Trump

Fed Decision in October?
- No change81%
- 25 bps increase19%
$33.0M Vol.monthly

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US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

October 12>99%
October 1594%

$991.4K Vol.

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 12>99%
October 1595%

$11.0M Vol.monthly

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

18%chance

$73.8M Vol.2 months left

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 3166%
December 3144%

$39.3M Vol.

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 3127%
October 317%

$8.8M Vol.

$3.0M Vol.monthly

US imports Russian diesel by October 31?

23%chance

$155.7K Vol.19 days left

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

December 3141%
November 3031%

$3.0M Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

December 31, 202767%
November 30, 202766%

$8.5M Vol.

Fed Decision in January?

No change64%
25 bps increase33%

$339.6K Vol.monthly

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

December 3113%
October 313%

$2.3M Vol.

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro72%
Delcy Rodríguez24%

$98.2M Vol.

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 6 - October 13, 2026?

120-13957%
140-15916%

$63.0K Vol.daily

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

December 3136%
November 3024%

$1.8M Vol.

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%chance

$12.5M Vol.2 months left

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?

Transgender97%
Fake News95%

$20.4K Vol.

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

December 31, 202647%
November 30, 202630%

$688.4K Vol.

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 202796%
US1%

$3.7M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

6%chance

$27.1M Vol.2 months left

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

2%chance

$376.4K Vol.7 days left

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Jared Kushner42%
Steve Witkoff42%

$1.3M Vol.

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?

180-19924%
200+24%

$31.8K Vol.daily

Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by...?

December 3176%
October 3167%

$63.7K Vol.

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Vladimir Putin80%
Mohammed bin Salman69%

$1.3M Vol.monthly

Where will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place...?

No Meeting by December 3149%
Qatar18%

$151.8K Vol.

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

76%chance

$157.0K Vol.22 days left

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China77%
No meeting by December 3118%

$1.8M Vol.

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?

200+23%
140-15918%

$15.9K Vol.daily

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Below 19028%
195-19918%

$324.4K Vol.

Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?

Flávio Bolsonaro84%
Dario Amodei84%

$66.3K Vol.monthly

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4739%
4817%

$3.1M Vol.

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?

280M84%
270M9%

$22.5K Vol.monthly

Who will Trump meet with by October 31?

Sam Altman53%
Dario Amodei52%

$51.1K Vol.monthly

Who will Trump speak to by October 31?

Mark Carney>99%
Mohammed bin Salman94%

$205.7K Vol.monthly

Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?

Barack Obama97%
Jon Ossoff95%

$105.7K Vol.monthly

Which bills will become law in 2026?

$182.6K Vol.

María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

December 3134%
October 319%

$6.6M Vol.

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

5%chance

$104.7K Vol.2 months left

Trump meets with Putin by...?

December 3181%
November 3076%

$389.4K Vol.

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

11%chance

$1.8M Vol.2 months left

US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?

December 3110%
October 312%

$505.7K Vol.

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

2%chance

$35.7M Vol.2 months left

How low will Trump's approval rating go in 2026?

36%69%
35%30%

$163.9K Vol.

Will Trump rename an ocean by...?

December 31, 202751%
December 31, 20266%

$30.9K Vol.

Which party will Trump Endorse in the 2026 Israeli Election?

No Endorsement81%
Likud12%

$59.7K Vol.

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

4%chance

$215.2K Vol.2 months left

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

3%chance

$10.9M Vol.2 months left

Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

3%chance

$154.6K Vol.2 months left

Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?

24%chance

$30.0K Vol.2 months left

Will Trump be impeached by...?

December 31, 202766%
June 30, 202748%

$1.0M Vol.

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

2%chance

$545.3K Vol.2 months left

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

6%chance

$42.0K Vol.2 months left

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

11%chance

$746.2K Vol.2 months left

Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?

31%chance

$205.4K Vol.2 months left

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?

24%chance

$15.2K Vol.1 year left

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

October 1297%
October 1496%

$35.0K Vol.monthly

Trump

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

What will Trump say this week? (October 5 - October 11)

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

US imports Russian diesel by October 31?

Trump out as President before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?

Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?

Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

Trump declares election interference national emergency by...?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028?