Tech

172 events

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
- December 31, 202827%
- December 31, 202713%
$6.0M Vol.

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Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA62%
Apple32%

$8.4M Vol.monthly

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Google70%
Anthropic30%

$2.5M Vol.monthly

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

CXMT31%
CATL24%

$536.8K Vol.

Largest Company end of October 2026?

NVIDIA80%
Apple19%

$349.4K Vol.monthly

CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?

December 31, 202928%
December 31, 202823%

$238.9K Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

December 3198%
October 3183%

$472.4K Vol.

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Anthropic45%
Google40%

$2.5M Vol.monthly

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202752%
December 31, 202614%

$862.1K Vol.

Who will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?

Saudi Arabia17%
China10%

$86.7K Vol.

Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

December 31, 202925%
December 31, 202819%

$1.8M Vol.

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

December 31, 202763%
June 30, 202744%

$1.4M Vol.

Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202821%
December 31, 202712%

$691.1K Vol.

Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?

56%chance

$29.7K Vol.19 hours left

North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202824%
December 31, 202717%

$250.8K Vol.

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

December 3193%
October 3128%

$283.4K Vol.

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

December 31, 202922%
December 31, 202817%

$336.8K Vol.

2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?

Apple80%
NVIDIA20%

$41.2K Vol.monthly

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

No release by October 3118%
October 2114%

$81.3K Vol.

Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?

20%chance

$12.0K Vol.19 hours left

3rd Largest Company end of October?

Alphabet79%
Microsoft19%

$67.6K Vol.monthly

2nd Largest Company end of December 2026?

Apple45%
NVIDIA35%

$40.8K Vol.monthly

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

Denver, CO90%
Las Vegas, NV81%

$73.9K Vol.

Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1400+93%
1420+85%

$64.8K Vol.

Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?

Anthropic28%
Microsoft28%

$43.6K Vol.

How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?

12-1584%
16-197%

$193.4K Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Text Arena Debut?

1500+90%
1510+85%

$14.9K Vol.

#1 Searched Actor on Google 2026?

Inde Navarrette58%
Jaafar Jackson23%

$102.7K Vol.

Kimi K4 released by…?

March 31, 202726%
December 31, 20268%

$30.0K Vol.

What will be said on the next Lemonade Stand Podcast? (October 14)

49%chance

$498.1 Vol.Ended

3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?

Alphabet66%
Microsoft27%

$75.0K Vol.monthly

Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202826%
December 31, 202716%

$715.6K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

Google51%
Anthropic43%

$295.2K Vol.monthly

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Google51%
Moonshot20%

$69.5K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (H200) end of 2026?

$5.00-$5.5021%
$7.50+19%

$32.8K Vol.monthly

$108.2K Vol.

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

Google50%
OpenAI45%

$15.7K Vol.weekly

Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202826%
December 31, 202713%

$720.9K Vol.

OpenAI resumes training on...?

$56.9K Vol.

Top 5 Most Searched People on Google in the US 2026

Lindsay Clancy83%
Erling Haaland54%

$20.8K Vol.

Next DeepSeek Flash released by...?

November 3074%
October 3156%

$14.1K Vol.

#1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?

Muse from Meta98%
ChatGPT2%

$6.3K Vol.weekly

Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

60%+22%
65%+8%

$136.8K Vol.

GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?

$7.00+69%
$3.00-$3.5010%

$102.3K Vol.monthly

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

17%chance

$76.9K Vol.2 months left

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Moonshot32%
Alibaba25%

$34.9K Vol.monthly

Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by...?

December 3187%
November 3067%

$9.4K Vol.

Meta headcount above __ in Q3?

6600086%
6800065%

$2.1K Vol.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

1480+31%
1490+27%

$285.0K Vol.

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Xiaomi57%
Alibaba24%

$209.2K Vol.monthly

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

October 31>99%
December 31>99%

$1.2M Vol.

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

No release by October 3194%
October 183%

$53.7K Vol.

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Z.ai40%
Meta34%

$63.2K Vol.monthly

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

077%
113%

$341.8K Vol.

GPT-7 released by...?

December 31, 202784%
June 30, 202743%

$17.0K Vol.

Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202825%
December 31, 202721%

$769.4K Vol.

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202767%
December 31, 202623%

$438.3K Vol.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

December 3134%
November 3027%

$1.6M Vol.

Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?

24%chance

$27.3K Vol.2 months left

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

$254.1K Vol.

Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

Anthropic94%
OpenAI4%

$77.4K Vol.monthly

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

13%chance

$317.6K Vol.2 months left

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

June 30, 2027?68%
March 31, 202751%

$63.0K Vol.

