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Gemini 4.0 released by...?
- November 30>99%
- October 3199%
$1.7M Vol.

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Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$2.0–$2.25T26%
$1.75–$2.0T26%

$1.6M Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Google71%
Anthropic27%

$2.3M Vol.monthly

Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202827%
December 31, 202722%

$567.9K Vol.

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$1.5T93%
↑$1.75T82%

$5.4M Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

December 3195%
October 3169%

$352.0K Vol.

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Google43%
Anthropic42%

$2.5M Vol.monthly

Gemini Argon released on...?

October 1386%
October 146%

$60.0K Vol.

Gemini Argon: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

45%+84%
50%+77%

$66.7K Vol.

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

No release by October 3188%
October 237%

$48.3K Vol.

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

Google52%
Anthropic38%

$283.5K Vol.monthly

Gemini Argon released by...?

November 3098%
October 3198%

$50.2K Vol.

North Carolina enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202828%
December 31, 202720%

$202.6K Vol.

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

10%chance

$63.8K Vol.2 months left

#3 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

OpenAI55%
Google40%

$10.8K Vol.weekly

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

December 3185%
October 3120%

$235.8K Vol.

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

No release by October 3132%
October 209%

$50.7K Vol.

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

079%
112%

$334.5K Vol.

Next GPT Sol Model (6.1+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

40%+78%
45%+76%

$41.6K Vol.

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

1.5T+57%
No IPO by December 31, 202721%

$464.8K Vol.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin?

68% to 69%45%
67% to 68%36%

$12.8K Vol.

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

1.8T+76%
1.5–1.8T13%

$515.9K Vol.

Meta's Watermelon Model: Text Arena Debut?

1480+85%
1490+78%

$9.3K Vol.

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Xiaomi43%
Alibaba39%

$202.5K Vol.monthly

Next Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1400+96%
1420+90%

$48.0K Vol.

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

November 202653%
January 202720%

$371.4K Vol.

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+73%
60%+38%

$139.2K Vol.

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202755%
December 31, 202616%

$826.2K Vol.

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

$290.0K Vol.

Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202826%
December 31, 202718%

$694.0K Vol.

Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?

Microsoft33%
Anthropic23%

$29.5K Vol.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

December 3137%
November 3036%

$1.6M Vol.

Anthropic lab leak by...?

$155.7K Vol.

#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)

Meta25%
Anthropic21%

$18.2K Vol.monthly

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

$252.6K Vol.

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

OpenAI49%
Anthropic19%

$17.7K Vol.monthly

Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)

Google74%
Anthropic20%

$75.3K Vol.monthly

Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202827%
December 31, 202710%

$3.4M Vol.

OpenAI resumes training by...?

October 3154%
October 1510%

$25.2K Vol.

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

No release by October 3189%
October 143%

$103.6K Vol.

Which company has the best AI Agent end of October?

Anthropic91%
OpenAI6%

$73.5K Vol.monthly

What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?

$1.75–$2.00T38%
$2.00–$2.25T36%

$139.5K Vol.

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202767%
December 31, 202621%

$433.2K Vol.

Third-best AI Lab end of October?

Meta72%
Xiaomi19%

$61.5K Vol.monthly

Meta's Watermelon Model: Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

40%+83%
50%+49%

$8.8K Vol.

#2 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

OpenAI45%
Google45%

$5.3K Vol.weekly

Highest score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

60%+58%
65%+31%

$103.3K Vol.

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of November?

Google27%
OpenAI23%

$15.0K Vol.monthly

OpenAI resumes training on...?

$53.6K Vol.

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

OpenAI54%
Google25%

$58.2K Vol.monthly

Which companies will be acquired before 2027?

PayPal11%
Perplexity AI11%

$18.4M Vol.

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

OpenAI70%
Anthropic26%

$27.4K Vol.monthly

SB Energy IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO before January 202762%
$50B-$60B21%

$36.3K Vol.

Next Muse Spark (1.4+): Text Arena Debut?

