Middle East

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?
- October 1597%
- October 3181%
$12.0M Vol.monthly

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

October 15>99%
October 1899%

$1.8M Vol.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot48%
Benjamin Netanyahu32%

$45.9M Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

17%chance

$74.0M Vol.2 months left

Saudi airspace closed by...?

December 3124%
October 318%

$243.3K Vol.

Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?

December 3142%
November 3038%

$315.4K Vol.

Will Iran damage undersea internet cables by...?

December 3114%
October 315%

$22.2K Vol.

US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?

78%chance

$173.3K Vol.21 days left

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

December 3122%
October 315%

$7.4M Vol.

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei87%
No Head of State5%

$40.2M Vol.

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

December 3114%
November 307%

$19.9M Vol.

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Venezuela18%
Kuwait8%

$904.1K Vol.

Will Iran target an Arab country by...?

October 3167%
October 1560%

$19.5K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Defense?

No Next Minister by Feb 2840%
Ofer Winter16%

$35.7K Vol.

Turkey military action against Yemen by...?

December 3111%
October 312%

$5.8K Vol.

Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by...?

December 31, 202622%
October 31, 20267%

$114.8K Vol.

USD x Iranian rials End of December?

2.5 - 3.0M27%
2.0 - 2.5M23%

$114.5K Vol.monthly

Pakistan military action against Yemen by...?

December 3113%
October 316%

$86.5K Vol.

Will Iran target Iraq by...?

October 3165%
October 1562%

$13.6K Vol.

Riyadh airport reopens (50+ departures) by...?

October 3169%
October 2034%

$3.7K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

6%chance

$27.1M Vol.2 months left

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

October 1493%
October 2588%

$139.7K Vol.

Next Israeli Minister of Finance?

No Next Minister by Feb 2837%
Yaron Zelekha17%

$44.7K Vol.

Netanyahu out by...?

41%chance

$2.7M Vol.2 months left

Iran invades Kuwait by...?

December 314%
October 313%

$1.1M Vol.

Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)

October 3114%
October 155%

$38.4K Vol.

Iran Nuke before 2027?

3%chance

$1.4M Vol.2 months left

Houthis target Pakistan by...?

December 3112%
October 315%

$2.6K Vol.

$42.7K Vol.monthly

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

$54.8K Vol.

Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...?

October 1393%
October 1185%

$844.4K Vol.monthly

Iran nuclear test before 2027?

5%chance

$273.4K Vol.2 months left

Next Israeli Minister of Justice?

No Next Minister by Feb 2833%
Tally Gotliv14%

$45.9K Vol.

Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

December 3125%
October 317%

$150.0K Vol.

Israel Election: UTJ # of seats?

7-868%
9-1015%

$10.4K Vol.

Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...?

December 3127%
October 3112%

$63.8K Vol.

Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on...?

October 598%
October 896%

$64.1K Vol.monthly

Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

2%chance

$8.5K Vol.18 days left

Israel Election: Amcha Yisrael # of seats?

<461%
4-640%

$10.2K Vol.

USS Theodore Roosevelt arrives in CENTCOM by...?

November 3098%
November 1587%

$8.7K Vol.

Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?

Kuwait11%
Egypt10%

$79.8K Vol.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?

11%chance

$1.9M Vol.2 months left

Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?

9%chance

$197.6K Vol.2 months left

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

60%chance

$2.1K Vol.2 months left

Next Israeli Minister of Interior?

No Next Minister by Feb 2839%
Yoav Ben-Tzur23%

$13.8K Vol.

Syrian troops enter Yemen by...?

December 319%
October 314%

$4.7K Vol.

USS George Washington departs CENTCOM by...?

December 3168%
November 3066%

$39.4K Vol.

Israel military action against Iraq by...?

23%chance

$2.3K Vol.18 days left

Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?

4%chance

$102.5K Vol.2 months left

Israel Election: Yashar vote share?

18-20%38%
<16%26%

$5.0K Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027?

17%chance

$15.4K Vol.8 months left

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Somaliland16%
Kuwait7%

$1.7M Vol.

Houthis successfully target shipping by...?

October 3141%
October 1514%

$131.6K Vol.

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

473%
514%

$7.6M Vol.

Houthis target Syria by...?

December 315%
October 314%

$4.1K Vol.

Israel Election: Ra'am # of seats?

531%
625%

$9.1K Vol.