Will Claude go down on __ days in October?

5-743%
8-1029%

$11.3K Vol.monthly

Highest Meta score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+25%
60%+16%

$86.6K Vol.

#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

OpenAI47%
Google39%

$8.4K Vol.weekly

How many Codex resets week of October 12?

338%
235%

$2.3K Vol.

Longest GitHub critical incident in October?

3-6 hours54%
6-12 hours29%

$18.4K Vol.monthly

OpenAI resumes training by...?

October 3154%
October 154%

$26.7K Vol.

Next Gemini Argon released by...?

January 3150%
December 3144%

$1.0K Vol.

What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4548%
↓ $4041%

$10.5K Vol.annual

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?

Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace75%
ChatGPT18%

$1.5K Vol.weekly

OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25?

675-725T67%
725T+12%

$17.0K Vol.monthly

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

60%+37%
65%+19%

$169.6K Vol.

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

$293.2K Vol.

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?

5+46%
428%

$24.2K Vol.monthly

Elon Musk Net Worth on October 31?

$900B-$1.00T52%
$1.00-$1.10T26%

$12.1K Vol.monthly

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

50%+99%
55%+73%

$9.7K Vol.

Best AI model on October 19?

gemini-4-argon-high94%
Other4%

$8.8K Vol.weekly

Top 5 Most Searched Athletes on Google 2026

Erling Braut Haaland88%
Alysa Liu60%

$41.4K Vol.

Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?

$40+85%
$50+71%

$8.0K Vol.

#1 Searched Passing on Google in the US 2026?

Dolly Parton70%
Hayden Panettiere12%

$99.7K Vol.

Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+87%
50%+43%

$102.5K Vol.

#1 Searched TV Show on Google 2026?

Euphoria26%
Stranger Things25%

$125.2K Vol.

GPU rental prices (H200) end of October?

$5.50+55%
$5.00-$5.5022%

$52.9K Vol.monthly

Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?

19%chance

$62.1K Vol.2 months left

Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+60%
50%+45%

$157.9K Vol.

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+81%
60%+38%

$141.9K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

Anthropic74%
OpenAI19%

$51.8K Vol.monthly

Another critical Cloudflare incident by...?

December 3156%
November 3041%

$4.9K Vol.monthly

Amazon 2026 capex above ___?

$170 billion>99%
$190 billion95%

$26.0K Vol.

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?

Anthropic85%
OpenAI10%

$106.9K Vol.monthly

#1 Searched Person on Google 2026?

Lindsay Clancy23%
Erling Haaland17%

$339.6K Vol.

Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by...?

November 3083%
October 3137%

$10.6K Vol.

#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

DeepSeek96%
Google4%

$7.8K Vol.weekly

#1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?

Shadowrocket97%
Procreate Pocket3%

$1.6K Vol.weekly

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

Anthropic65%
OpenAI12%

$214.3K Vol.monthly

Rocket Lab’s Neutron Rocket Launch by December 31?

3%chance

$12.3K Vol.2 months left

Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)

Google42%
Anthropic39%

$5.0K Vol.monthly

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Z.ai17%
Microsoft17%

$101.7K Vol.

Top 5 Most Searched People on Google 2026

Lindsay Clancy73%
Erling Haaland49%

$38.7K Vol.

#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

Meta38%
Anthropic26%

$33.6K Vol.monthly

Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1510+69%
1520+46%

$7.8K Vol.

Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of October?

MiniMax81%
Google17%

$22.2K Vol.

Next DeepSeek Pro released by...?

November 3032%
October 3120%

$25.1K Vol.

Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?

$60.4K Vol.

Second-best AI Lab end of October?

Anthropic58%
Google23%

$61.1K Vol.monthly

#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

Meta46%
Anthropic30%

$57.9K Vol.monthly

Third-best AI Lab end of October?

Meta87%
Alibaba7%

$63.0K Vol.monthly

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

OpenAI64%
Anthropic21%

$29.1K Vol.monthly

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

No release by October 3192%
October 203%

$112.1K Vol.

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

Google59%
OpenAI21%

$38.1K Vol.monthly

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?

$31.3K Vol.

#2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?

HotSchedules96%
Shadowrocket3%

$1.3K Vol.weekly

GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of November?

$0.65-$0.7031%
$0.55-$0.6023%

$6.3K Vol.monthly

Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?

91%chance

$112.6K Vol.2 months left

How high will Polymarket's mindshare go by December 31?

75%38%
80%22%

$35.9K Vol.