1480+78%
1490+73%

$19.9K Vol.

Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by...?

October 3111%
October 163%

$35.3K Vol.

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$800B82%
$1T73%

$1.6M Vol.

Best Chinese AI Company end of November?

Alibaba38%
Xiaomi31%

$11.9K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?

Anthropic75%
OpenAI14%

$49.4K Vol.monthly

Best AI model on October 19?

gemini-4-argon-high90%
Other9%

$6.6K Vol.weekly

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+60%
60%+41%

$155.6K Vol.

What will OpenAI's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4551%
↓ $4039%

$9.0K Vol.annual

Which cities will Waymo launch in by December 31?

San Diego, CA82%
Denver, CO80%

$64.1K Vol.

# of ChatGPT Outage Days in October 2026?

5+61%
321%

$22.9K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best AI Agent end of November?

Anthropic77%
OpenAI17%

$18.8K Vol.monthly

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$1.5T91%
$1.75T79%

$12.4K Vol.

GPU rental prices (B200) end of 2026?

$7.00+78%
$6.50-$7.008%

$99.8K Vol.monthly

Will Claude go down on __ days in October?

5-741%
8-1032%

$9.7K Vol.monthly

#2 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

Anthropic49%
Google33%

$30.9K Vol.monthly

#1 AI lab by OpenRouter market share week of October 12?

DeepSeek81%
Qwen9%

$2.3K Vol.weekly

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

600B+95%
No IPO by December 31, 20273%

$523.2K Vol.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

1480+28%
1490+26%

$270.5K Vol.

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

#324%
#16%

$276.0K Vol.

#2 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

Anthropic65%
Google20%

$54.5K Vol.monthly

Claude 6 released by...?

December 31, 202793%
June 30, 202773%

$37.8K Vol.

What will GPT Astra's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4051%
↑ $6048%

$12.0K Vol.

Which company has #1 AI model end of November? (Style Control On)

Google55%
Anthropic42%

$31.6K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (B200) end of October?

$6.50+74%
$6.00-$6.5014%

$43.4K Vol.monthly

Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+75%
50%+40%

$101.3K Vol.

Grok Bot on the free plan by...?

October 3110%
December 3110%

$5.8K Vol.

GPU rental prices (H100) end of 2026?

$2.50-$3.0024%
$3.00-$3.5018%

$69.2K Vol.monthly

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?

Anthropic66%
Google33%

$39.6K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ in 2026?

↓ $2.2555%
↑ $3.5042%

$16.4K Vol.daily

Next Claude Opus Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

45%+86%
50%+81%

$110.7K Vol.

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of December?

OpenAI66%
SpaceXAI14%

$14.4K Vol.monthly

Third-best AI Lab end of November?

Meta45%
Alibaba13%

$12.6K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (H100) end of October?

$3.00+36%
$2.75-$3.0031%

$34.9K Vol.monthly

Next Fable Model (5.2+): Humanity's Last Exam Debut?

50%+82%
55%+54%

$7.0K Vol.

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Google45%
Moonshot20%

$64.3K Vol.monthly

Next DeepSeek Pro released by...?

November 3028%
October 3113%

$24.4K Vol.

How many Codex resets week of October 12?

340%
4+21%

$858.9 Vol.

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

40%+43%
50%+38%

$102.9K Vol.

Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by...?

October 3168%
October 1518%

$24.6K Vol.

Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 202743%
December 31, 20268%

$77.4K Vol.

Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 202827%
December 31, 202719%

$688.4K Vol.

What will Anthropic's frontier output token price hit in 2026?

↑ $2570%
↑ $3058%

$13.6K Vol.

Will Muse Wonder debut as #1? (Text Arena)

2%chance

$775.8 Vol.8 months left

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of October?

Google58%
OpenAI22%

$36.1K Vol.monthly

Claude Fable 5.2+: Output Token Price Debut?

$40+75%
$50+45%

$5.4K Vol.

Will OpenAI rename itself to OpenSI?

