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HomeBreaking Portfolio

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Oct 12, 2026

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1Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?96%37% up today96%37% up today
2

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Breaking news24hWill OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5? jumps to 96% (+37 pts).
New market12 Oct, 01:00BNB Up or Down - October 13, 9PM ET
Breaking news24hWill Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5? jumps to 97% (+37 pts).
New market12 Oct, 01:00HYPE Up or Down - October 13, 9PM ET

Will Google have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 5?97%↗37% up today

97%↗37% up today

Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?34%↘35% down today34%↘35% down today

Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?47%↗24% up today47%↗24% up today

Will Anthropic launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?5%↘14% down today5%↘14% down today

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?42%↗14% up today42%↗14% up today

Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?28%↘13% down today28%↘13% down today

Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?48%↘13% down today48%↘13% down today

9WWill the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?50%↘13% down today50%↘13% down today

10WWill the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?40%↗12% up today40%↗12% up today

Gemini Argon released by October 14, 2026?50%↗10% up today50%↗10% up today

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?61%↗10% up today61%↗10% up today

13WWill the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?43%↘10% down today43%↘10% down today

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?17%↗8% up today17%↗8% up today

Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?89%↗8% up today89%↗8% up today

Grok (Web) Outage by October 31, 2026?34%↗7% up today34%↗7% up today

Will OpenAI not announce that it has resumed training by October 20, 2026?81%↘6% down today81%↘6% down today

Will Gemini Argon debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 60% or higher?12%↗6% up today12%↗6% up today

Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?53%↗5% up today53%↗5% up today

Gemini 4.0 released by October 12, 2026?8%↘5% down today8%↘5% down today

Will Moonshot be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?22%↗5% up today22%↗5% up today

Will the next GPT Sol model (6.1+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 40% or higher?90%↘4% down today90%↘4% down today

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?5%↗4% up today5%↗4% up today

24WWill Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?30%↗4% up today30%↗4% up today

25WWill Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?24%↗3% up today24%↗3% up today

26WWill Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?26%↗3% up today26%↗3% up today

27WWill the highest score achieved by a Moonshot Kimi model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 45% or higher?75%↗3% up today75%↗3% up today

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?72%↗3% up today72%↗3% up today

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?13%↗3% up today13%↗3% up today

Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027?59%↗2% up today59%↗2% up today

Breaking news24hWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? drops to 34% (−35 pts).

New market12 Oct, 01:00Dogecoin Up or Down - October 13, 9PM ET

New market12 Oct, 01:00XRP Up or Down - October 13, 9PM ET

New market12 Oct, 01:00Solana Up or Down - October 13, 9PM ET