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202743%
December 31, 202610%

$78.4K Vol.

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?

Anthropic57%
Google39%

$71.6K Vol.monthly

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

December 31, 202621%
October 31, 20263%

$484.8K Vol.

SSI public model released by…?

December 3141%
November 3033%

$133.8K Vol.

Second-best AI Lab end of December?

Anthropic37%
Google34%

$13.4K Vol.monthly

#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

Anthropic53%
Meta46%

$69.7K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of November?

Google65%
ByteDance21%

$12.1K Vol.monthly

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

Google33%
OpenAI21%

$16.5K Vol.monthly

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Alibaba26%
Xiaomi24%

$11.0K Vol.monthly

Which AI labs announce a full training pause in 2026?

Anthropic7%
OpenAI6%

$5.4K Vol.

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

Viking Therapeutics13%
PayPal11%

$18.4M Vol.

Claude 6 released by...?

December 31, 202793%
June 30, 202772%

$38.5K Vol.

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

November 3046%
October 3128%

$3.1K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best Image Edit AI end of October?

OpenAI86%
Google4%

$30.0K Vol.

What will Anthropic's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

↑ $2572%
↑ $3057%

$14.4K Vol.

What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $1532%
↑ $2530%

$10.7K Vol.

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

December 3136%
October 312%

$1.1M Vol.

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of December?

Alibaba28%
Xiaomi22%

$3.4K Vol.monthly

What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?

$454.5K Vol.

Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by...?

January 3145%
December 3137%

$1.7K Vol.

Best AI model on October 26?

gemini-4-argon-high78%
Other19%

$4.8K Vol.weekly

What will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4559%
↓ $4059%

$21.0K Vol.

Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by...?

December 3174%
November 3050%

$4.7K Vol.

GPU rental prices (RTX 5090) end of October?

$0.60+68%
$0.55-$0.6019%

$52.8K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (A100) end of November?

$0.75-$1.0056%
$0.50-$0.7520%

$16.0K Vol.monthly

Third-best AI Lab end of November?

Meta65%
Alibaba13%

$16.4K Vol.monthly

Frontier AI labs announce joint pacing agreement in 2026?

29%chance

$4.8K Vol.2 months left

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

December 31, 202767%
September 30, 202717%

$180.5K Vol.

AI bubble burst by...?

June 30, 202719%
December 31, 20266%

$3.0M Vol.

GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?

$3.00-$3.5018%
$2.50-$3.0018%

$70.0K Vol.monthly

OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by...?

October 3162%
October 1511%

$967.6 Vol.monthly

GitHub Git Operations critical incident by...?

October 3123%
October 153%

$1.3K Vol.monthly

Top 5 Most Searched Actors on Google 2026

Inde Navarrette85%
Jaafar Jackson53%

$23.4K Vol.

Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of December?

Google50%
ByteDance26%

$9.1K Vol.monthly

What will GPT Astra's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4048%
↓ $3034%

$13.0K Vol.

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

157541%
160012%

$141.8K Vol.monthly

Grok Bot on the free plan by...?

December 3111%
October 316%

$6.1K Vol.

Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)

Google69%
Anthropic28%

$76.6K Vol.monthly

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of December?

OpenAI31%
Google23%

$11.7K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (H200) end of November?

$6.50+39%
$5.00-$5.5021%

$21.6K Vol.monthly

#2 Searched Person on Google 2026?

Bad Bunny19%
Erling Haaland16%

$25.9K Vol.

Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by...?

November 3087%
October 3115%

$4.8K Vol.

GPU rental prices (B200) end of November?

<$7.0025%
$7.00-$7.5019%

$9.2K Vol.monthly

#1 Searched Person on Google in the US 2026?

Lindsay Clancy37%
Nicolás Maduro21%

$203.4K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of November?

Anthropic81%
Nvidia5%

$7.0K Vol.monthly

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of December?

OpenAI46%
Google24%

$11.3K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of November?

Anthropic72%
OpenAI17%

$11.9K Vol.monthly

ChatGPT Full Outage by...?

November 3051%
October 3122%

$26.2K Vol.monthly

Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?

2%chance

$9.9K Vol.2 months left

Payward announces bankruptcy by...?

December 31, 202928%
December 31, 202822%

$19.4K Vol.

What will Claude Sonnet's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $826%
↑ $1510%

$5.7K Vol.

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of December?

Google24%
OpenAI23%

$5.5K Vol.monthly

Top 5 Most Searched Passings on Google in the US 2026

Dolly Parton96%
Hayden Panettiere93%

$16.3K Vol.