 3,000 shares at 10¢ | $300.00 |
| Sell | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes · 50 shares at 7.8¢ | $3.90 |
| Buy | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Yes · 339.8 shares at 85.9¢ | $291.89 |
| Sell | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes · 4,489.5 shares at 7.8¢ | $350.18 |
| Sell | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes · 6,000 shares at 10¢ | $600.00 |
| Sell | Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? Yes · 6.1 shares at 29¢ | $1.77 |
| Sell | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes · 100 shares at 10¢ | $10.00 |
| Sell | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes · 5 shares at 29¢ | $1.45 |
| Sell | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes · 1,000 shares at 29¢ | $290.00 |
| Sell | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 15? Yes · 12,454.7 shares at 91¢ | $11,333.77 |
| Sell | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? Yes · 11,971.2 shares at 92¢ | $11,013.54 |
| Sell | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes · 19,411.2 shares at 3.7¢ | $718.21 |
| Sell | Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Yes · 1,675.8 shares at 19¢ | $318.41 |
| Sell | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes · 717.4 shares at 3.7¢ | $26.55 |
| Sell | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes · 400 shares at 3.7¢ | $14.80 |
| Sell | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes · 12,049.9 shares at 6.1¢ | $735.05 |
| Sell | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes · 1,545.9 shares at 6.1¢ | $94.30 |
| Sell | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? No · 17,860.1 shares at 10.8¢ | $1,928.89 |
| Sell | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? No · 17,875.2 shares at 10.6¢ | $1,894.77 |
| Sell | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes · 30 shares at 29¢ | $8.70 |
| Sell | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? Yes · 28 shares at 93¢ | $26.07 |
| Sell | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? No · 944.8 shares at 96.1¢ | $907.99 |
| Sell | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? No · 1,453.8 shares at 96.2¢ | $1,398.53 |
| Sell | US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 12? No · 75.6 shares at 3.1¢ | $2.34 |
| Sell | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? Yes · 28 shares at 93¢ | $26.07 |
| Sell | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? No · 0.1 shares at 10.8¢ | $0.01 |
| Sell | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? No · 15 shares at 10.8¢ | $1.62 |
| Sell | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes · 20 shares at 10¢ | $2.00 |
| Buy | Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? Yes · 16,712.5 shares at 20¢ | $3,342.50 |
| Sell | Will there be no Hormuz agreement? No · 36.4 shares at 11¢ | $4.00 |