Trump

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?
- October 12>99%
- October 1594%
$958.9K Vol.

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Max Spread ±4.5¢

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US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 12>99%
October 1595%

$10.9M Vol.monthly

Fed Decision in October?

No change83%
25 bps increase17%

$32.4M Vol.monthly

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 3166%
December 3145%

$39.3M Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

18%chance

$73.5M Vol.2 months left

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 3124%
October 316%

$8.8M Vol.

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

December 31, 202767%
November 30, 202767%

$8.5M Vol.

Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by...?

December 3113%
October 313%

$2.3M Vol.

$3.0M Vol.

Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase76%
No change23%

$3.0M Vol.monthly

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro72%
Delcy Rodríguez24%

$98.2M Vol.

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 6 - October 13, 2026?

100-11942%
120-13934%

$59.3K Vol.daily

Trump out as President before 2027?

4%chance

$12.5M Vol.2 months left

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

6%chance

$27.1M Vol.2 months left

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

December 3136%
November 3024%

$1.8M Vol.

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 202796%
US1%

$3.7M Vol.

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

2%chance

$376.4K Vol.7 days left

What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?

Transgender97%
Fake News97%

$18.1K Vol.

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Jared Kushner43%
Steve Witkoff43%

$1.3M Vol.

Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by...?

December 3175%
October 3159%

$62.6K Vol.

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China77%
No meeting by December 3120%

$1.8M Vol.

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 9 - October 16, 2026?

140-15922%
100-11919%

$28.1K Vol.daily

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Vladimir Putin81%
Mohammed bin Salman69%

$1.3M Vol.monthly

Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?

6%chance

$30.9K Vol.2 months left

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

76%chance

$156.1K Vol.22 days left

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts October 13 - October 20, 2026?

140-15918%
80-9915%

$14.0K Vol.daily

Trump meets with Putin by...?

December 3181%
November 3076%

$388.8K Vol.

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

December 31, 202643%
November 30, 202630%

$680.0K Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤4739%
4817%

$3.1M Vol.

Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?

Flávio Bolsonaro84%
Mark Rutte71%

$65.3K Vol.monthly

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Below 19028%
205-20918%

$323.4K Vol.

Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?

Barack Obama97%
Jon Ossoff96%

$104.6K Vol.monthly

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by October 30?

280M70%
270M9%

$22.3K Vol.monthly

Who will Trump meet with by October 31?

Sam Altman53%
Dario Amodei52%

$50.1K Vol.monthly

Who will Trump speak to by October 31?

Mark Carney>99%
Mohammed bin Salman95%

$205.0K Vol.monthly

Which bills will become law in 2026?

$182.2K Vol.

Trump

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

What will Trump say this week? (October 5 - October 11)

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

US imports Russian diesel by October 31?

Trump out as President before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026?

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?