6%chance

$19.2K Vol.2 months left

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?

Anthropic88%
Google5%

$30.4K Vol.monthly

Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+60%
50%+46%

$157.0K Vol.

#2 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)

Google36%
Anthropic29%

$14.2K Vol.monthly

Second-best AI Lab end of December?

Google38%
Anthropic32%

$13.0K Vol.monthly

Next Claude Opus (5.6+) released by...?

December 3185%
November 3079%

$6.9K Vol.

Next DeepSeek Flash released by...?

November 3022%
October 3116%

$9.6K Vol.

What will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?

↓ $4549%
↓ $4043%

$19.8K Vol.

Another Vatican x Anthropic meeting by...?

December 3137%
October 3114%

$4.5K Vol.

GPU rental prices (B200) end of November?

<$7.0023%
$7.00-$7.5023%

$8.8K Vol.monthly

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

December 31, 202621%
October 31, 20262%

$484.3K Vol.

Best Chinese AI Company end of December?

Alibaba32%
Xiaomi21%

$6.8K Vol.monthly

OpenAI + Anthropic vs Google - higher valuation on December 31?

20%chance

$8.8K Vol.2 months left

Next GPT Luna (6.1+) released by...?

December 3172%
November 3057%

$4.4K Vol.

OpenAI vs. Anthropic: First to another Millennium Prize?

61%chance

$3.6K Vol.1 year left

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of October?

Anthropic88%
OpenAI9%

$105.4K Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (A100) end of October?

$0.75-$1.0064%
$1.00-$1.2527%

$49.3K Vol.monthly

What will Claude Opus's output token price hit in 2026?

↑ $2536%
↓ $1535%

$10.0K Vol.

GPU rental prices (B200) hit___ in 2026?

↓ $5.5053%
↓ $5.0049%

$55.1K Vol.monthly

Second-best AI Lab end of November?

Anthropic45%
Google35%

$24.0K Vol.monthly

Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

50%+82%
55%+68%

$119.3K Vol.

Next Claude Opus Model (5.6+): Text Arena Debut?

1510+88%
1520+50%

$7.3K Vol.

OpenRouter AI token usage Sep 28 to Oct 25?

675-725T47%
725T+25%

$15.5K Vol.monthly

ChatGPT Outage by...?

October 3167%
October 1520%

$459.0 Vol.monthly

GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026?

↓ $4.0067%
↓ $3.7558%

$21.2K Vol.monthly

SSI public model released by…?

December 3157%
November 3049%

$132.8K Vol.

#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

Meta66%
Moonshot12%

$57.0K Vol.monthly

Which AI labs announce a training pause by October 31?

Anthropic37%
Meta9%

$17.8K Vol.

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?

Anthropic55%
Google40%

$70.0K Vol.monthly

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of November?

Google30%
Alibaba17%

$12.9K Vol.monthly

Will Perplexity's valuation hit __ by December 31?

↑$22.5B59%
↑$25B32%

$76.4K Vol.

What will OpenAI's public ticker be?

$OAI40%
$OPAI28%

$21.2K Vol.

Grok (Web) Outage by...?

October 3147%
November 3046%

$2.7K Vol.monthly

Next Gemini Flash Model (3.9+) released by...?

November 3065%
October 3142%

$9.8K Vol.

#3 AI Lab end of November? (Style Control On)

Meta37%
OpenAI19%

$25.9K Vol.monthly

Next Claude Haiku (5.6+) released by...?

January 3140%
December 3123%

$961.6 Vol.

OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?

$1.00-$1.10T37%
$1.10-$1.20T25%

$14.0K Vol.

Kimi K4 released by…?

March 31, 202711%
December 31, 202610%

$22.7K Vol.

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

November 3035%
October 3132%

$43.9K Vol.

Second-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

OpenAI81%
Anthropic11%

$38.1K Vol.monthly

Claude Opus 5.6+: Output Token Price Debut?

$15+85%
$20+62%

$3.9K Vol.