All markets
Plague pandemic in 2026?
View all outcomes in this event2%chance
- Yes1.9%
Outcomes
- Yes2%
1.9¢ per share
- No98%
98.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 1.9¢Spread 0.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.9¢ | 1,674.91 | $31.82 |
| 1.8¢ | 4,010.07 | $72.18 |
| 1.7¢ | 10,129.42 | $172.20 |
| 1.6¢ | 12,027.57 | $192.44 |
| 1.5¢ | 24,737.07 | $371.06 |
| 1.4¢ | 3,010.1 | $42.14 |
| 1.2¢ | 843.4 | $10.12 |
| 1.1¢ | 929 | $10.22 |
| 1¢ | 1,520.1 | $15.20 |
| 0.9¢ | 1,592.59 | $14.33 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2¢ | 1,096.49 | $21.93 |
| 2.1¢ | 991.22 | $20.82 |
| 2.2¢ | 5,396.14 | $118.72 |
| 2.3¢ | 1,111 | $25.55 |
| 2.4¢ | 1,111 | $26.66 |
| 2.5¢ | 8,580.57 | $214.51 |
| 2.6¢ | 1,349.65 | $35.09 |
| 2.7¢ | 1,111 | $30.00 |
| 2.8¢ | 2,161 | $60.51 |
| 2.9¢ | 13,139.5 | $381.05 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes plague, Yersinia pestis, pneumonic plague, or any plague outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the disease or outbreak as a "pandemic". A Public Health Emergency of International Concern alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic. The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.